Related papers: Lower deviation probabilities for supercritical Ga…
We consider population-size-dependent branching processes (PSDBPs) which eventually become extinct with probability one. For these processes, we derive maximum likelihood estimators for the mean number of offspring born to individuals when…
Let $(Z_n)$ be a supercritical branching process in an independent and identically distributed random environment $\xi$. We show the exact decay rate of the probability $\mathbb{P}(Z_n=j | Z_0 = k)$ as $n \to \infty$, for each $j \geq k,$…
We obtain several extensions of Talagrand's lower bound for the small deviation probability using metric entropy. For Gaussian processes, our investigations are focused on processes with sub-polynomial and, respectively, exponential…
We study the a.s. sample path regularity of Gaussian processes. To this end we relate the path regularity directly to the theory of small deviations. In particular, we show that if the process is $n$-times differentiable then the…
The classical Galton--Watson process works with a fixed probability of fission at each time step. One of the generalizations is that the probabilities depend on time. We consider one of the most complex and interesting cases when we do not…
We discuss approximations of the relative limit densities of descendants in Galton--Watson processes that follow from the Karlin--McGregor near-constancy phenomena. These approximations are based on the fast exponentially decaying Fourier…
We consider an indecomposable Galton-Watson branching process with countably infinitely many types. Assuming that the process is critical and allowing for infinite variance of the offspring sizes of some (or all) types of particles we…
A curious connection exists between the theory of optimal stopping for independent random variables, and branching processes. In particular, for the branching process $Z_n$ with offspring distribution $Y$, there exists a random variable $X$…
Subcritical catalytic branching random walk on d-dimensional lattice is studied. New theorems concerning the asymptotic behavior of distributions of local particles numbers are established. To prove the results different approaches are used…
Multi-type inhomogeneous Galton--Watson process with immigration is investigated, where the offspring mean matrix slowly converges to a critical mean matrix. Under general conditions we obtain limit distribution for the process, where the…
Branching Processes in a Random Environment (BPREs) $(Z_n:n\geq0)$ are a generalization of Galton Watson processes where in each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly in an i.i.d. manner. We determine here the upper large…
A Galton-Watson process in varying environment is a discrete time branching process where the offspring distributions vary among generations. Based on a two-spine decomposition technique, we provide a probabilistic argument of a Yaglom-type…
We study the small deviation probabilities of a family of very smooth self-similar Gaussian processes. The canonical process from the family has the same scaling property as standard Brownian motion and plays an important role in the study…
Motivated by applications to COVID dynamics, we describe a branching process in random environments model $\{Z_n\}$ whose characteristics change when crossing upper and lower thresholds. This introduces a cyclical path behavior involving…
Branching processes model the evolution of populations of agents that randomly generate offsprings. These processes, more patently Galton-Watson processes, are widely used to model biological, social, cognitive, and technological phenomena,…
We prove a scaling limit theorem for discrete Galton-Watson processes in varying environments. A simple sufficient condition for the weak convergence in the Skorokhod space is given in terms of probability generating functions. The limit…
Ewens-Pitman model has been successfully applied to various fields including Bayesian statistics. There are four important estimators $K_{n},M_{l,n}$,$K_{m}^{(n)},M_{l,m}^{(n)}$. In particular, $M_{1,n}, M_{1,m}^{(n)}$ are related to…
We present a new algorithm for computing the quasi-stationary distribution of subcritical Galton--Watson branching processes. This algorithm is based on a particular discretization of a well-known functional equation that characterizes the…
The problem of (pathwise) large deviations for conditionally continuous Gaussian processes is investigated. The theory of large deviations for Gaussian processes is extended to the wider class of random processes -- the conditionally…
We consider a multi-type Galton-Watson branching processes, where the largest in magnitude positive eigenvalue $\rho$ of the first moments matrix is close to unity. Specifically, we examine the random vector representing the number of…