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Random objects are complex non-Euclidean data taking value in general metric space, possibly devoid of any underlying vector space structure. Such data are getting increasingly abundant with the rapid advancement in technology. Examples…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-13 Satarupa Bhattacharjee , Bing Li , Lingzhou Xue

Situations of a functional predictor paired with a scalar response are increasingly encountered in data analysis. Predictors are often appropriately modeled as square integrable smooth random functions. Imposing minimal assumptions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-08 Peter Hall , Hans-Georg Müller , Fang Yao

We study additive function-on-function regression where the mean response at a particular time point depends on the time point itself as well as the entire covariate trajectory. We develop a computationally efficient estimation methodology…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-15 Janet S. Kim , Ana-Maria Staicu , Arnab Maity , Raymond J. Carroll , David Ruppert

By selecting different filter functions, spectral algorithms can generate various regularization methods to solve statistical inverse problems within the learning-from-samples framework. This paper combines distributed spectral algorithms…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-18 Jiading Liu , Lei Shi

We propose a new autocorrelation measure for functional time series that we term spherical autocorrelation. It is based on measuring the average angle between lagged pairs of series after having been projected onto the unit sphere. This new…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-14 Chi-Kuang Yeh , Gregory Rice , Joel A. Dubin

How to best develop foundational models for time series forecasting remains an important open question. Tokenization is a crucial consideration in this effort: what is an effective discrete vocabulary for a real-valued sequential input? To…

A low-dimensional dynamical system is observed in an experiment as a high-dimensional signal; for example, a video of a chaotic pendulums system. Assuming that we know the dynamical model up to some unknown parameters, can we estimate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Ofir Lindenbaum , Amir Sagiv , Gal Mishne , Ronen Talmon

Various methods in statistical learning build on kernels considered in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. In applications, the kernel is often selected based on characteristics of the problem and the data. This kernel is then employed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-12 Paul Dommel , Alois Pichler

Linear autoregressive models serve as basic representations of discrete time stochastic processes. Different attempts have been made to provide non-linear versions of the basic autoregressive process, including different versions based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-17 Edgar A. Valencia , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We propose a generalized partially linear functional single index risk score model for repeatedly measured outcomes where the index itself is a function of time. We fuse the nonparametric kernel method and regression spline method, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-15 Fei Jiang , Yanyuan Ma , Yuanjia Wang

Predictive linear and nonlinear models based on kernel machines or deep neural networks have been used to discover dependencies among time series. This paper proposes an efficient nonlinear modeling approach for multiple time series, with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Kevin Roy , Luis Miguel Lopez-Ramos , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Quantifying predictive uncertainty of deep semantic segmentation networks is essential in safety-critical tasks. In applications like autonomous driving, where video data is available, convolutional long short-term memory networks are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Laura Fieback , Bidya Dash , Jakob Spiegelberg , Hanno Gottschalk

Depth measures are powerful tools for defining level sets in emerging, non--standard, and complex random objects such as high-dimensional multivariate data, functional data, and random graphs. Despite their favorable theoretical properties,…

The local regularity of functional time series is studied under $L^p-m-$appro\-ximability assumptions. The sample paths are observed with error at possibly random design points. Non-asymptotic concentration bounds of the regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Hassan Maissoro , Valentin Patilea , Myriam Vimond

In this work, we investigate the inverse problem of determining the kernel functions that best describe the mechanical behavior of a complex medium modeled by a general nonlocal viscoelastic wave equation. To this end, we minimize a…

We introduce a performance-driven framework for constructing strictly causal forward-oriented observables in strongly non-stationary time series. The method combines a robustly normalized composite of heterogeneous indicators with a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-17 Lucas A. Souza

For discrete-valued time series, predictive inference cannot be implemented through the construction of prediction intervals to some predetermined coverage level, as this is the case for real-valued time series. To address this problem, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch , Efstathios Paparoditis

Kernel-based tests provide a simple yet effective framework that use the theory of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces to design non-parametric testing procedures. In this paper we propose new theoretical tools that can be used to study the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-02 Tamara Fernández , Nicolás Rivera

Prediction of dynamical time series with additive noise using support vector machines or kernel based regression has been proved to be consistent for certain classes of discrete dynamical systems. Consistency implies that these methods are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-21 Raymundo Navarrete , Divakar Viswanath

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free technique for establishing valid prediction intervals. Although conventionally people conduct conformal prediction in the output space, this is not the only possibility. In this paper, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Jiaye Teng , Chuan Wen , Dinghuai Zhang , Yoshua Bengio , Yang Gao , Yang Yuan