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We consider multiple time scales systems of stochastic differential equations with small noise in random environments. We prove a quenched large deviations principle with explicit characterization of the action functional. The random medium…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-23 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

This article provides an introduction to the asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes. Maximum likelihood estimation is considered. The aim of this introduction is to be accessible to a wide audience and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-16 François Bachoc

This paper investigates asymptotic behavior of a stochastic SIR epidemic model, which is a system with degenerate diffusion. It gives sufficient conditions that are very close to the necessary conditions for the permanence. In addition,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-24 N. T. Dieu , D. H. Nguyen , N. H. Du , G. Yin

We define a class of dynamical maps on the quasi-local algebra of a quantum spin system, which are quantum analogues of probabilistic cellular automata. We develop criteria for such a system to be ergodic, i.e., to possess a unique…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 S. Richter , R. F. Werner

We extend to Lipschitz continuous functionals either of the true paths or of the Euler scheme with decreasing step of a wide class of Brownian ergodic diffusions, the Central Limit Theorems formally established for their marginal empirical…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-03 Gilles Pagès , Fabien Panloup

We study the asymptotic properties of the trajectories of a discrete-time random dynamical system in an infinite-dimensional Hilbert space. Under some natural assumptions on the model, we establish a multiplica-tive ergodic theorem with an…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Davit Martirosyan , Vahagn Nersesyan

Given a heterogeneous time-series sample, the objective is to find points in time (called change points) where the probability distribution generating the data has changed. The data are assumed to have been generated by arbitrary unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-13 Azadeh Khaleghi , Daniil Ryabko

In search for mathematically tractable models of anomalous diffusion, we introduce a simple dynamical system consisting of a chain of coupled maps of the interval whose Lyapunov exponents vanish everywhere. The volume preserving property…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-10-03 Lucia Salari , Lamberto Rondoni , Claudio Giberti

We show that the class of $L^2$ functions for which ergodic averages of a reversible Markov chain have finite asymptotic variance is determined by the class of $L^2$ functions for which ergodic averages of its associated jump chain have…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-26 George Deligiannidis , Anthony Lee

We propose a contrast-based estimation method for Gaussian processes with time-inhomogeneous drifts, observed under high-frequency sampling. The process is modeled as the sum of a deterministic drift function and a stationary Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Yasutaka Shimizu

In this article, we prove the Eyring-Kramers formula for non-reversible metastable diffusion processes that have a Gibbs invariant measure. Our result indicates that non-reversible processes exhibit faster metastable transitions between…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-20 Jungkyoung Lee , Insuk Seo

We consider the Markov random flight $\bold X(t), \; t>0,$ in the three-dimensional Euclidean space $\Bbb R^3$ with constant finite speed $c>0$ and the uniform choice of the initial and each new direction at random time instants that form a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Alexander D. Kolesnik

In this paper, we consider possibly misspecified stochastic differential equation models driven by L\'{e}vy processes. Regardless of whether the driving noise is Gaussian or not, Gaussian quasi-likelihood estimator can estimate unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Yuma Uehara

We prove asymptotic equivalence of nonparametric additive regression and an appropriate Gaussian white noise experiment in which a multidimensional shifted Wiener process is observed, whose dimension equals the number of additive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Moritz Jirak , Alexander Meister , Angelika Rohde

The extremogram, proposed by Davis and Mikosch (2008), is a useful tool for measuring extremal dependence and checking model adequacy in a time series. We define the extremogram in the spatial domain when the data is observed on a lattice…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-09 Yongbum Cho , Richard A. Davis , Souvik Ghosh

Consider a discrete time Markov process $X^\epsilon$ on $\mathbf R^d$ that makes a deterministic jump based on its current location, and then takes a small Gaussian step of variance $\epsilon^2$. We study the behavior of the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-19 William Cooperman , Gautam Iyer , James Nolen

This paper deals with nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian locally stationary processes. Our nonparametric MLE is constructed by minimizing a frequency domain likelihood over a class of functions. The asymptotic behavior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

An analytical theory, based on the perturbative treatment of the disorder and extended into a self-consistent set of equations for the dynamical density correlations, is developed and applied to the prototype one-dimensional model of…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2017-07-18 P. Prelovšek , J. Herbrych

We apply the concept of distance covariance for testing independence of two long-range dependent time series. As test statistic we propose a linear combination of empirical distance cross-covariances. We derive the asymptotic distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Annika Betken , Herold Dehling

From a dynamical viewpoint, basic phase transitions of statistical mechanics can be regarded as a breaking of ergodicity. While many random models exhibiting such transitions at the thermodynamics limit exist, finite-dimensional examples…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-09-25 Bastien Fernandez
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