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We study a multiple-urn version of the Ehrenfest model. In this setting, we denote the n urns by Urn 1 to Urn n, where n>=2. Initially, M balls are randomly placed in the n urns. At each subsequent step, a ball is selected and put into the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-07 Sai Song , Qiang Yao

It is well known that in a small P\'olya urn, i.e., an urn where second largest real part of an eigenvalue is at most half the largest eigenvalue, the distribution of the numbers of balls of different colours in the urn is asymptotically…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Svante Janson

We consider a model where a subset of candidates must be selected based on voter preferences, subject to general constraints that specify which subsets are feasible. This model generalizes committee elections with diversity constraints,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Piotr Skowron

In this article we take a probabilistic look at H\"older's inequality, considering the ratio of terms in the classical H\"older inequality for random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^n$. We prove a central limit theorem for this ratio, which then…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-23 Lorenz Frühwirth , Joscha Prochno

Recent studies have indicated that the coarse grained dynamics of a large class of traffic models and driven-diffusive systems may be described by urn models. We consider a class of one-dimensional urn models whereby particles hop from an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 E. Levine , D. Mukamel , G. Ziv

Consider $2k-1$ voters, each of which has a preference ranking between $n$ given alternatives. An alternative $A$ is called a Condorcet winner, if it wins against every other alternative $B$ in majority voting (meaning that for every other…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-03-28 Lisa Sauermann

Consider an urn filled with balls, each labeled with one of several possible collective decisions. Now, let a random voter draw two balls from the urn and pick her more preferred as the collective decision. Relabel the losing ball with the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-28 Florian Brandl , Felix Brandt

The polygonal distributions are a class of distributions that can be defined via the mixture of triangular distributions over the unit interval. The class includes the uniform and trapezoidal distributions, and is an alternative to the beta…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-18 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan

A proof of the continuous martingale convergence theorem is provided. It relies on a classical martingale inequality and the almost sure convergence of a uniformly bounded non-negative super-martingale, after a truncation argument.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-25 Joe Ghafari

Using some extensions of a theorem of Heppes on finitely supported discrete probability measures, we address the problems of classification and testing based on projections. In particular, when the support of the distributions is known in…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-10 Ricardo Fraiman , Leonardo Moreno , Thomas Ransford

The list of physically motivated urn models that can be solved in terms of classical orthogonal polynomials is very small. It includes a model proposed by D. Bernoulli and further analyzed by S. Laplace and a model proposed by P. and T.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-04 F. Alberto Grünbaum , Manuel D. de la Iglesia

The celebrated union-closed conjecture is concerned with the cardinalities of various subsets of the Boolean $d$-cube. The cardinality of such a set is equivalent, up to a constant, to its measure under the uniform distribution, so we can…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Gabriel Gendler

This paper examines the classical matching distribution arising in the "problem of coincidences". We generalise the classical matching distribution with a preliminary round of allocation where items are correctly matched with some fixed…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-12-24 Ben O'Neill

Doob's theorem provides guarantees of consistent estimation and posterior consistency under very general conditions. Despite the limitation that it only guarantees consistency on a set with prior probability 1, for many models arising in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-11 Jeffrey W. Miller

We review some facts, properties and applications of the urn of Hill, Lane and Sudderth, a paradigmatic model of stochastic process with memory where the urn evolution is as follows: consider an urn of given capacity, at each step a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Simone Franchini

In this work we discuss two urn models with general weight sequences $(A,B)$ associated to them, $A=(\alpha_n)_{n\in\N}$ and $B=(\beta_m)_{m\in\N}$, generalizing two well known P\'olya-Eggenberger urn models, namely the so-called sampling…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-05-11 Markus Kuba

Drawing (a multiset of) coloured balls from an urn is one of the most basic models in discrete probability theory. Three modes of drawing are commonly distinguished: multinomial (draw-replace), hypergeometric (draw-delete), and Polya…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Bart Jacobs

We prove that several results in different areas of number theory such as the divergent series, summation of arithmetic functions, uniform distribution modulo one and summation over prime numbers which are currently considered to be…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-30 Nilotpal Kanti Sinha , Marek Wolf

Recent decades have seen an interest in prediction problems for which Bayesian methodology has been used ubiquitously. Sampling from or approximating the posterior predictive distribution in a Bayesian model allows one to make inferential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-12 Giri Gopalan

Consider two urns, $A$ and $B$, where initially $A$ contains a large number $n$ of balls and $B$ is empty. At each step, with equal probability, either we pick a ball at random in $A$ and place it in $B$, or vice-versa (provided of course…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-26 Jean Bertoin