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The problem of sequentially detecting an abrupt change in a sequence of independent and identically distributed (IID) random variables is addressed. Whereas previous approaches assume a known probability density function (PDF) at the start…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 James Falt , Steven D. Blostein

This paper is concerned with one kind of partially observed progressive optimal control problems of coupled forward-backward stochastic systems driven by both Brownian motion and Poisson random measure with risk-sensitive criteria. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Jingtao Lin , Jingtao Shi

We develop a recursive method for perturbative solutions of the Fokker-Planck equation with nonlinear drift. The series expansion of the time-dependent probability density in terms of powers of the coupling constant is obtained by solving a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-12-06 Jens Dreger , Axel Pelster , Bodo Hamprecht

In the classical quickest detection problem, one must detect as quickly as possible when a Brownian motion without drift "changes" into a Brownian motion with positive drift. The change occurs at an unknown "disorder" time with exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Robert C. Dalang , Albert N. Shiryaev

In the Bayesian approach, the a priori knowledge about the input of a mathematical model is described via a probability measure. The joint distribution of the unknown input and the data is then conditioned, using Bayes' formula, giving rise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-15 Sebastian J. Vollmer

In this paper, we proved moderate deviation principles for a fully coupled two-time-scale stochastic systems, where the slow process is given by stochastic differential equations with small noise, while the fast process is a rapidly…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Hongjiang Qian

This paper studies explicitly solvable multidimensional optimal stopping problems of sum- and product-type in discrete and continuous time using the monotone case approach. It gives a review on monotone case stopping using the Doob…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-04 Sören Christensen , Albrecht Irle

We study the best-choice problem for processes which generalise the process of records from Poisson-paced i.i.d. observations. Under the assumption that the observer knows distribution of the process and the horizon, we determine the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexander Gnedin

The aim of this paper is to establish the existence and uniqueness of the solution to a system of nonlinear fully coupled forward-backward doubly stochastic differential equations with Poisson jumps. Our system is Markovian in the sense…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-19 AbdulRahman Al-Hussein , Boulakhras Gherbal

We study a general non-homogeneous Skellam-type process with jumps of arbitrary fixed size. We express this process in terms of a linear combination of Poisson processes and study several properties, including the summation of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-11 Fabrizio Cinque , Enzo Orsingher

The continuous time Markov process considered in this paper belongs to a class of population models with linear growth and catastrophes. There, the catastrophes happen at the arrival times of a Poisson process, and at each catastrophe time,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-14 A. Logachov , O. Logachova , A. Yambartsev

Motivated by the recent contribution \cite{BB17} we study the scaling limit behavior of a class of one-dimensional stochastic differential equations which has a unique attracting point subject to a small additional repulsive perturbation.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-06-26 Martin Kolb , Matthias Liesenfeld

Systems whose time evolutions are entirely deterministic can nevertheless be studied probabilistically, i.e. in terms of the evolution of probability distributions rather than individual trajectories. This approach is central to the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-09-06 S. Richard Taylor

We consider a system of $N$ interacting particles, described by SDEs driven by Poisson random measures, where the coefficients depend on the empirical measure of the system. Every particle jumps with a jump rate depending on its position.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-19 Eva Löcherbach , Dasha Loukianova , Elisa Marini

We introduce a multistable subordinator, which generalizes the stable subordinator to the case of time-varying stability index. This enables us to define a multifractional Poisson process. We study properties of these processes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-05 Ilya Molchanov , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

The solution to Poisson's equation arise in many Markov chain and Markov jump process settings, including that of the central limit theorem, value functions for average reward Markov decision processes, and within the gradient formula for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Saied Mahdian , Peter W. Glynn , Yuanyuan Liu

In this paper, the problem of finding state bounds is considered, for the first time, for a class of positive time-delay coupled differential-difference equations (CDDEs) with bounded disturbances. First, we present a novel method, which is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-03 Phan Thanh Nam , Thi-Hiep Luu

We consider the problem of estimating the density of the process associated with the small jumps of a pure jump L\'evy process, possibly of infinite variation, from discrete observations of one trajectory. The interest of such a question…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Céline Duval , Taher Jalal , Ester Mariucci

The Poisson process of order $i$ is a weighted sum of independent Poisson processes and is used to model the flow of clients in different services. In the paper below we study some extensions of this process, for different forms of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-01 A. Maheshwari , E. Orsingher , A. S. Sengar

We prove that the extremal process of branching Brownian motion, in the limit of large times, converges weakly to a cluster point process. The limiting process is a (randomly shifted) Poisson cluster process, where the positions of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-14 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Anton Bovier , Nicola Kistler
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