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Due to their conjugate posteriors, Gaussian process priors are attractive for estimating the drift of stochastic differential equations with continuous time observations. However, their performance strongly depends on the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Jan van Waaij

Expectile regression is a useful tool for exploring the relation between the response and the explanatory variables beyond the conditional mean. This article develops a continuous threshold expectile regression for modeling data in which…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-09 Feipeng Zhang , Qunhua Li

We propose a new adequacy test and a graphical evaluation tool for nonlinear dynamic models. The proposed techniques can be applied in any setup where parametric conditional distribution of the data is specified, in particular to models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-02 Igor L. Kheifets

We introduce a novel function-on-function linear quantile regression model to characterize the entire conditional distribution of a functional response for a given functional predictor. Tensor cubic $B$-splines expansion is used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang , Semanur Saricam

This paper proposes and analyzes fully data driven methods for inference about the mean function of a stochastic process from a sample of independent trajectories of the process, observed at discrete time points and corrupted by additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-05-20 F. Bunea , M. H. Wegkamp , A. E. Ivanescu

Negative sampling methods are vital in implicit recommendation models as they allow us to obtain negative instances from massive unlabeled data. Most existing approaches focus on sampling hard negative samples in various ways. These studies…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Fuyuan Lyu , Yaochen Hu , Xing Tang , Yingxue Zhang , Ruiming Tang , Xue Liu

Dynamic inference problems in autoregressive (AR/ARMA/ARIMA), exponential smoothing, and navigation are often formulated and solved using state-space models (SSM), which allow a range of statistical distributions to inform innovations and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Jonathan Jonker , Peng Zheng , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin

In this paper a new smooth backfitting estimate is proposed for additive regression models. The estimate has the simple structure of Nadaraya--Watson smooth backfitting but at the same time achieves the oracle property of local linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Enno Mammen , Byeong U. Park

Many data mining and statistical machine learning algorithms have been developed to select a subset of covariates to associate with a response variable. Spurious discoveries can easily arise in high-dimensional data analysis due to enormous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-25 Jianqing Fan , Wen-Xin Zhou

The Hausman specification test assesses the random-effects specification by comparing the random-effects estimator with a fixed-effects alternative. This note shows how a recently proposed bias diagnostic for linear mixed models can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Andrew T. Karl

Bootstrap smoothed (bagged) parameter estimators have been proposed as an improvement on estimators found after preliminary data-based model selection. The key result of Efron (2014) is a very convenient and widely applicable formula for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-29 Paul Kabaila , Christeen Wijethunga

This study proposes a debiasing method for smooth nonparametric estimators. While machine learning techniques such as random forests and neural networks have demonstrated strong predictive performance, their theoretical properties remain…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-19 Masahiro Kato

This paper proposes several tests of restricted specification in nonparametric instrumental regression. Based on series estimators, test statistics are established that allow for tests of the general model against a parametric or…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-24 Christoph Breunig

The present work deals with active sampling of graph nodes representing training data for binary classification. The graph may be given or constructed using similarity measures among nodal features. Leveraging the graph for classification…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-17 Dimitris Berberidis , Georgios B. Giannakis

In this paper, we propose an adaptive smoothing spline (AdaSS) estimator for the function-on-function linear regression model where each value of the response, at any domain point, depends on the full trajectory of the predictor. The AdaSS…

We consider stochastic zero-order optimization problems, which arise in settings from simulation optimization to reinforcement learning. We propose an adaptive sampling quasi-Newton method where we estimate the gradients of a stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Raghu Bollapragada , Stefan M. Wild

In massive data analysis, training and testing data often come from very different sources, and their probability distributions are not necessarily identical. A feature example is nonparametric classification in posterior drift model where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Ruiqi Liu , Kexuan Li , Zuofeng Shang

Stochastic gradient descent algorithms for training linear and kernel predictors are gaining more and more importance, thanks to their scalability. While various methods have been proposed to speed up their convergence, the model selection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-17 Francesco Orabona

Subset selection in multiple linear regression aims to choose a subset of candidate explanatory variables that tradeoff fitting error (explanatory power) and model complexity (number of variables selected). We build mathematical programming…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-04 Young Woong Park , Diego Klabjan

In the nonparametric regression setting, we construct an estimator which is a continuous function interpolating the data points with high probability, while attaining minimax optimal rates under mean squared risk on the scale of H\"older…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Julien Chhor , Suzanne Sigalla , Alexandre B. Tsybakov