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Related papers: Asymptotics in randomized urn models

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Early investigation of P\'{o}lya urns considered drawing balls one at a time. In the last two decades, several authors considered multiple drawing in each step, but mostly for schemes on two colors. In this manuscript, we consider multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-20 Joshua Sparks , Markus Kuba , Srinivasan Balaji , Hosam Mahmoud

This paper studies inference in randomized controlled trials with multiple treatments, where treatment status is determined according to a "matched tuples" design. Here, by a matched tuples design, we mean an experimental design where units…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-06 Yuehao Bai , Jizhou Liu , Max Tabord-Meehan

We introduce and analyze a random tree model associated to Hoppe's urn. The tree is built successively by adding nodes to the existing tree when starting with the single root node. In each step a node is added to the tree as a child of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-06 Kevin Leckey , Ralph Neininger

The stochastic models investigated in this paper describe the evolution of a set of $F_N$ identical balls scattered into $N$ urns connected by an underlying symmetrical graph with constant degree $h_N$. After some random amount of time {\em…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Wen Sun , Philippe Robert

The purpose of this paper is twofold. First, we present a conjecture to the effect that the ranks of the syzygy modules of a smooth projective variety become normally distributed as the positivity of the embedding line bundle grows. Then,…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2018-04-30 Lawrence Ein , Daniel Erman , Robert Lazarsfeld

We introduce a class of stochastic processes with reinforcement consisting of a sequence of random partitions $\{\mathcal{P}_t\}_{t \ge 1}$, where $\mathcal{P}_t$ is a partition of $\{1,2,\dots, Rt\}$. At each time~$t$,~$R$ numbers are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Caio Alves , Rodrigo Ribeiro , Daniel Valesin

This is a research endeavor in two parts. We study a class of balanced urn schemes on balls of two colours (say white and black). At each drawing, a sample of size $m\ge 1$ is drawn from the urn, and ball addition rules are applied. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-01 Markus Kuba , Hosam M. Mahmoud

We collect, survey and develop methods of (one-dimensional) stochastic approximation in a framework that seems suitable to handle fairly broad generalizations of Polya urns. To show the applicability of the results we determine the limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-22 Henrik Renlund

An urn model of Diaconis and some generalizations are discussed. A convergence theorem is proved that implies for Diaconis' model that the empirical distribution of balls in the urn converges with probability one to the uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Siegmund , Benjamin Yakir

Consider throwing $n$ balls at random into $m$ urns, each ball landing in urn $i$ with probability $p_i$. Let $S$ be the resulting number of singletons, i.e., urns containing just one ball. We give an error bound for the Kolmogorov distance…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-23 Mathew D. Penrose

Given a finite connected graph G, place a bin at each vertex. Two bins are called a pair if they share an edge of G. At discrete times, a ball is added to each pair of bins. In a pair of bins, one of the bins gets the ball with probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Michel Benaim , Itai Benjamini , Jun Chen , Yuri Lima

A classical P\'olya urn scheme is a Markov process whose evolution is encoded by a replacement matrix $(R_{i,j})_{1\leq i,j\leq d}$. At every discrete time-step, we draw a ball uniformly at random, denote its colour $c$, and replace it in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Nabil Lasmar , Cécile Mailler , Olfa Selmi

The asymptotic behaviour of a generalised P\'olya--Eggenberger urn is well--known to depend on the spectrum of its replacement matrix: If its dominant eigenvalue $r$ is simple and no other eigenvalue is `large' in the sense that its real…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Noela Müller

We study a multiple-urn version of the Ehrenfest model. In this setting, we denote the n urns by Urn 1 to Urn n, where n>=2. Initially, M balls are randomly placed in the n urns. At each subsequent step, a ball is selected and put into the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-07 Sai Song , Qiang Yao

We consider a mean-field dynamical urn model, defined by rules which give the rate at which a ball is drawn from an urn and put in another one, chosen amongst an assembly. At equilibrium, this model possesses a fluid and a condensed phase,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 C. Godreche , J. M. Luck

It is common to conduct causal inference in matched observational studies by proceeding as though treatment assignments within matched sets are assigned uniformly at random and using this distribution as the basis for inference. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-14 Samuel D. Pimentel , Yaxuan Huang

We revisit the random allocation model in which $n$ balls are independently placed into $N$ boxes with probabilities $q_1,\ldots,q_N$. A classical asymptotic result due to Kolchin, Sevastyanov, and Chistyakov for the expectations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Serik Sagitov

Though widely used in applications, reinforced random walk on graphs have never been the subject of a valid statistical inference. We develop in this paper a statistical framework for a general two-colored urn model. The probability to draw…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-05 Line Chloé Le Goff , Philippe Soulier

Consider an election where N seats are distributed among parties with proportions p_1,...,p_m of the votes. We study, for the common divisor and quota methods, the asymptotic distribution, and in particular the mean, of the seat excess of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-31 Svante Janson

This paper develops an analytic theory for the study of some Polya urns with random rules. The idea is to extend the isomorphism theorem in Flajolet et al. (2006), which connects deterministic balanced urns to a differential system for the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Basile Morcrette , Hosam M. Mahmoud