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This paper describes a data reduction technique in case of a markov chain of specified order. Instead of observing all the transitions in a markov chain we record only a few of them and treat the remaining part as missing. The decision…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-17 Atanu Kumar Ghosh , Arnab Chakraborty

We address the problem of inferring the topology of a wireless network using limited observational data. Specifically, we assume that we can detect when a node is transmitting, but no further information regarding the transmission is…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-07-03 James Martin , Tristan Pryer , Luca Zanetti

We define a new quantitative measure for an arbitrary factorial language: the entropy of a random walk in the prefix tree associated with the language; we call it Markov entropy. We relate Markov entropy to the growth rate of the language…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-07 Elena A. Petrova , Arseny M. Shur

Identification of causal structures and quantification of direct information flows in complex systems is a challenging yet important task, with practical applications in many fields. Data generated by dynamical processes or large-scale…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-08-06 Carlo Cafaro , Warren M. Lord , Jie Sun , Erik M. Bollt

We study the permutation complexity of finite-state stationary stochastic processes based on a duality between values and orderings between values. First, we establish a duality between the set of all words of a fixed length and the set of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-12-13 Taichi Haruna , Kohei Nakajima

We study an approximation method of stationary characters of a two-dimensional Markov chain via the Stein method. For this purpose, innovative methods are developed to estimate the moments of the Markov chain, as well as the solution to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Yingdong Lu

We provide a novel method for sensitivity analysis of parametric robust Markov chains. These models incorporate parameters and sets of probability distributions to alleviate the often unrealistic assumption that precise probabilities are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Thom Badings , Sebastian Junges , Ahmadreza Marandi , Ufuk Topcu , Nils Jansen

Depending on the frequency range of interest, finite element-based modeling of acoustic problems leads to dynamical systems with very high dimensional state spaces. As these models can mostly be described with second order linear dynamical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Siyang Hu , Nick Wulbusch , Alexey Chernov , Tamara Bechtold

This paper addresses the challenge of a particular class of noisy state observations in Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), a common issue in various real-world applications. We focus on modeling this uncertainty through a confusion matrix…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Amirhossein Afsharrad , Sanjay Lall

The analysis of temporal networks heavily depends on the analysis of time-respecting paths. However, before being able to model and analyze the time-respecting paths, we have to infer the timescales at which the temporal edges influence…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-30 Luka V. Petrović , Anatol Wegner , Ingo Scholtes

Objective: To characterize the irregularity of the spectrum of a signal, spectral entropy is a widely adopted measure. However, such a metric is invariant under any permutation of the estimations of the powers of individual frequency…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-28 Zhenning Mei , Xilin Yu , Chen Chen , Wei Chen

In this paper, we provide a new algorithm for the problem of prediction in Reinforcement Learning, \emph{i.e.}, estimating the Value Function of a Markov Reward Process (MRP) using the linear function approximation architecture, with memory…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-30 Ajin George Joseph , Shalabh Bhatnagar

The scalable calculation of matrix determinants has been a bottleneck to the widespread application of many machine learning methods such as determinantal point processes, Gaussian processes, generalised Markov random fields, graph models…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2017-04-25 Jack Fitzsimons , Diego Granziol , Kurt Cutajar , Michael Osborne , Maurizio Filippone , Stephen Roberts

Thermodynamic inference from coarse observations remains a key challenge. Memory, in particular correlations between consecutively observed mesostates, blur signatures of irreversibility and must be accounted for in defining physical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-24 Tassilo Schwarz , Anatoly B. Kolomeisky , Aljaž Godec

In spite of remarkable progress in machine learning techniques, the state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms often keep machines from real-time learning (online learning) due in part to computational complexity in parameter…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-11-27 Guhyun Kim , Vladimir Kornijcuk , Dohun Kim , Inho Kim , Jaewook Kim , Hyo Cheon Woo , Ji Hun Kim , Cheol Seong Hwang , Doo Seok Jeong

Transfer entropy is a measure of the magnitude and the direction of information flow between jointly distributed stochastic processes. In recent years, its permutation analogues are considered in the literature to estimate the transfer…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-03-12 Taichi Haruna , Kohei Nakajima

Specially customised Entropies are widely applied in measuring the degree of uncertainties existing in the frame of discernment. However, all of these entropies regard the frame as a whole that has already been determined which dose not…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Yuanpeng He

We study the problem of learning the transition matrices of a set of Markov chains from a single stream of observations on each chain. We assume that the Markov chains are ergodic but otherwise unknown. The learner can sample Markov chains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-14 Mohammad Sadegh Talebi , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

Markov networks are frequently used in sciences to represent conditional independence relationships underlying observed variables arising from a complex system. It is often of interest to understand how an underlying network differs between…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-26 Byol Kim , Song Liu , Mladen Kolar

We consider the problem of estimating a probability distribution that maximizes the entropy while satisfying a finite number of moment constraints, possibly corrupted by noise. Based on duality of convex programming, we present a novel…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Tobias Sutter , David Sutter , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , John Lygeros