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We investigate the asymptotic behavior of parametric Bayes estimators under a broad class of loss functions that extend beyond the classical translation-invariant setting. To this end, we develop a unified theoretical framework for loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Robin Requadt , Housen Li , Axel Munk

Real-world measurement noise in applications like robotics is often correlated in time, but we typically assume i.i.d. Gaussian noise for filtering. We propose general Gaussian Processes as a non-parametric model for correlated measurement…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-25 Vince Kurtz , Hai Lin

Summary statistics of the likelihood, such as the Bayesian evidence, offer a principled way of comparing models and assessing tension between, or within, the results of physical experiments. Noisy realisations of the data induce scatter in…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-04-30 B. Joachimi , F. Köhlinger , W. Handley , P. Lemos

We consider nonlinear filters for diffusion processes when the observation and signal noises are small and of the same order. As the noise intensities approach zero, the nonlinear filter can be approximated by a certain variational problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Anugu Sumith Reddy , Amarjit Budhiraja , Amit Apte

We obtain exact asymptotic results for the disorder averaged persistence of a Brownian particle moving in a biased Sinai landscape. We employ a new method that maps the problem of computing the persistence to the problem of finding the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Satya N. Majumdar , Alain Comtet

We first establish a law of large numbers and a convergence theorem in distribution to show the rate of convergence of the non-local means filter for removing Gaussian noise. We then introduce the notion of degree of similarity to measure…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-03-12 Haijuan Hu , Bing Li , Quansheng Liu

We develop a semiparametric Bayesian approach for estimating the mean response in a missing data model with binary outcomes and a nonparametrically modelled propensity score. Equivalently we estimate the causal effect of a treatment,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Kolyan Ray , Aad van der Vaart

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) can model complex marginal densities as well as complex mappings. Non-Gaussian marginals are essential for modelling real-world data, and can be generated from the DGP by incorporating uncorrelated variables…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-15 Hugh Salimbeni , Vincent Dutordoir , James Hensman , Marc Peter Deisenroth

We aim to develop simultaneous inference tools for the mean function of functional data from sparse to dense. First, we derive a unified Gaussian approximation to construct simultaneous confidence bands of mean functions based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 Leheng Cai , Qirui Hu

An uncertainty inequality is presented that establishes a lower limit for the product of the variance of the time-averaged intensity of a mode of a quantized electromagnetic field and the degree of its spatial localization. The lower limit…

Let X be a Poisson point process of intensity lambda on the real line. A thickening of it is a (deterministic) measurable function f such that the union of X and f(X) is a Poisson point process of intensity lambda' where lambda'>lambda. An…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Ori Gurel-Gurevich , Ron Peled

We consider nonparametric invariant density and drift estimation for a class of multidimensional degenerate resp. hypoelliptic diffusion processes, so-called stochastic damping Hamiltonian systems or kinetic diffusions, under anisotropic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Niklas Dexheimer , Claudia Strauch

The effect of additive white noise on a model for bursting behavior in large aspect-ratio binary fluid convection is considered. Such bursts are present in systems with nearly square symmetry and are the result of heteroclinic cycles…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 Jeff Moehlis

Giving a convincing experimental evidence of the quantum supremacy over classical simulations is a challenging goal. Noise is considered to be the main problem in such a demonstration, hence it is urgent to understand the effect of noise.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-03-08 Valery Shchesnovich

This paper develops new analytical process noise covariance models for both absolute and relative spacecraft states. Process noise is always present when propagating a spacecraft state due to dynamics modeling deficiencies. Accurately…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Nathan Stacey , Simone D'Amico

We establish explicit quenched asymptotics for pure-jump symmetric L\'evy processes in general Poissonian potentials, which is closely related to large time asymptotic behavior of solutions to the nonlocal parabolic Anderson problem with…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Jian Wang

In this work we study the asymptotic consistency of the weak-form sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics algorithm (WSINDy) in the identification of differential equations from noisy samples of solutions. We prove that the WSINDy…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Daniel A. Messenger , David M. Bortz

An approach to inference for relative sparsity was developed in prior work, and an adaptive lasso asymptotic normality theorem was given there, but this theorem was not fully used when estimating the variance of the policy coefficients.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Samuel Julian Weisenthal

We show that the random point measures induced by vertices in the convex hull of a Poisson sample on the unit ball, when properly scaled and centered, converge to those of a mean zero Gaussian field. We establish limiting variance and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-09 T. Schreiber , J. E. Yukich

In numerous applications data are observed at random times and an estimated graph of the spectral density may be relevant for characterizing and explaining phenomena. By using a wavelet analysis, one derives a nonparametric estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-27 Jean-Marc Bardet , Pierre Bertrand