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The aim of this paper is to provide models for spatial extremes in the case of stationarity. The spatial dependence at extreme levels of a stationary process is modeled using an extension of the theory of max-stable processes of de Haan and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Laurens de Haan , Teresa T. Pereira

In spatial statistics and machine learning, the kernel matrix plays a pivotal role in prediction, classification, and maximum likelihood estimation. A thorough examination reveals that for large sample sizes, the kernel matrix becomes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-07 Hao Zhang

We study the problem of non-parametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of a Poisson point process. The observations are $n$ independent realisations of a Poisson point process on the interval $[0,T]$. We propose two related…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-31 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

We consider a one-dimensional stationary time series of fixed duration $T$. We investigate the time $t_{\rm m}$ at which the process reaches the global maximum within the time interval $[0,T]$. By using a path-decomposition technique, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-23 Francesco Mori , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We introduce a new variational estimator for the intensity function of an inhomogeneous spatial point process with points in the $d$-dimensional Euclidean space and observed within a bounded region. The variational estimator applies in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Jesper Møller

We introduce a continuum percolation model defined on the points of a d-dimensional homogeneous Poisson process. Each Poisson point is connected to all points within its connection range, which depends on the distances to the other Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. Gillett , M. Nuyens

A spatial point process can be characterized by an intensity function which predicts the number of events that occur across space. In this paper, we develop a method to infer predictive intensity intervals by learning a spatial model using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-06 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

We review the methods of constructing confidence intervals that account for a priori information about one-sided constraints on the parameter being estimated. We show that the so-called method of sensitivity limit yields a correct solution…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-20 A. V. Lokhov , F. V. Tkachov

Given a simple transient random walk $(S_n)_{n\geq 0}$ in $\mathbf{Z}$ and a stationary sequence of real random variables $(\xi(s))_{s\in \mathbf{Z}}$, we investigate the extremes of the sequence $(\xi(S_n))_{n\geq 0}$. Under suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Nicolas Chenavier , Ahmad Darwiche , Arnaud Rousselle

We establish sample-path large deviation principles for the centered cumulative functional of marked Poisson cluster processes in the Skorokhod space equipped with the M1 topology, under joint regular variation assumptions on the marks and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Fabien Baeriswyl , Olivier Wintenberger

The first passage time density of a diffusion process to a time varying threshold is of primary interest in different fields. Here we consider a Brownian motion in presence of an exponentially decaying threshold to model the neuronal…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-18 Massimiliano Tamborrino

Project a collection of points on the high-dimensional sphere onto a random direction. If most of the points are sufficiently far from one another in an appropriate sense, the projection is locally close in distribution to the Poisson point…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-27 Itai Benjamini , Oded Schramm , Sasha Sodin

Heuristics indicate that point processes exhibiting clustering of points have larger critical radius $r_c$ for the percolation of their continuum percolation models than spatially homogeneous point processes. It has already been shown, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 B. Blaszczyszyn , D. Yogeshwaran

Representations of branching Markov processes and their measure-valued limits in terms of countable systems of particles are constructed for models with spatially varying birth and death rates. Each particle has a location and a "level,"…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-11 Thomas G. Kurtz , Eliane R. Rodrigues

We review some recent development in the theory of spatial extremes related to Pareto Processes and modeling of threshold exceedances. We provide theoretical background, methodology for modeling, simulation and inference as well as an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Clement Dombry , Juliette Legrand , Thomas Opitz

An important task in computational statistics and machine learning is to approximate a posterior distribution $p(x)$ with an empirical measure supported on a set of representative points $\{x_i\}_{i=1}^n$. This paper focuses on methods…

The main purpose of the paper is to investigate the possibility of applying Chen-Stein approach to estimate the $\chi^2$ distance between Poisson distribution and a sum of independent indicators. Earlier results concerning $\chi^2$ distance…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Vytas Zacharovas

We discuss the approximate phenomenological description of the motion of a single second-class particle in a two-species totally asymmetric simple exclusion process (TASEP) on a 1D lattice. Initially, the second class particle is located at…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 Aanjaneya Kumar , Deepak Dhar

Gaussian processes (GPs) are ubiquitous tools for modeling and predicting continuous processes in physical and engineering sciences. This is partly due to the fact that one may employ a Gaussian process as an interpolator while facilitating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 D. Andrew Brown , Peter Kiessler , John Nicholson

This paper addresses a detection problem where several spatially distributed sensors independently observe a time-inhomogeneous stochastic process. The task is to decide between two hypotheses regarding the statistics of the observed…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-05 Chetan D. Pahlajani , Ioannis Poulakakis , Herbert G. Tanner