Related papers: LAD Regression and Nonparametric Methods for Detec…
Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…
This paper develops the inferential theory for latent factor models estimated from large dimensional panel data with missing observations. We propose an easy-to-use all-purpose estimator for a latent factor model by applying principal…
In this paper we study the least squares (LS) estimator in a linear panel regression model with unknown number of factors appearing as interactive fixed effects. Assuming that the number of factors used in estimation is larger than the true…
In this paper we introduce a new method for detecting outliers in a set of proportions. It is based on the construction of a suitable two-way contingency table and on the application of an algorithm for the detection of outlying cells in…
Selective inference aims at providing valid inference after a data-driven selection of models or hypotheses. It is essential to avoid overconfident results and replicability issues. While significant advances have been made in this area for…
This study addresses an important gap in time series outlier detection by proposing a novel problem setting: long-term outlier prediction. Conventional methods primarily focus on immediate detection by identifying deviations from normal…
This paper studies the construction of p-values for nonparametric outlier detection, taking a multiple-testing perspective. The goal is to test whether new independent samples belong to the same distribution as a reference data set or are…
We applied three statistical classification techniques - linear discriminant analysis (LDA), logistic regression and random forests - to three astronomical datasets associated with searches for interstellar masers. We compared the…
This paper proposes a new methodological framework for estimating inferential models with latent variables. It also introduces a new latent variable regression model called LARX: an extension of the ubiquitous autoregressive model with…
Statisticians usually restrict regression to model relationships that are explicitly defined dependent and independent random variables; this paper outlines the newly developed method of non-response analysis and rotational analysis for…
In a network meta-analysis, some of the collected studies may deviate markedly from the others, for example having very unusual effect sizes. These deviating studies can be regarded as outlying with respect to the rest of the network and…
Outlier detection and concept drift detection represent two challenges in data analysis. Most studies address these issues separately. However, joint detection mechanisms in regression remain underexplored, where the continuous nature of…
A robust estimation framework for binary regression models is studied, aiming to extend traditional approaches like logistic regression models. While previous studies largely focused on logistic models, we explore a broader class of models…
Traditional methods for linear regression generally assume that the underlying error distribution, equivalently the distribution of the responses, is normal. Yet, sometimes real life response data may exhibit a skewed pattern, and assuming…
BCART (Bayesian Classification and Regression Trees) and BART (Bayesian Additive Regression Trees) are popular Bayesian regression models widely applicable in modern regression problems. Their popularity is intimately tied to the ability to…
A novel IV estimation method, that we term Locally Trimmed LS (LTLS), is developed which yields estimators with (mixed) Gaussian limit distributions in situations where the data may be weakly or strongly persistent. In particular, we allow…
We can often verify the correctness of neural network outputs using ground truth labels, but we cannot reliably determine whether the output was produced by normal or anomalous internal mechanisms. Mechanistic anomaly detection (MAD) aims…
Bayesian change-point detection, together with latent variable models, allows to perform segmentation over high-dimensional time-series. We assume that change-points lie on a lower-dimensional manifold where we aim to infer subsets of…
Detecting anomalies in multivariate time-series data is essential in many real-world applications. Recently, various deep learning-based approaches have shown considerable improvements in time-series anomaly detection. However, existing…
In a recent paper Birke and Bissantz (2008) considered the problem of nonparametric estimation in inverse regression models with convolution-type operators. For multivariate predictors nonparametric methods suffer from the curse of…