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The study of random Fourier series, linear combinations of trigonometric functions whose coefficients are independent (in our case Gaussian) random variables with polynomially bounded means and standard deviations, dates back to Norbert…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Ethan Sussman

This paper presents a novel variational inference framework for deriving a family of Bayesian sparse Gaussian process regression (SGPR) models whose approximations are variationally optimal with respect to the full-rank GPR model enriched…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-25 Haibin Yu , Trong Nghia Hoang , Kian Hsiang Low , Patrick Jaillet

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems where the slow motion is driven by fractional Brownian motion. We develop statistical estimators for both the Hurst index as well as a vector of unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-26 Solesne Bourguin , Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The comparison of local characteristics of two random processes can shed light on periods of time or space at which the processes differ the most. This paper proposes a method that learns about regions with a certain volume, where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-14 Miguel de Carvalho , Gabriel Martos Venturini

In this paper we present a general mathematical construction that allows us to define a parametric class of $H$-sssi stochastic processes (self-similar with stationary increments), which have marginal probability density function that…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-06 Antonio Mura , Francesco Mainardi

Covariate measurement error in nonparametric regression is a common problem in nutritional epidemiology and geostatistics, and other fields. Over the last two decades, this problem has received substantial attention in the frequentist…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Shuang Zhou , Debdeep Pati , Tianying Wang , Yun Yang , Raymond J. Carroll

Stochastic integration with respect to Gaussian processes, such as fractional Brownian motion (fBm) or multifractional Brownian motion (mBm), has raised strong interest in recent years, motivated in particular by applications in finance,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Joachim Lebovits

We present an extension of local sensitivity analysis, also referred to as the perturbation approach for uncertainty quantification, to Bayesian inverse problems. More precisely, we show how moments of random variables with respect to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Jürgen Dölz , David Ebert

We consider fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst parameters from (1/2,1). We found that the increment of a fractional Brownian motion can be represented as the sum of a two independent Gaussian processes one of which is smooth in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-14 Nikolai Dokuchaev

Motivated by applications in functional data analysis, we study the partial sum process of sparsely observed, random functions. A key novelty of our analysis are bounds for the distributional distance between the limit Brownian motion and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-27 Tim Kutta , Piotr Kokoszka

Stochastic variational inference makes it possible to approximate posterior distributions induced by large datasets quickly using stochastic optimization. The algorithm relies on the use of fully factorized variational distributions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-27 Matthew D. Hoffman , David M. Blei

We use rescaled Gaussian processes as prior models for functional parameters in nonparametric statistical models. We show how the rate of contraction of the posterior distributions depends on the scaling factor. In particular, we exhibit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Aad van der Vaart , Harry van Zanten

The time evolution of complex systems usually can be described through stochastic processes. These processes are measured at finite resolution, what necessarily reduces them to finite sequences of real numbers. In order to relate these data…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 D. M. Tavares , L. S. Lucena

We unify and extend the semigroup and the PDE approaches to stochastic maximal regularity of time-dependent semilinear parabolic problems with noise given by a cylindrical Brownian motion. We treat random coefficients that are only…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-02-12 Pierre Portal , Mark Veraar

Stochastic processes are a flexible and widely used family of models for statistical modeling. While stochastic processes offer attractive properties such as inclusion of uncertainty properties, their inference is typically intractable,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Teemu Härkönen , Simo Särkkä

We provide posterior contraction rates for constrained deep Gaussian processes in non-parametric density estimation and classication. The constraints are in the form of bounds on the values and on the derivatives of the Gaussian processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-15 François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux

Gaussian Process Regression is a popular nonparametric regression method based on Bayesian principles that provides uncertainty estimates for its predictions. However, these estimates are of a Bayesian nature, whereas for some important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Christian Fiedler , Carsten W. Scherer , Sebastian Trimpe

This paper is devoted to establish an invariance principle where the limit process is a multifractional Gaussian process with a multifractional function which takes its values in $(1/2,1)$. Some properties, such as regularity and local…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Serge Cohen , Renaud Marty

Optimal sample path properties of stochastic processes often involve generalized H\"{o}lder- or variation norms. Following a classical result of Taylor, the exact variation of Brownian motion is measured in terms of $\psi (x) \equiv $…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-02 Peter Friz , Harald Oberhauser

We consider equidistant Riemann approximations of stochastic integrals $\int_0^T f(B^H_s)dB^H_s$ with respect to the fractional Brownian motion with $H>\frac12$, where $f$ is an arbitrary function of locally bounded variation, hence…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Valentin Garino , Lauri Viitasaari