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Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In a previous paper of one of the authors it was established that one of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-06 Serguei Dachian , Ilia Negri

A new approach to Poisson approximation is proposed. The basic idea is very simple and based on properties of the Charlier polynomials and the Parseval identity. Such an approach quickly leads to new effective bounds for several Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-29 Vytas Zacharovas , Hsien-Kuei Hwang

Let $n \in \mathbb N$, let $\zeta_{n,1},...,\zeta_{n,n}$ be a sequence of independent random variables with $\mathbb E \zeta_{n,i}=0$ and $\mathbb E |\zeta_{n,i}|<\infty$ for each $i$, and let $\mu$ be an $\alpha$-stable distribution having…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Lihu Xu

Most metrics between finite point measures currently used in the literature have the flaw that they do not treat differing total masses in an adequate manner for applications. This paper introduces a new metric $\bar{d}_1$ that combines…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Dominic Schuhmacher , Aihua Xia

We develop a functional Stein-Malliavin method in a non-diffusive Poissonian setting, thus obtaining a) quantitative central limit theorems for approximation of arbitrary non-degenerate Gaussian random elements taking values in a separable…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-17 Solesne Bourguin , Simon Campese , Thanh Dang

A $d$-dimensional Ising model on a lattice torus is considered. As the size $n$ of the lattice tends to infinity, a Poisson approximation is given for the distribution of the number of copies in the lattice of any given local configuration,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-11 David Coupier

Stein operators allow to characterise probability distributions via differential operators. Based on these characterisations, we develop a new method of point estimation for marginal parameters of strictly stationary and ergodic processes,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Bruno Ebner , Adrian Fischer , Robert E. Gaunt , Babette Picker , Yvik Swan

We obtain Stein approximation bounds for stochastic integrals with respect to a Poisson random measure over ${\Bbb R}^d$, $d\geq 2$. This approach relies on third cumulant Edgeworth-type expansions based on derivation operators defined by…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-04 Nicolas Privault

The Straight-Through (ST) estimator is a widely used technique for back-propagating gradients through discrete random variables. However, this effective method lacks theoretical justification. In this paper, we show that ST can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-08 Pengyu Cheng , Chang Liu , Chunyuan Li , Dinghan Shen , Ricardo Henao , Lawrence Carin

We study the Wasserstein metric to measure distances between molecules represented by the atom index dependent adjacency "Coulomb" matrix, used in kernel ridge regression based supervised learning. Resulting quantum machine learning models…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-04-01 Onur Çaylak , O. Anatole von Lilienfeld , Björn Baumeier

We overview results on the topic of Poisson approximation that are missed in existing surveys. The topic of Poisson approximation to the distribution of a sum of integer-valued random variables is presented as well. We do not restrict…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-12 S. Y. Novak

Let $X_1,X_2,...,X_n$ be a sequence of independent or locally dependent random variables taking values in $\mathbb{Z}_+$. In this paper, we derive sharp bounds, via a new probabilistic method, for the total variation distance between the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-11 Michael V. Boutsikas , Eutichia Vaggelatou

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a popular method for approximate inference in generative models with intractable but easy-to-sample likelihood. It constructs an approximate posterior distribution by finding parameters for which…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-09 Kimia Nadjahi , Valentin De Bortoli , Alain Durmus , Roland Badeau , Umut Şimşekli

Stein's method is a method of probability approximation which hinges on the solution of a functional equation. For normal approximation the functional equation is a first order differential equation. Malliavin calculus is an…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-11 Louis H. Y. Chen

We consider the fully-coupled McKean-Vlasov equation with multi-time-scale potentials, and all the coefficients depend on the distributions of both the slow component and the fast motion. By studying the smoothness of the solution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-28 Yun Li , Fuke Wu , Longjie Xie

We derive quantitative bounds on the rate of convergence in $L^1$ Wasserstein distance of general M-estimators, with an almost sharp (up to a logarithmic term) behavior in the number of observations. We focus on situations where the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-19 François Bachoc , Max Fathi

We consider the behavior of spatial point processes when subjected to a class of linear transformations indexed by a variable T. It was shown in Ellis [Adv. in Appl. Probab. 18 (1986) 646-659] that, under mild assumptions, the transformed…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Dominic Schuhmacher

This article develops an analytical framework for studying information divergences and likelihood ratios associated with Poisson processes and point patterns on general measurable spaces. The main results include explicit analytical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Lasse Leskelä

Estimating the density of a distribution from samples is a fundamental problem in statistics. In many practical settings, the Wasserstein distance is an appropriate error metric for density estimation. For example, when estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Vitaly Feldman , Audra McMillan , Satchit Sivakumar , Kunal Talwar

This paper uses the generator comparison approach of Stein's method to analyze the gap between steady-state distributions of Markov chains and diffusion processes. The "standard" generator comparison approach starts with the Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Anton Braverman
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