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We propose a new Bayesian Markov switching regression model for multidimensional arrays (tensors) of binary time series. We assume a zero-inflated logit regression with time-varying parameters and apply it to multilayer temporal networks.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-05 Monica Billio , Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini

We study the Ergodic Properties of Random Walks in stationary ergodic environments without uniform ellipticity under a minimal assumption. There are two main components in our work. The first step is to adopt the arguments of Lawler to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Ayan Ghosh

In several social choice problems, agents collectively make decisions over the allocation of multiple divisible and heterogeneous resources with capacity constraints to maximize utilitarian social welfare. The agents are constrained through…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-02 Syed Eqbal Alam , Fabian Wirth , Jia Yuan Yu , Robert Shorten

Quantum walks behave differently from what we expect and their probability distributions have unique structures. They have localization, singularities, a gap, and so on. Those features have been discovered from the view point of mathematics…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-04-05 Takuya Machida

Ergodic exploration has spawned a lot of interest in mobile robotics due to its ability to design time trajectories that match desired spatial coverage statistics. However, current ergodic approaches are for continuous spaces, which require…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Benjamin Wong , Ryan H. Lee , Tyler M. Paine , Santosh Devasia , Ashis G. Banerjee

We consider the distributed version of the Multiple Knapsack Problem (MKP), where $m$ items are to be distributed amongst $n$ processors, each with a knapsack. We propose different distributed approximation algorithms with a tradeoff…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-02-06 Ananth Murthy , Chandan Yeshwanth , Shrisha Rao

Scaled type Markov renewal processes generalize classical renewal processes: renewal times come from a one parameter family of probability laws and the sequence of the parameters is the trajectory of an ergodic Markov chain. Our primary…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Zsolt Pajor-Gyulai , Domokos Szász

Multivariate data sources with components of different information value seem to appear frequently in practice. Models in which the components change their homogeneity at different times are of significant importance. The fact whether any…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Krzysztof Szajowski

This paper proposes a formal approach to online learning and planning for agents operating in a priori unknown, time-varying environments. The proposed method computes the maximally likely model of the environment, given the observations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Melkior Ornik , Ufuk Topcu

This Chapter reviews statistical models for the probability distribution of money developed in the econophysics literature since the late 1990s. In these models, economic transactions are modeled as random transfers of money between the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-10 Victor M. Yakovenko

Besides the complexity in time or in number of messages, a common approach for analyzing distributed algorithms is to look at the assumptions they make on the underlying network. We investigate this question from the perspective of network…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2014-05-02 Arnaud Casteigts , Serge Chaumette , Afonso Ferreira

We study data-driven learning of robust stochastic control for infinite-horizon systems with potentially continuous state and action spaces. In many managerial settings--supply chains, finance, manufacturing, services, and dynamic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Shengbo Wang , Jason Meng , Nian Si , Jose Blanchet , Zhengyuan Zhou

Given two distinct subsets $A,B$ in the state space of some dynamical system, Transition Path Theory (TPT) was successfully used to describe the statistical behavior of transitions from $A$ to $B$ in the ergodic limit of the stationary…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-03 Luzie Helfmann , Enric Ribera Borrell , Christof Schütte , Péter Koltai

Circular data arise in many areas of application. Recently, there has been interest in looking at circular data collected separately over time and over space. Here, we extend some of this work to the spatio-temporal setting, introducing…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-18 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Giovanna Jona Lasinio , Alan E. Gelfand

In this work, we develop a mathematical framework to model a quantum system whose Hamiltonian may depend on the state of changing environment, that evolves according to a Markovian process. When the environment changes its state, the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-08-17 Henryk Gzyl

We consider the scenario where the parameters of a probabilistic model are expected to vary over time. We construct a novel prior distribution that promotes sparsity and adapts the strength of correlation between parameters at successive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-10 Dani Yogatama , Bryan R. Routledge , Noah A. Smith

We propose local-biased random walks on general networks where a Markovian walker can choose between different types of biases in each node to define transitions to its neighbors depending on their degrees. For this ergodic dynamics, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-04-27 Christopher Sebastian Hidalgo Calva , Alejandro P. Riascos

In the continuity of a recent paper ([6]), dealing with finite Markov chains, this paper proposes and analyzes a recursive algorithm for the approximation of the quasi-stationary distribution of a general Markov chain living on a compact…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Michel Benaim , Bertrand Cloez , Fabien Panloup

We study a sequential resource allocation problem involving a fixed number of recurring jobs. At each time-step the manager should distribute available resources among the jobs in order to maximise the expected number of completed jobs.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-17 Tor Lattimore , Koby Crammer , Csaba Szepesvári

This paper studies Markov Decision Processes under parameter uncertainty. We adapt the distributionally robust optimization framework, and assume that the uncertain parameters are random variables following an unknown distribution, and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-05-14 Pengqian Yu , Huan Xu