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Modeling distributions of covariates, or density estimation, is a core challenge in unsupervised learning. However, the majority of work only considers the joint distribution, which has limited utility in practical situations. A more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Ryan R. Strauss , Junier B. Oliva

For many tasks of data analysis, we may only have the information of the explanatory variable and the evaluation of the response values are quite expensive. While it is impractical or too costly to obtain the responses of all units, a…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-07 Wei Zheng , Ting Tian , Xueqin Wang

In this article, we propose a novel method for sampling potential functions based on noisy observation data of a finite number of observables in quantum canonical ensembles, which leads to the accurate sampling of a wide class of test…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-08 Ziheng Chen , Zhennan Zhou

A general rate estimation method is proposed that is based on studying the in-sample evolution of appropriately chosen diverging/converging statistics. The proposed rate estimators are based on simple least squares arguments, and are shown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Tucker McElroy , Dimitris N. Politis

A sufficient statistic is a significant concept in statistics, which means a probability variable that has sufficient information required for an inference task. We investigate the roles of sufficient statistics and related quantities in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-04-11 Takumi Matsumoto , Takahiro Sagawa

Efficient and accurate algorithm for partition function, free energy and thermal entropy calculations is of great significance in statistical physics and quantum many-body physics. Here we present an unbiased but low-technical-barrier…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-11-19 Yi-Ming Ding , Jun-Song Sun , Nvsen Ma , Gaopei Pan , Chen Cheng , Zheng Yan

Modern randomization methods in clinical trials are invariably adaptive, meaning that the assignment of the next subject to a treatment group uses the accumulated information in the trial. Some of the recent adaptive randomization methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-12 Alan R. Vazquez , Weng Kee Wong

We study inference with a small labeled sample, a large unlabeled sample, and high-quality predictions from an external model. We link prediction-powered inference with empirical likelihood by stacking supervised estimating equations based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 Guanghui Wang , Mengtao Wen , Changliang Zou

I propose a new algorithm, a free energy Monte Carlo algorithm, for calculations where conventional Monte Carlo simulations struggle with ergodicity problems. The simplest version of the proposed algorithm allows for the determination of…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 M. J. Thill

We present a novel method for the calculation of the energy density of states D(E) for systems described by classical statistical mechanics. The method builds on an extension of a recently proposed strategy that allows the free energy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Cristian Micheletti , Alessandro Laio , Michele Parrinello

We consider the problem of estimating the energy of a quantum state preparation for a given Hamiltonian in Pauli decomposition. For various quantum algorithms, in particular in the context of quantum chemistry, it is crucial to have energy…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-08-20 Alexander Gresch , Uğur Tepe , Martin Kliesch

Biased sampling of collective variables is widely used to accelerate rare events in molecular simulations and to explore free energy surfaces. However, computational efficiency of these methods decreases with increasing number of collective…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-04-05 Shalini Awasthi , Nisanth N. Nair

The issue of discrete probability estimation for samples of small size is addressed in this study. The maximum likelihood method often suffers over-fitting when insufficient data is available. Although the Bayesian approach can avoid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-13 Takashi Isozaki

(Pseudo)random sampling, a costly yet widely used method in (probabilistic) machine learning and Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms, remains unfeasible on a truly large scale due to unmet computational requirements. We introduce an…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-01-03 Nicolas Alder , Shivam Nitin Kajale , Milin Tunsiricharoengul , Deblina Sarkar , Ralf Herbrich

Modern problems in astronomical Bayesian inference require efficient methods for sampling from complex, high-dimensional, often multi-modal probability distributions. Most popular methods, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling, perform…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-03-16 Will Vousden , Will M. Farr , Ilya Mandel

In this study, variations with respect to temperature of the increments of enthalpy and Gibbs energy, arising in the dissolution of proteins in water, have been investigated by the methods of statistical thermodynamics. In this formalism,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 G. Oylumluoglu , F. Buyukkilic , D. Demirhan

Many enhanced sampling techniques rely on the identification of a number of collective variables that describe all the slow modes of the system. By constructing a bias potential in this reduced space one is then able to sample efficiently…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-03-05 Michele Invernizzi , Michele Parrinello

We review uses of the generalized-ensemble algorithms for free-energy calculations in protein folding. Two of the well-known methods are multicanonical algorithm and replica-exchange method; the latter is also referred to as parallel…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Y. Sugita , Y. Okamoto

The free energy landscapes of several fundamental processes are characterized by high barriers separating long-lived metastable states. In order to explore these type of landscapes enhanced sampling methods are used. While many such methods…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-04-12 Jayashrita Debnath , Michele Invernizzi , Michele Parrinello

The basic notions of statistical mechanics (microstates, multiplicities) are quite simple, but understanding how the second law arises from these ideas requires working with cumbersomely large numbers. To avoid getting bogged down in…

Physics Education · Physics 2015-02-27 Thomas A. Moore , Daniel V. Schroeder