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Predicting not only the target but also an accurate measure of uncertainty is important for many machine learning applications and in particular safety-critical ones. In this work we study the calibration of uncertainty prediction for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-04 Dan Levi , Liran Gispan , Niv Giladi , Ethan Fetaya

Conformal prediction is a learning framework controlling prediction coverage of prediction sets, which can be built on any learning algorithm for point prediction. This work proposes a learning framework named conformal loss-controlling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-24 Di Wang , Ping Wang , Zhong Ji , Xiaojun Yang , Hongyue Li

This article studies the problem whether two convex (concave) regression functions modelling the relation between a response and covariate in two samples differ by a shift in the horizontal and/or vertical axis. We consider a nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-14 Holger Dette , Subhra Sankar Dhar , Weichi Wu

We investigate a class of composite nonconvex functions, where the outer function is the sum of univariate extended-real-valued convex functions and the inner function is the limit of difference-of-convex functions. A notable feature of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-21 Hanyang Li , Ying Cui

We consider a class of sampling-based decomposition methods to solve risk-averse multistage stochastic convex programs. We prove a formula for the computation of the cuts necessary to build the outer linearizations of the recourse…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-12 Vincent Guigues

Conventional inverse optimization inputs a solution and finds the parameters of an optimization model that render a given solution optimal. The literature mostly focuses on inferring the objective function in linear problems when accepted…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Houra Mahmoudzadeh , Kimia Ghobadi

This manuscript studies statistical properties of linear classifiers obtained through minimization of an unregularized convex risk over a finite sample. Although the results are explicitly finite-dimensional, inputs may be passed through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-15 Matus Telgarsky

Several consistency notions are available for a lower prevision P assessed on a set D of gambles (bounded random variables), ranging from the well known coherence to convexity and to the recently introduced 2-coherence and 2-convexity. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Renato Pelessoni , Paolo Vicig

One of the most popular methods of the machine learning prediction explanation is the SHapley Additive exPlanations method (SHAP). An imprecise SHAP as a modification of the original SHAP is proposed for cases when the class probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-18 Lev V. Utkin , Andrei V. Konstantinov , Kirill A. Vishniakov

It is well known that Expected Shortfall (also called Average Value-at-Risk) is a convex risk measure, i. e. Expected Shortfall of a convex linear combination of arbitrary risk positions is not greater than a convex linear combination with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-03 Mikhail Tselishchev

This paper considers a class of stochastic control problems with implicitly defined objective functions, which are the sources of time-inconsistency. We study the closed-loop equilibrium solutions in a general controlled diffusion…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-29 Zongxia Liang , Jianming Xia , Keyu Zhang

We develop a rigorous framework for global non-convex optimization by reformulating the minimization problem as a discounted infinite-horizon optimal control problem. For non-convex, continuous, and possibly non-smooth objective functions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Yuyang Huang , Dante Kalise , Hicham Kouhkouh

Prediction, where observed data is used to quantify uncertainty about a future observation, is a fundamental problem in statistics. Prediction sets with coverage probability guarantees are a common solution, but these do not provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Leonardo Cella , Ryan Martin

Quantifying the uncertainty of supervised learning models plays an important role in making more reliable predictions. Epistemic uncertainty, which usually is due to insufficient knowledge about the model, can be reduced by collecting more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-27 Xinlei Zhou , Han Liu , Farhad Pourpanah , Tieyong Zeng , Xizhao Wang

This paper concerns the tilt stability of local optimal solutions to a class of nonlinear semidefinite programs, which involves a twice continuously differentiable objective function and a convex feasible set. By leveraging the second…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Yulan Liu , Shaohua Pan , Shujun Bi

We study the problem of estimating a multivariate convex function defined on a convex body in a regression setting with random design. We are interested in optimal rates of convergence under a squared global continuous $l_2$ loss in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-27 Qiyang Han , Jon A. Wellner

Nonparametric regression subject to convexity or concavity constraints is increasingly popular in economics, finance, operations research, machine learning, and statistics. However, the conventional convex regression based on the least…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-27 Zhiqiang Liao , Sheng Dai , Timo Kuosmanen

We consider estimating a compact set from finite data by approximating the support function of that set via sublinear regression. Support functions uniquely characterize a compact set up to closure of convexification, and are sublinear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-24 Shadi Haddad , Abhishek Halder

Concentration inequalities, a major tool in probability theory, quantify how much a random variable deviates from a certain quantity. This paper proposes a systematic convex optimization approach to studying and generating concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-30 Celine Moucer , Adrien Taylor , Francis Bach

Datasets are rarely a realistic approximation of the target population. Say, prevalence is misrepresented, image quality is above clinical standards, etc. This mismatch is known as sampling bias. Sampling biases are a major hindrance for…

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