Related papers: The Goebbellian Syndrome
We make two contributions to the problem of estimating the $L_1$ calibration error of a binary classifier from a finite dataset. First, we provide an upper bound for any classifier where the calibration function has bounded variation.…
Several arguments against the truth of the Riemann hypothesis are extensively discussed. These include the Lehmer phenomenon, the Davenport-Heilbronn zeta-function, large and mean values of $|\zeta(1/2+it)|$ on the critical line, and zeros…
We comment on some conceptual and and technical problems related to computational mechanics, point out some errors in several papers, and straighten out some wrong priority claims. We present explicitly the correct algorithm for…
We consider extensions of the language of Peano arithmetic by transfinitely iterated truth definitions satisfying uniform Tarskian biconditionals. Without further axioms, such theories are known to be conservative extensions of the original…
Recent reports claim that Large Language Models (LLMs) have achieved the ability to derive new science and exhibit human-level general intelligence. We argue that such claims are not rigorous scientific claims, as they do not satisfy…
Mixed-effects models have emerged as the gold standard of statistical analysis in different sub-fields of linguistics (Baayen, Davidson & Bates, 2008; Johnson, 2009; Barr, et al, 2013; Gries, 2015). One problematic feature of these models…
Let $X$ be a perfect, compact subset of the complex plane. We consider algebras of those functions on $X$ which satisfy a generalised notion of differentiability, which we call $\mathcal{F}$-differentiability. In particular, we investigate…
A famous conjecture bearing the name of Vandiver states that $p \nmid h_p^+$ in the $p$ - cyclotomic extension of $\Q$. Heuristics arguments of Washington, which have been briefly exposed in Lang (1978), p. 261 and Washington (1996), p. 158…
We present numerous interesting, mostly new, results involving the $n$-step Fibonacci numbers and $n$-step Lucas numbers and a generalization. Properties considered include recurrence relations, summation identities, including binomial and…
We point out that common evaluation practices for cross-document coreference resolution have been unrealistically permissive in their assumed settings, yielding inflated results. We propose addressing this issue via two evaluation…
We provide a reply to a comment by I. Goychuk arXiv:1501.06996 [cond-mat.stat-mech] (not under active consideration with Phys. Rev. Lett.) on our Letter A. Rebenshtok, S. Denisov, P. H\"anggi, and E. Barkai, {\em Phys. Rev. Lett.} {\bf…
This note is a discussion of the article "Bayesian model selection based on proper scoring rules" by A.P. Dawid and M. Musio, to appear in Bayesian Analysis. While appreciating the concepts behind the use of proper scoring rules, including…
This paper argues that, insofar as we doubt the bivalence of the Continuum Hypothesis or the truth of the Axiom of Choice, we should also doubt the consistency of third-order arithmetic, both the classical and intuitionistic versions.…
The consideration of nonstandard models of the real numbers and the definition of a qualitative ordering on those models provides a generalization of the principle of maximization of expected utility. It enables the decider to assign…
It's a bit tedious, but as John Doe and Jean Roe have insisted on offering further comments on our comprehensive refutation of the former's already tiringly obstinate advances, we feel compelled to review their not even wrong opinions once…
In this paper, we extend the $p$-adic valuations originally obtained by Carmichael for the sequences obtained by applying M\"obius inversion to Lucas sequences to $p$-adic congruences, from which we immediately derive corresponding…
Comparisons of different treatments or production processes are the goals of a significant fraction of applied research. Unsurprisingly, two-sample problems play a main role in Statistics through natural questions such as `Is the the new…
Providing explanations about how machine learning algorithms work and/or make particular predictions is one of the main tools that can be used to improve their trusworthiness, fairness and robustness. Among the most intuitive type of…
Reverse causality is a common causal misperception that distorts the evaluation of private actions and public policies. This paper explores the implications of this error when a decision maker acts on it and therefore affects the very…
Lucas' theorem describes how to reduce a binomial coefficient $\binom{a}{b}$ modulo $p$ by breaking off the least significant digits of $a$ and $b$ in base $p$. We characterize the pairs of these digits for which Lucas' theorem holds modulo…