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Jump diffusion processes are widely used to model asset prices over time, mainly for their ability to capture complex discontinuous behavior, but inference on the model parameters remains a challenge. Here our goal is posterior inference on…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-23 Ryan Martin , Cheng Ouyang , Francois Domagni

In this paper we first provide several conditional limit theorems for L\'evy processes with negative drift and regularly varying tail. Then we apply them to study the asymptotic behavior of expectations of some exponential functionals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Wei Xu

We characterize the small-time asymptotic behavior of the exit probability of a L\'evy process out of a two-sided interval and of the law of its overshoot, conditionally on the terminal value of the process. The asymptotic expansions are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-23 José E. Figueroa-López , Peter Tankov

Fractional generalizations of the Poisson process and branching Furry process are considered. The link between characteristics of the processes, fractional differential equations and Levy stable densities are discussed and used for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-02-15 Vladimir V. Uchaikin , Dexter O. Cahoy , Renat T. Sibatov

Let $X$ be a $d$-dimensional L\'evy process with L\'evy triplet $(\Sigma,\nu,\alpha)$ and $d\geq 2$. Given the low frequency observations $(X_t)_{t=1,\ldots,n}$, the dependence structure of the jumps of $X$ is estimated. The L\'evy measure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-01 Christian Palmes

In data science and machine learning, hierarchical parametric models, such as mixture models, are often used. They contain two kinds of variables: observable variables, which represent the parts of the data that can be directly measured,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-20 Keisuke Yamazaki

We analyze the errors arising from discrete readjustment of the hedging portfolio when hedging options in exponential Levy models, and establish the rate at which the expected squared error goes to zero when the readjustment frequency…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-04 Mats Brodén , Peter Tankov

We have discussed dynamical properties of the Tsallis entropy and the generalized Fisher information in nonextensive systems described by the Langevin model subjected to additive and multiplicative noise. Analytical expressions for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Hideo Hasegawa

The subjects of the paper are the likelihood method (LM) and the expected Fisher information (FI) considered from the point od view of the construction of the physical models which originate in the statistical description of phenomena. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-10-08 E. W. Piotrowski , J. Sladkowski , J. Syska , S. Zajac

We give upper and lower estimates of densities of convolution semigroups of probability measures under explicit assumptions on the corresponding Levy measure and the Levy--Khinchin exponent. We obtain also estimates of derivatives of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-03 Kamil Kaleta , Paweł Sztonyk

In this chapter, a statistical measure of complexity and the Fisher-Shannon information product are introduced and their properties are discussed. These measures are based on the interplay between the Shannon information, or a function of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-01-13 Ricardo Lopez-Ruiz , Jaime Sanudo , Elvira Romera , Xavier Calbet

We prove some efficient inference results concerning estimation of a Ornstein-Uhlenbeck regression model, which is driven by a non-Gaussian stable Levy process and where the output process is observed at high-frequency over a fixed time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Hiroki Masuda

We propose a novel estimation framework for path-dependent functionals of Levy processes from discretely observed data. Traditional approaches rely on Monte Carlo simulation of full paths, which requires complete model specification and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Yasutaka Shimizu , Hiroshi Shiraishi

Using waves to explore our environment is a widely used paradigm, ranging from seismology to radar technology, and from bio-medical imaging to precision measurements. In all of these fields, the central aim is to gather as much information…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-09-12 Jakob Hüpfl , Felix Russo , Lukas M. Rachbauer , Dorian Bouchet , Junjie Lu , Ulrich Kuhl , Stefan Rotter

In this paper we present the asymptotic analysis of the realised quadratic variation for multivariate symmetric $\beta$-stable L\'evy processes, $\beta \in (0,2)$, and certain pure jump semimartingales. The main focus is on derivation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-07 Johannes Heiny , Mark Podolskij

Information theory provides a useful tool to understand the evolution of complex nonlinear systems and their sustainability. In particular, Fisher Information (FI) has been evoked as a useful measure of sustainability and the variability of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-08-18 Avan Al-Saffar , Eun-jin Kim

The exact estimation of latent variable models with big data is known to be challenging. The latents have to be integrated out numerically, and the dimension of the latent variables increases with the sample size. This paper develops a…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-27 Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Didier Nibbering , Dan Zhu

We consider kinetic models for Fermi-Dirac-like particles obeying the exclusion principle. A generalized notion of Fisher information, tailored to kinetic equations of Fermi-Dirac-Fokker-Planck type, is introduced via the associated entropy…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-08-22 Yuzhe Zhu

This paper considers a general stochastic SIR epidemic model driven by a multidimensional Levy jump process with heavy tailed increments and possible correlation between noise components. In this framework, we derive new sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Nicolas Privault , Liang Wang

Discrete random probability measures are a key ingredient of Bayesian nonparametric inferential procedures. A sample generates ties with positive probability and a fundamental object of both theoretical and applied interest is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Pierpaolo De Blasi , Ramsés H. Mena , Igor Prünster