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Given a heterogeneous time-series sample, the objective is to find points in time (called change points) where the probability distribution generating the data has changed. The data are assumed to have been generated by arbitrary unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-13 Azadeh Khaleghi , Daniil Ryabko

We propose an exact simulation method for Brown-Resnick random fields, building on new representations for these stationary max-stable fields. The main idea is to apply suitable changes of measure.

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-17 A. B. Dieker , T. Mikosch

This paper is devoted to the estimation of the shift parameter in a semiparametric regression model when the distribution of the observation times is unknown. Hence, we propose to use a stochastic algorithm which takes into account the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Philippe Fraysse

We give necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of a phantom distribution function for a stationary random field on a regular lattice. We also introduce a less demanding notion of a directional phantom distribution, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-16 Adam Jakubowski , Igor Rodionov , Natalia Soja-Kukieła

This paper proposes the asymmetric linear double autoregression, which jointly models the conditional mean and conditional heteroscedasticity characterized by asymmetric effects. A sufficient condition is established for the existence of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-22 Songhua Tan , Qianqian Zhu

In this paper we consider a telegraph equation with time-dependent coefficients, governing the persistent random walk of a particle moving on the line with a time-varying velocity $c(t)$ and changing direction at instants distributed…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Luca Angelani , Roberto Garra

We consider continuous-state branching processes (CB processes) which become extinct almost surely. First, we tackle the problem of describing the stationary measures on $(0,+\infty)$ for such CB processes. We give a representation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-30 Rongli Liu , Yan-Xia Ren , Ting Yang

For Markov random fields on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ with finite state space, we address the statistical estimation of the basic neighborhood, the smallest region that determines the conditional distribution at a site on the condition that the values…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Imre Csiszár , Zsolt Talata

A stationary random graph is a random rooted graph whose distribution is invariant under re-rooting along the simple random walk. We adapt the entropy technique developed for Cayley graphs and show in particular that stationary random…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-28 Itai Benjamini , Nicolas Curien

The divergence of a stationary random vector field at a given point is usually a centered (that is, zero mean) random variable. Strangely enough, it can be equal to 1 almost surely. This fact is another form of a phenomenon disclosed by B.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-11 Boris Tsirelson

In this paper hyperbolic partial differential equations with random coefficients are discussed. Such random partial differential equations appear for instance in traffic flow problems as well as in many physical processes in random media.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-06-19 Andrea Barth , Franz G. Fuchs

In a recent work, Blanc, Le Bris, and Lions defined a notion of increment-stationarity for random point sets, which allowed them to prove the existence of a thermodynamic limit for two-body potential energies on such point sets (under the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-09-04 Antoine Gloria

We consider the Bayesian analysis of models in which the unknown distribution of the outcomes is specified up to a set of conditional moment restrictions. The nonparametric exponentially tilted empirical likelihood function is constructed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Siddhartha Chib , Minchul Shin , Anna Simoni

The non-equilibrium steady states emerging from stochastic resetting to a distribution is studied. We show that for a range of processes, the steady-state moments can be expressed as a linear combination of the moments of the distribution…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-10 Kristian Stølevik Olsen

We obtain variance inequalities for quadratic forms of weakly dependent random variables with bounded fourth moments. We also discuss two application. Namely, we use these inequalities for deriving the limiting spectral distribution of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-07 Pavel Yaskov

The field of algorithmic randomness studies what it means for infinite binary sequences to be random for some given uncertainty model. Classically, martingale-theoretic notions of such randomness involve precise uncertainty models, and it…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-10 Floris Persiau , Jasper De Bock , Gert de Cooman

A stationary random sequence admits under some assumptions a representation as the sum of two others: one of them is a martingale difference sequence, and another is a so-called coboundary. Such a representation can be used for proving some…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-24 Mikhail Gordin

Stationary points or derivative zero crossings of a regression function correspond to points where a trend reverses, making their estimation scientifically important. Existing approaches to uncertainty quantification for stationary points…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-10 Michael Price , Debdeep Pati , Ning Ning

In the geosciences, a recurring problem is one of estimating spatial means of a physical field using weighted averages of point observations. An important variant is when individual observations are counted with some probability less than…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-11 Ashwin K Seshadri

Random fields play a central role in the analysis of spatially correlated data and, as a result, have a significant impact on a broad array of scientific applications. This paper studies the cepstral random field model, providing recursive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-17 Tucker S. McElroy , Scott H. Holan