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We introduce a performance-driven framework for constructing strictly causal forward-oriented observables in strongly non-stationary time series. The method combines a robustly normalized composite of heterogeneous indicators with a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-17 Lucas A. Souza

This paper studies a class of random nonlinear systems with time-varying delay, in which the $r$-order moment ($r\geq1$) of the random disturbance is finite. Firstly, some general conditions are proposed to guarantee the existence and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-22 Yao Liqiang , Zhang Weihai

This paper studies the opinion dynamics model recently introduced by Hegselmann and Krause: each agent in a group maintains a real number describing its opinion; and each agent updates its opinion by averaging all other opinions that are…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-04-08 Anahita Mirtabatabaei , Francesco Bullo

We discuss conditionalisation for Accept-Desirability models in an abstract decision-making framework, where uncertain rewards live in a general linear space, and events are special projection operators on that linear space. This abstract…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Kathelijne Coussement , Gert de Cooman , Keano De Vos

In the present work we investigate the stability of the k-essence models allowing upto quadratic terms of the kinetic energy. The system of field equations is written as an autonomous system in terms of dimensionless variables and the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2019-05-29 Abhijit Chakraborty , Anandamohan Ghosh , Narayan Banerjee

We propose a novel approach to the statistical analysis of stochastic simulation models and, especially, agent-based models (ABMs). Our main goal is to provide fully automated, model-independent and tool-supported techniques and algorithms…

General Economics · Economics 2023-11-09 Andrea Vandin , Daniele Giachini , Francesco Lamperti , Francesca Chiaromonte

We introduce a notion of nonlinear expectation --G--expectation-- generated by a nonlinear heat equation with infinitesimal generator G. We first discuss the notion of G-standard normal distribution. With this nonlinear distribution we can…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Shige Peng

This paper introduces operators, semantics, characterizations, and solution-independent conditions to guarantee temporal logic specifications for hybrid dynamical systems. Hybrid dynamical systems are given in terms of differential…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-17 Hyejin Han , Ricardo G. Sanfelice

Inspired by recent work of P.-L. Lions on conditional optimal control, we introduce a problem of optimal stopping under bounded rationality: the objective is the expected payoff at the time of stopping, conditioned on another event. For…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Marcel Nutz , Yuchong Zhang

In this paper we present a continuous time dynamical model of heterogeneous agents interacting in a financial market where transactions are cleared by a market maker. The market is composed of fundamentalist, trend following and contrarian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-10 Giuseppe Garofalo , Alessandro Sansone

This paper examines impulsive non-autonomous systems with grazing periodic solutions. Surfaces of discontinuity and impact functions of the systems are not depending on the time variable. That is, we can say that the impact conditions are…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-03-08 Marat Akhmet , Aysegul Kivilcim

Each scheme of state reconstruction comes down to parametrize the state of a quantum system by expectation values or probabilities directly measurable in an experiment. It is argued that the time evolution of these quantities provides an…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-11-18 Stefan Weigert

We develop a dynamic model of cascading failures in a financial network whereby cross-holdings are viewed as feedback, external assets investments as inputs and failure penalties as static nonlinearities. We provide sufficient milder and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Stefanny Ramirez , Maaike Odijk , Dario Bauso

This paper describes a discrete-time model of regularly-issued sovereign debt dynamics under a deficit-driven nominal debt growth regime that explicitly accounts for granular maturity. New issuance follows fixed allocations across a finite…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-24 Christopher Cameron

Static stability in economic models means negative incentives for deviation from equilibrium strategies, which we expect to assure a return to equilibrium, i.e., dynamic stability, as long as agents respond to incentives. There have been…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-13 Dai Zusai

The paper discusses linear fractional representations of parameter-dependent nonlinear systems with dynamics defined by real rational nonlinearities and a finite set of point delays. The global asymptotic stability is investigated via…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-03-27 M. De la Sen

The stability analysis of socioeconomic systems has been centered on answering whether small perturbations when a system is in a given quantitative state will push the system permanently to a different quantitative state. However, typically…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-09-01 Serguei Saavedra , Rudolf P. Rohr , Luis J. Gilarranz , Jordi Bascompte

We develop a theory for solving continuous time optimal stopping problems for non-linear expectations. Our motivation is to consider problems in which the stopper uses risk measures to evaluate future rewards.

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-01-11 Erhan Bayraktar , Song Yao

We consider continuous-time consensus systems whose interactions satisfy a form or reciprocity that is not instantaneous, but happens over time. We show that these systems have certain desirable properties: They always converge…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-10-20 Samuel Martin , Julien M. Hendrickx

Decisions to pursue higher education are not fully explained by economic incentives, with social influence and peer effects playing a crucial, yet dynamically understudied, role. This paper develops a theoretical non-linear dynamics model…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-06 Andrea Caravaggio , Marco Catola , Silvia Leoni
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