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We offer in this paper the non-asymptotical pairwise bilateral exact up to multiplicative constants interrelations between exponential decreasing tail behavior, moments (Grand Lebesgue Spaces) norm and moment generating functions norm for…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2017-01-10 Yu. V. Kozachenko , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

This paper introduces a flexible framework for the estimation of the conditional tail index of heavy tailed distributions. In this framework, the tail index is computed from an auxiliary linear regression model that facilitates estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-23 João Nicolau , Paulo M. M. Rodrigues

We propose a mean functional which exists for any probability distributions, and which characterizes the Pareto distribution within the set of distributions with finite left endpoint. This is in sharp contrast to the mean excess plot which…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-05 Bernhard Klar

This paper is a survey on the structure of manifolds with a lower Ricci curvature bound.

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Guofang Wei

The classical Chernoff's theorem is a statement about discrete-time approximations of semigroups, where the approximations are consturcted as products of time-dependent contraction operators strongly differentiable at zero. We generalize…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2011-01-19 Evelina Shamarova

Quantile regression is an important tool for estimation of conditional quantiles of a response Y given a vector of covariates X. It can be used to measure the effect of covariates not only in the center of a distribution, but also in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-03 Victor Chernozhukov

We propose a simple way of testing whether a given set of observations can come from a given theoretical cumulative distribution. In the test more weight is attached to the tails of the distribution than in the usual Kolmogorov or Smirnov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-09 Krzysztof A. Meissner

It is shown that functions defined on $\{0,1,...,r-1\}^n$ satisfying certain conditions of bounded differences that guarantee sub-Gaussian tail behavior also satisfy a much stronger ``local'' sub-Gaussian property. For self-bounding and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-03 Luc Devroye , Gábor Lugosi

The study of loss function distributions is critical to characterize a model's behaviour on a given machine learning problem. For example, while the quality of a model is commonly determined by the average loss assessed on a testing set,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Etrit Haxholli , Marco Lorenzi

We generalize and analyse the method for computing lower bounds of the principal eigenvalue proposed in our previous paper (I. Sebestova, T. Vejchodsky, SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 2014). This method is suitable for symmetric elliptic eigenvalue…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Ivana Sebestova , Tomas Vejchodsky

The paper presents two results. The first one provides separate conditions for the upper and lower estimate of the distribution of the exit time from balls of a random walk on a weighted graph. The main result of the paper is that the lower…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-29 Andras Telcs

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

A simple method is shown to provide optimal variational bounds on $f$-divergences with possible constraints on relative information extremums. Known results are refined or proved to be optimal as particular cases.

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Olivier Binette

We consider the large deviations at the order of the variance for the central value of a family of $L$-functions among the members with bounded discriminant. When there is an upper bound on an integer moment of the central value twisted by…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 N. Creighton

This paper is concerned with a rate-distortion theory for sequences of i.i.d. random variables with general distribution supported on general sets including manifolds and fractal sets. Manifold structures are prevalent in data science,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-25 Erwin Riegler , Günther Koliander , Helmut Bölcskei

We propose an analytical approach to the computation of tail probabilities of compound distributions whose individual components have heavy tails. Our approach is based on the contour integration method, and gives rise to a representation…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-04 Igor Halperin

We prove new lower bounds for the upper tail probabilities of suprema of Gaussian processes. Unlike many existing bounds, our results are not asymptotic, but supply strong information when one is only a little into the upper tail. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-25 Adam J. Harper

We study the tail behavior of Markov-modulated generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes -- that is, solutions to Langevin-type stochastic differential equations driven by a background continuous-time Markov chain. To this end, we consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Gerold Alsmeyer , Anita Behme

This is a continuation of our earlier work [Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 129(1), pp.102--128, 2019] on the random walk in random scenery and in random layered conductance. We complete the picture of upper deviation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Jean-Dominique Deuschel , Ryoki Fukushima

In this paper we present a tail inequality for the maximum of partial sums of a weakly dependent sequence of random variables that are not necessarily bounded. The class considered includes geometrically and subgeometrically strongly mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-04 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Emmanuel Rio