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Related papers: Stein Estimation for Infinitely Divisible Laws

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We study the distribution of maxima (Extreme Value Statistics) for sequences of observables computed along orbits generated by random transformations. The underlying, deterministic, dynamical system can be regular or chaotic. In the former…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Davide Faranda , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Valerio Lucarini , Giorgio Turchetti , Sandro Vaienti

We apply the Stein-Chen method to problems from extreme value theory. On the one hand, the Stein-Chen method for Poisson approximation allows us to obtain bounds on the Kolmogorov distance between the law of the maximum of i.i.d. random…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-10 Anne Feidt

A Stein operator for the runs is derived as a perturbation of an operator for discrete Gibbs measure. Due to this fact, using perturbation technique, the approximation results for runs arising from identical and non-identical Bernoulli…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Amit N Kumar , Neelesh S Upadhye

We use Stein's method to obtain explicit bounds on the rate of convergence for the Laplace approximation of two different sums of independent random variables; one being a random sum of mean zero random variables and the other being a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-29 Robert E. Gaunt

We study the estimation of an infinitesimal rotation of a spin-j system, characterized by two unknown phases, and compare the estimation precision achievable with two different strategies. The first is a standard `joint estimation'…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-06-04 Cyril Vaneph , Tommaso Tufarelli , Marco G. Genoni

Stein's method compares probability distributions through the study of a class of linear operators called Stein operators. While mainly studied in probability and used to underpin theoretical statistics, Stein's method has led to…

This paper examines a heterogeneous beliefs model in which there is a process that is only partially observed by the agents. The economy contains a risky asset producing dividends continuously in time. The dividends are observed by the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-29 A. A. Brown

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

We consider optimal design of infinite-dimensional Bayesian linear inverse problems governed by partial differential equations that contain secondary reducible model uncertainties, in addition to the uncertainty in the inversion parameters.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-23 Alen Alexanderian , Noemi Petra , Georg Stadler , Isaac Sunseri

Estimation of a deterministic quantity observed in non-Gaussian additive noise is explored via order statistics approach. More specifically, we study the estimation problem when measurement noises either have positive supports or follow a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-15 Kamiar Radnosrati , Gustaf Hendeby , Fredrik Gustafsson

Rare event simulation and rare event probability estimation are important tasks within the analysis of systems subject to uncertainty and randomness. Simultaneously, accurately estimating rare event probabilities is an inherently difficult…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-18 Max Ehre , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

Let F ($\nu$) be the centered Gamma law with parameter $\nu$ > 0 and let us denote by P Y the probability distribution of a random vector Y. We develop a multidimensional variant of the Stein's method for Gamma approximation that allows to…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Ciprian A Tudor , Jérémy Zurcher

We give necessary and sufficient conditions for the (bounded) law of the iterated logarithm for $U$-statistics in Hilbert spaces. As a tool we also develop moment and tail estimates for canonical Hilbert-space valued $U$-statistics of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-06 Radosław Adamczak , Rafał Latała

In this paper, we explore a static setting for the assessment of risk in the context of mathematical finance and actuarial science that takes into account model uncertainty in the distribution of a possibly infinite-dimensional risk factor.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-13 Max Nendel , Alessandro Sgarabottolo

This paper addresses the classical problem of determining the sets of possible states of a linear discrete-time system subject to bounded disturbances from measurements corrupted by bounded noise. These so-called uncertainty sets evolve…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-05-08 Robin Hill , Yousong Luo , Uwe Schwerdtfeger

We present a novel approach to estimating discrete distributions with (potentially) infinite support in the total variation metric. In a departure from the established paradigm, we make no structural assumptions whatsoever on the sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Doron Cohen , Aryeh Kontorovich , Geoffrey Wolfer

The statistical inverse problem of estimating the probability distribution of an infinite-dimensional unknown given its noisy indirect observation is studied in the Bayesian framework. In practice, one often considers only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Sari Lasanen

A transformation of gamma max-infinitely divisible laws viz. geometric gamma max-infinitely divisible laws is considered in this paper. Some of its distributional and divisibility properties are discussed and a random time changed extremal…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-15 S. Satheesh , E. Sandhya

In this paper, we propose a general means of estimating the rate at which convergences in law occur. Our approach, which is an extension of the classical Stein-Tikhomirov method, rests on a new pair of linear operators acting on…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-29 Benjamin Arras , Guillaume Mijoule , Guillaume Poly , Yvik Swan

We develop a class of non-life reserving models using a stable-1/2 random bridge to simulate the accumulation of paid claims, allowing for an essentially arbitrary choice of a priori distribution for the ultimate loss. Taking an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Edward Hoyle , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina