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Under data distributions which may be heavy-tailed, many stochastic gradient-based learning algorithms are driven by feedback queried at points with almost no performance guarantees on their own. Here we explore a modified "anytime…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-01 Matthew J. Holland

Whole robustness is a nice property to have for statistical models. It implies that the impact of outliers gradually vanishes as they approach plus or minus infinity. So far, the Bayesian literature provides results that ensure whole…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-14 Alain Desgagné , Philippe Gagnon

In our recent work on iterative computation in hardware, we showed that arbitrary-precision solvers can perform more favorably than their traditional arithmetic equivalents when the latter's precisions are either under- or over-budgeted for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-20 He Li , Ian McInerney , James J. Davis , George A. Constantinides

The predictability problem for systems with different characteristic time scales is investigated. It is shown that even in simple chaotic dynamical systems, the leading Lyapunov exponent is not sufficient to estimate the predictability…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 G. Boffetta , P. Giuliani , G. Paladin , A. Vulpiani

Model averaging has received much attention in the past two decades, which integrates available information by averaging over potential models. Although various model averaging methods have been developed, there are few literatures on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-27 Hengkun Zhu , Guohua Zou

We develop the \textit{a posteriori} error analysis of three mixed finite element formulations for rotation-based equations in elasticity, poroelasticity, and interfacial elasticity-poroelasticity. The discretisations use $H^1$-conforming…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-18 VerÓnica Anaya , Arbaz Khan , David Mora , Ricardo Ruiz-Baier

Robustness is a key requirement for widespread deployment of machine learning algorithms, and has received much attention in both statistics and computer science. We study a natural model of robustness for high-dimensional statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-03 Pranjal Awasthi , Xue Chen , Aravindan Vijayaraghavan

This paper considers a stochastic control framework, in which the residual model uncertainty of the dynamical system is learned using a Gaussian Process (GP). In the proposed formulation, the residual model uncertainty consists of a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-26 Marcel Menner , Karl Berntorp

We study the stability of posterior predictive inferences to the specification of the likelihood model and perturbations of the data generating process. In modern big data analyses, useful broad structural judgements may be elicited from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Jack Jewson , Jim Q. Smith , Chris Holmes

Generalization error (also known as the out-of-sample error) measures how well the hypothesis learned from training data generalizes to previously unseen data. Proving tight generalization error bounds is a central question in statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Jian Li , Xuanyuan Luo , Mingda Qiao

This paper focuses on stability estimates of the inverse random source problems for the polyharmonic, electromagnetic, and elastic wave equations. The source is represented as a microlocally isotropic Gaussian random field, which is defined…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-10-11 Peijun Li , Ying Liang , Xu Wang

In the past five years, deep learning methods have become state-of-the-art in solving various inverse problems. Before such approaches can find application in safety-critical fields, a verification of their reliability appears mandatory.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Martin Genzel , Jan Macdonald , Maximilian März

In the Bayesian approach, the a priori knowledge about the input of a mathematical model is described via a probability measure. The joint distribution of the unknown input and the data is then conditioned, using Bayes' formula, giving rise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-15 Sebastian J. Vollmer

In recent years, advanced model-based and data-driven control methods are unlocking the potential of complex robotics systems, and we can expect this trend to continue at an exponential rate in the near future. However, ensuring safety with…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Gianni Lunardi , Asia La Rocca , Matteo Saveriano , Andrea Del Prete

In this paper, we introduce a notion of algorithmic stability called typical stability. When our goal is to release real-valued queries (statistics) computed over a dataset, this notion does not require the queries to be of bounded…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-20 Raef Bassily , Yoav Freund

Updating machine learning models with new information usually improves their predictive performance, yet, in many applications, it is also desirable to avoid changing the model predictions too much. This property is called stability. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Morten Blørstad , Berent Å. S. Lunde , Nello Blaser

We introduce a framework for calibrating machine learning models so that their predictions satisfy explicit, finite-sample statistical guarantees. Our calibration algorithms work with any underlying model and (unknown) data-generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates , Emmanuel J. Candès , Michael I. Jordan , Lihua Lei

Sums of independent, bounded random variables concentrate around their expectation approximately as well a Gaussian of the same variance. Well known results of this form include the Bernstein, Hoeffding, and Chernoff inequalities and many…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2017-04-25 Thomas Steinke , Jonathan Ullman

The project intends to model the stability of power system with a deep learning algorithm to the problem, aiming to delay the removal of the fault. The so-called "fail-delay cut-off" refers to the occurrence of N-1 backup protection action…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-18 Haotian Cui , Xianggen Liu , Yanhao Huang

Proper modeling of inverter-based microgrids is crucial for accurate assessment of stability boundaries. It has been recently realized that the stability conditions for such microgrids are significantly different from those known for large-…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-08 Petr Vorobev , Po-Hsu Huang , Mohamed Al Hosani , James L. Kirtley , Konstantin Turitsyn
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