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An extension of the Hawkes model where the productivity is variable is considered. In particular, the case is considered where each point may have its own productivity and a simple analytic formula is derived for the maximum likelihood…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-20 Frederic Paik Schoenberg

Motivated by applications to the study of depth functions for tree-indexed random variables generated by point processes, we describe functional limit theorems for the intensity measure of point processes. Specifically, we establish uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-08 Giacomo Francisci , Anand N. Vidyashankar

Conditioning a multitype Galton-Watson process to stay alive into the indefinite future leads to what is known as its associated $Q$-process. We show that the same holds true if the process is conditioned to reach a positive threshold or a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-09 Sophie Pénisson

We consider here multitype Bienaym\'e--Galton--Watson trees, under the conditioning that the numbers of vertices of given type satisfy some linear relations. We prove that, under some smoothness conditions on the offspring distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-20 Paul Thévenin

We consider infinite Galton-Watson trees without leaves together with i.i.d.~random variables called marks on each of their vertices. We define a class of flow rules on marked Galton-Watson trees for which we are able, under some algebraic…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Pierre Rousselin

Branching processes pervade many models in statistical physics. We investigate the survival probability of a Galton-Watson branching process after a finite number of generations. We reveal the finite-size scaling law of the survival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-26 Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Francesc Font-Clos , Alvaro Corral

A variety of estimators for the parameters of the Generalized Pareto distribution, the approximating distribution for excesses over a high threshold, have been proposed, always assuming the underlying data to be independent. We recently…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-26 Lukas Martig , Jürg Hüsler

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang

There is a well-known sequence of constants c_n describing the growth of supercritical Galton-Watson processes Z_n. With 'lower deviation probabilities' we refer to P(Z_n=k_n) with k_n=o(c_n) as n increases. We give a detailed picture of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Klaus Fleischmann , Vitali Wachtel

We consider a marking procedure of the vertices of a tree where each vertex is marked independently from the others with a probability that depends only on its out-degree. We prove that a critical Galton-Watson tree conditioned on having a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Romain Abraham , Aymen Bouaziz , Jean-François Delmas

The article is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the quadratic covariation of non-synchronously observed It\^o processes in an additive microstructure noise model. In a high-frequency setting, we aim at establishing an asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-22 Markus Bibinger

This paper considers the relative frequencies of distinct types of individuals in multitype branching processes. We prove that the frequencies are asymptotically multivariate normal when the initial number of ancestors is large and the time…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-02 Andrei Y. Yakovlev , Nikolay M. Yanev

We define the group-lasso estimator for the natural parameters of the exponential families of distributions representing hierarchical log-linear models under multinomial sampling scheme. Such estimator arises as the solution of a convex…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-31 Yuval Nardi , Alessandro Rinaldo

We consider branching random walks and contact processes on infinite, connected, locally finite graphs whose reproduction and infectivity rates across edges are inversely proportional to vertex degree. We show that when the ambient graph is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-16 Wei Su

Looptrees have recently arisen in the study of critical percolation on the uniform infinite planar triangulation. Here we consider random infinite looptrees defined as the local limit of the looptree associated with a critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Jakob E. Björnberg , Sigurdur Örn Stefánsson

We describe the asymptotic behavior of the conditional least squares estimator of the offspring mean for subcritical strongly stationary Galton--Watson processes with regularly varying immigration with tail index $\alpha \in (1,2)$. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Matyas Barczy , Bojan Basrak , Péter Kevei , Gyula Pap , Hrvoje Planinić

We consider covariance parameter estimation for a Gaussian process under inequality constraints (boundedness, monotonicity or convexity) in fixed-domain asymptotics. We address the estimation of the variance parameter and the estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-04 François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Andrés F. López-Lopera

We consider the set of random Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson trees with a bounded number of offspring and bounded number of generations as a statistical mechanics model: a random tree is a rooted subtree of the maximal tree; the spin at a given…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-10-26 Francois Dunlop , Arif Mardin

We consider the random conductance model, where the underlying graph is an infinite supercritical Galton--Watson tree, the conductances are independent but their distribution may depend on the degree of the incident vertices. We prove that,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Nina Gantert , Sebastian Müller , Serguei Popov , Marina Vachkovskaia

We study the extremes of branching random walks under the assumption that the underlying Galton-Watson tree has infinite progeny mean. It is assumed that the displacements are either regularly varying or they have lighter tails. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Souvik Ray , Rajat Subhra Hazra , Parthanil Roy , Philippe Soulier
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