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Predicting extreme events is important in many applications in risk analysis. The extreme-value theory suggests modelling extremes by max-stable distributions. The Bayesian approach provides a natural framework for statistical prediction.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

In this paper we introduce an enhanced notion of extremal systems for sets in locally convex topological vector spaces and obtain efficient conditions for set extremality in the convex case. Then we apply this machinery to deriving new…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-03 Boris Mordukhovich , Nguyen Mau Nam

Aulbach et al. (2013) introduced a max-domain of attraction approach for extreme value theory in C[0,1] based on functional distribution functions, which is more general than the approach based on weak convergence in de Haan and Lin (2001).…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-12 Stefan Aulbach , Michael Falk , Martin Hofmann , Maximilian Zott

There exists an exact relationship between the quasi-exactly solvable problems of quantum mechanics and models of square and rectangular random complex matrices. This relationship enables one to reduce the problem of constructing…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-10-28 G. M. Cicuta , A. G. Ushveridze

We introduce a new formulation of structural causal models for extremes, called the extremal structural causal model (eSCM). Unlike conventional structural causal models, where randomness is governed by a probability distribution, eSCMs use…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Shuyang Bai , Fei Fang , Tiandong Wang

The MaxEnt solutions are shown to display a variety of behaviors (beyond the traditional and customary exponential one) if adequate dynamical information is inserted into the concomitant entropic-variational principle. In particular, we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-03 A. Hernando , A. Plastino , A. R. Plastino

We consider a class of semi-Markov processes (SMP) such that the embedded discrete time Markov chain may be non-homogeneous. The corresponding augmented processes are represented as semi-martingales using stochastic integral equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Anindya Goswami , Subhamay Saha , Ravishankar Kapildev Yadav

A new method, called the method of self-similar approximants, and its recent developments are described. The method is based on the ideas of renormalization group theory and optimal control theory. It allows for the effective extrapolation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-05-20 V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova

Skew-symmetric families of distributions such as the skew-normal and skew-$t$ represent supersets of the normal and $t$ distributions, and they exhibit richer classes of extremal behaviour. By defining a non-stationary skew-normal process,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-19 Boris Beranger , Simone A. Padoan , Scott A. Sisson

In this paper we suggest two continuous-time models which exhibit an autoregressive structure. We obtain existence and uniqueness results and study the structure of the solution processes. One of the models, which corresponds to general…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Mikkel Slot Nielsen , Jan Pedersen , Victor Rohde

Here we develop a first order autoregressive model {Xn} that is marginally stationary where Xn is the sum/ extreme of k i.i.d observations. We prove that stationary solutions to these models are either semi-selfdecomposable/…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 S Satheesh , E Sandhya , S Sherly

Max-stable processes have been expanded to quantify extremal dependence in spatio-temporal data. Due to the interaction between space and time, spatio-temporal data are often complex to analyze. So, characterizing these dependencies is one…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-21 Abdul-Fattah Abu-Awwad , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Pierre Ribereau

A novel type of approximants is introduced, being based on the ideas of self-similar approximation theory. The method is illustrated by the examples possessing the structure typical of many problems in applied mathematics. Good numerical…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-02-03 S. Gluzman , V. I. Yukalov

Some characterizations of mixed renewal processes in terms of exchangeability and of different types of disintegrations are given. As a consequence, an existence result for mixed renewal processes, providing also a new construction for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-01 D. P. Lyberopoulos , N. D. Macheras

Time-irreversible stochastic processes are frequently used in natural sciences to explain non-equilibrium phenomena and to design efficient stochastic algorithms. Our main goal in this thesis is to analyse their dynamics by means of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Mikola C. Schlottke

In this paper we prove the optimal convergence of a standard adaptive scheme based on edge finite elements for the approximation of the solutions of the eigenvalue problem associated with Maxwell's equations. The proof uses the known…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-09 Daniele Boffi , Lucia Gastaldi

Discrete-time robust optimal control problems generally take a min-max structure over continuous variable spaces, which can be difficult to solve in practice. In this paper, we extend the class of such problems that can be solved through a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Jad Wehbeh , Eric C. Kerrigan

Environmental data science for spatial extremes has traditionally relied heavily on max-stable processes. Even though the popularity of these models has perhaps peaked with statisticians, they are still perceived and considered as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer Wadsworth

This paper develops new extremal principles of variational analysis that are motivated by applications to constrained problems of stochastic programming and semi-infinite programming without smoothness and/or convexity assumptions. These…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-23 Boris S. Mordukhovich , Pedro Pérez-Aros

The analysis of spatial extremes requires the joint modeling of a spatial process at a large number of stations and max-stable processes have been developed as a class of stochastic processes suitable for studying spatial extremes. Spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-28 Soyoung Jeon , Richard L. Smith