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Related papers: New approaches to Bayesian consistency

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(This is the third version of a working paper.) We develop a family of self-normalized concentration inequalities for marginal mean under martingale-difference structure and $\phi/\tilde{\phi}$-mixing conditions, where the latter includes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Zihao Yuan

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in a Bayesian setting and propose a general lower-bound that includes part of the family of $f$-Divergences. The results are then applied to specific settings of interest and compared to other…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Adrien Vandenbroucque , Amedeo Roberto Esposito , Michael Gastpar

A Berry-Esseen bound is obtained for self-normalized martingales under the assumption of finite moments. The bound coincides with the classical Berry-Esseen bound for standardized martingales. An example is given to show the optimality of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Xiequan Fan , Qi-Man Shao

We consider the use of randomised forward models and log-likelihoods within the Bayesian approach to inverse problems. Such random approximations to the exact forward model or log-likelihood arise naturally when a computationally expensive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-29 H. C. Lie , T. J. Sullivan , A. L. Teckentrup

In an empirical Bayesian setting, we provide a new multiple testing method, useful when an additional covariate is available, that influences the probability of each null hypothesis being true. We measure the posterior significance of each…

Applications · Statistics 2008-07-30 Egil Ferkingstad , Arnoldo Frigessi , Håvard Rue , Gudmar Thorleifsson , Augustine Kong

This paper introduces and reviews some of the principles and methods used in Bayesian reliability. It specifically discusses methods used in the analysis of success/no-success data and then reminds the reader of a simple Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-10 Carsten H. Botts

Complementing the analysis in [41], we investigate the well-posedness of SPDEs problems of doubly nonlinear type. These arise ubiquitously in the modelization of dissipative media and correspond to generalized balance laws between…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-09-18 Luca Scarpa , Ulisse Stefanelli

In this survey we borrow from Coskun and Huizenga an example of application of Bridgeland stability conditions to birational geometry and we rephrase it without assuming any previous knowledge about derived categories.

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2016-07-08 Claudio Fontanari , Diletta Martinelli

We propose one and a half criteria for determining how many measurements are needed to quantify entanglement reliably. We base these criteria on Bayesian analysis of measurement results, and apply our methods to four-qubit entanglement, but…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-20 Jun O. S. Yin , Steven J. van Enk

We investigate stability conditions related to the existence of solutions of the Hull-Strominger system with prescribed balanced class. We build on recent work by the authors, where the Hull-Strominger system is recasted using non-Hermitian…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2023-01-20 Mario Garcia-Fernandez , Raul Gonzalez Molina

The sample mean is often used to aggregate different unbiased estimates of a parameter, producing a final estimate that is unbiased but possibly high-variance. This paper introduces the Bayesian median of means, an aggregation rule that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Paulo Orenstein

With the advent of high-performance computing, Bayesian methods are increasingly popular tools for the quantification of uncertainty throughout science and industry. Since these methods impact the making of sometimes critical decisions in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-20 Houman Owhadi , Clint Scovel , Tim Sullivan

We present three tiers of Bayesian consistency tests for the general case of $correlated$ datasets. Building on duplicates of the model parameters assigned to each dataset, these tests range from Bayesian evidence ratios as a global summary…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-24 Fabian Köhlinger , Benjamin Joachimi , Marika Asgari , Massimo Viola , Shahab Joudaki , Tilman Tröster

Necessary and sufficient conditions for bipartite entanglement are derived, which apply to arbitrary Hilbert spaces. Motivated by the concept of witnesses, optimized entanglement inequalities are formulated solely in terms of arbitrary…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 J. Sperling , W. Vogel

Stacking is a widely used model averaging technique that asymptotically yields optimal predictions among linear averages. We show that stacking is most effective when model predictive performance is heterogeneous in inputs, and we can…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-29 Yuling Yao , Gregor Pirš , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

In this note, we shortly survey some recent approaches on the approximation of the Bayes factor used in Bayesian hypothesis testing and in Bayesian model choice. In particular, we reassess importance sampling, harmonic mean sampling, and…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-13 Christian P. Robert , Darren Wraith

Using Bridgeland stability conditions we give sufficient criteria for a stable vector bundle on a surface to remain stable when restricted to a curve. We give a stronger criterion when the vector bundle is a general vector bundle on the…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2020-06-16 John Kopper

Bayesian statistics is concerned with conducting posterior inference for the unknown quantities in a given statistical model. Conventional Bayesian inference requires the specification of a probabilistic model for the observed data, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-11 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi , David J. Nott

This paper shows that large nonparametric classes of conditional multivariate densities can be approximated in the Kullback--Leibler distance by different specifications of finite mixtures of normal regressions in which normal means and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Andriy Norets

In this paper we consider the problem of multiple testing when the hypotheses are dependent. In most of the existing literature, either Bayesian or non-Bayesian, the decision rules mainly focus on the validity of the test procedure rather…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-10 Noirrit K. Chandra , Sourabh Bhattacharya
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