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The Bayesian framework is ideally suited for induction problems. The probability of observing $x_t$ at time $t$, given past observations $x_1...x_{t-1}$ can be computed with Bayes' rule if the true distribution $\mu$ of the sequences…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-11-09 Marcus Hutter

We consider a system of asymmetric independent random walks on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, denoted by $\{\eta_t,t\in{\mathbb{R}}\}$, stationary under the product Poisson measure $\nu_{\rho}$ of marginal density $\rho>0$. We fix a pattern $\mathcal{A}$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Amine Asselah , Pablo A. Ferrari

We consider dynamical systems $(X,T,\mu)$ which have exponential decay of correlations for either H\"older continuous functions or functions of bounded variation. Given a sequence of balls $(B_n)_{n=1}^\infty$, we give sufficient conditions…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Charis Ganotaki , Tomas Persson

To solve the obscureness in measurement brought about from the weak ergodicity breaking appeared in anomalous diffusions we have suggested the time-averaged mean squared displacement (MSD) $\bar{\delta^2 (\tau)}_\tau$ with a integral…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 Hyun-Joo Kim

Hitting times provide a fundamental measure of distance in random processes, quantifying the expected number of steps for a random walk starting at node $u$ to reach node $v$. They have broad applications across domains such as network…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Themistoklis Haris , Fabian Spaeh , Spyros Dragazis , Charalampos Tsourakakis

The Birkhoff Ergodic Theorem concludes that time averages, that is, Birkhoff averages, $\Sigma_{n=1}^N f(x_n)/N$ of a function $f$ along an ergodic trajectory $(x_n)$ of a function $T$ converges to the space average $\int f d\mu$, where…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-08-04 Suddhasattwa Das , Yoshitaka Saiki , Evelyn Sander , James A. Yorke

Quantitative recurrence indicators are defined by measuring the first entrance time of the orbit of a point $x$ in a decreasing sequence of neighborhoods of another point $y$. It is proved that these recurrence indicators are a.e. greater…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 S. Galatolo

We study the first hitting time statistics between a one-dimensional run-and-tumble particle and a target site that switches intermittently between visible and invisible phases. The two-state dynamics of the target is independent of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-05 Gabriel Mercado-Vásquez , Denis Boyer

In this paper we introduce a definition of time that emerges in terms of the geometry of the configuration space of a dynamical system. We illustrate this, using the Hamilton-Jacobi equation, in various examples: particle mechanics on a…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2024-10-10 Anurag Kaushal , Naveen S. Prabhakar , Spenta R. Wadia

Getoor in [3] calculated the mean exit time from a ball for the standard isotropic $\alpha$-stable process in $\mathbb{R}^d$ starting from the interior of the ball. The purpose of this note is to show that, up to multplicative constant, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Michal Ryznar

The classical Birkhoff ergodic theorem in its most popular version says that the time average along a single typical trajectory of a dynamical system is equal to the space average with respect to the ergodic invariant distribution. This…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-12-06 Michael Blank

We consider a billiard in the plane with periodic configuration of convex scatterers. This system is recurrent, in the sense that almost every orbit comes back arbitrarily close to the initial point. In this paper we study the time needed…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Françoise Pène , Benoit Saussol

The expected hitting time from vertex $a$ to vertex $b$, $H(a,b)$, is the expected value of the time it takes a random walk starting at $a$ to reach $b$. In this paper, we give estimates for $H(a,b)$ when the distance between $a$ and $b$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-05 Laurent Saloff-Coste , Yuwen Wang

We consider a simple random walk on the T-fractal and we calculate the exact mean time $\tau^g$ to first reach the central node $i_0$. The mean is performed over the set of possible walks from a given origin and over the set of starting…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-02-18 E. Agliari

A reasonable confidence interval should have a confidence coefficient no less than the given nominal level and a small expected length to reliably and accurately estimate the parameter of interest, and the bootstrap interval is considered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-15 Weizhen Wang , Chongxiu Yu , Zhongzhan Zhang

We study the asymptotic hitting time $\tau^{(n)}$ of a family of Markov processes $X^{(n)}$ to a target set $G^{(n)}$ when the process starts from a trap defined by very general properties. We give an explicit description of the law of…

The time slice axiom states that the observables which can be measured within an arbitrarily small time interval suffice to predict all other observables. While well known for free field theories where the validity of the time slice axiom…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-03-20 Bruno Chilian , Klaus Fredenhagen

We study a random walk in a N dimensional hypercube and exhibit results about stopping times when N diverges. The first theorem discusses the time in which two coupling processes spend to meet. A corollary provides a majorant for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-30 Cláudia Peixoto

We study the first exit time $\tau$ from an arbitrary cone with apex at the origin by a non-homogeneous random walk (Markov chain) on $\Z^d$ ($d \geq 2$) with mean drift that is asymptotically zero. Specifically, if the mean drift at $\bx…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-27 Iain M. MacPhee , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

Generalized dimensions of multifractal measures are usually seen as static objects, related to the scaling properties of suitable partition functions, or moments of measures of cells. When these measures are invariant for the flow of a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Théophile Caby , Davide Faranda , Giorgio Mantica , Sandro Vaienti , Pascal Yiou