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We describe a continuous-time modelling framework for biological population dynamics that accounts for demographic noise. In the spirit of the methodology used by statistical physicists, transitions between the states of the system are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-19 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

We study the effects of demographic stochasticity on the long-term dynamics of biological coevolution models of community assembly. The noise is induced in order to check the validity of deterministic population dynamics. While mutualistic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-04-16 Yohsuke Murase , Takashi Shimada , Nobuyasu Ito , Per Arne Rikvold

We develop a formalism to describe the discrete-time dynamics of systems containing an arbitrary number of interacting species. The individual-based model, which forms our starting point, is described by a Markov chain, which in the limit…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-10-06 César Parra-Rojas , Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

We introduce an individual-based model of a complex ecological community with random interactions. The model contains a large number of species, each with a finite population of individuals, subject to discrete reproduction and death…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-19 Ferran Larroya , Tobias Galla

We consider random walks in dynamic random environments, with an environment generated by the time-reversal of a Markov process from the oriented percolation universality class. If the influence of the random medium on the walk is small in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-02 Matthias Birkner , Jiří Černý , Andrej Depperschmidt

The maintenance of diversity, the `commonness of rarity', and compositional turnover are ubiquitous features of species-rich communities. Through a minimal model, we consider how these features reflect the interplay between environmental…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-04 Emil Mallmin , Arne Traulsen , Silvia De Monte

The abundance of a species' population in an ecosystem is rarely stationary, often exhibiting large fluctuations over time. Using historical data on marine species, we show that the year-to-year fluctuations of population growth rate obey a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-02 Jie Sun , Sean P. Cornelius , John Janssen , Kimberly A. Gray , Adilson E. Motter

Individuals within any species exhibit differences in size, developmental state, or spatial location. These differences coupled with environmental fluctuations in demographic rates can have subtle effects on population persistence and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-16 Gregory Roth , Sebastian J. Schreiber

Random walks find applications in many areas of science and are the heart of essential network analytic tools. When defined on temporal networks, even basic random walk models may exhibit a rich spectrum of behaviours, due to the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-11 Julien Petit , Renaud Lambiotte , Timoteo Carletti

The dynamics of well-mixed biological populations is usually studied by mean-field methods and weak-noise expansions. Similar methods have been applied also in spatially extended problems, relying on the fact that these populations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-17 Luca Dall'Asta , Fabio Caccioli , Deborah Beghè

A randomly interacting N-species Lotka-Volterra system in the presence of a Gaussian multiplicative noise is analyzed. The investigation is focused on the role of this external noise into the statistical properties of the extinction times…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-10-07 Alessandro Fiasconaro , Bernardo Spagnolo

We present new theoretical and empirical results on the probability distributions of species persistence times in natural ecosystems. Persistence times, defined as the timespans occurring between species' colonization and local extinction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-03-21 S. Suweis , E. Bertuzzo , L. Mari , I. Rodriguez-Iturbe , A. Maritan , A. Rinaldo

Over the past century, nonlinear difference and differential equations have been used to understand conditions for species coexistence. However, these models fail to account for random fluctuations due to demographic and environmental…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-12 Sebastian J. Schreiber

The transient behavior of an ecosystem with N random interacting species in the presence of a multiplicative noise is analyzed. The multiplicative noise mimics the interaction with the environment. We investigate different asymptotic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 B. Spagnolo , D. Valenti , A. Fiasconaro

The dynamics of two competing species in a finite size community is one of the most studied problems in population genetics and community ecology. Stochastic fluctuations lead, inevitably, to the extinction of one of the species, but the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-30 Matan Danino , David A. Kessler , Nadav M. Shnerb

The role of the selection pressure and mutation amplitude on the behavior of a single-species population evolving on a two-dimensional lattice, in a periodically changing environment, is studied both analytically and numerically. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Ioana Bena , Michel Droz , Janusz Szwabinski , Andrzej Pekalski

The presence of one or more species at some spatial locations but not others is a central matter in ecology. This phenomenon is related to ecological pattern formation. Nonlocal interactions can be considered as one of the mechanisms…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-29 Ozgur Aydogmus

Classical ecological theory predicts that environmental stochasticity increases extinction risk by reducing the average per-capita growth rate of populations. To understand the interactive effects of environmental stochasticity, spatial…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-16 Steven N. Evans , Peter L. Ralph , Sebastian J. Schreiber , Arnab Sen

We analyze a general theory for coexistence and extinction of ecological communities that are influenced by stochastic temporal environmental fluctuations. The results apply to discrete time (stochastic difference equations), continuous…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Alexandru Hening , Dang H. Nguyen , Peter Chesson

When a collection of phenotypically diverse organisms compete with each other for limited resources, with competition being strongest amongst the most similar, the population can evolve into tightly localised clusters. This process can be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-05-16 Tim Rogers , Alan J. McKane , Axel G. Rossberg