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Performing an additive decomposition of arbitrary functions of random elements is paramount for global sensitivity analysis and, therefore, the interpretation of black-box models. The well-known seminal work of Hoeffding characterized the…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Marouane Il Idrissi , Nicolas Bousquet , Fabrice Gamboa , Bertrand Iooss , Jean-Michel Loubes

We establish Hoeffding-type concentration inequalities for the low and high tail bounds of sums of exchangeable random variables. Our results exhibit an anti-symmetry in such tail bounds due to the assumption of exchangeability, a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Nina Maria Gottschling , Michele Caprio

We extend Hoeffding's lemma to general-state-space and not necessarily reversible Markov chains. Let $\{X_i\}_{i \ge 1}$ be a stationary Markov chain with invariant measure $\pi$ and absolute spectral gap $1-\lambda$, where $\lambda$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-19 Jianqing Fan , Bai Jiang , Qiang Sun

We study the independence structure of finitely exchangeable distributions over random vectors and random networks. In particular, we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for an exchangeable vector so that its elements are completely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-15 Kayvan Sadeghi

Consider a random sample $X_1 , X_2 , ..., X_n$ drawn independently and identically distributed from some known sampling distribution $P_X$. Let $X_{(1)} \le X_{(2)} \le ... \le X_{(n)}$ represent the order statistics of the sample. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-28 Alex Dytso , Martina Cardone , Cynthia Rush

The (general) hypoexponential distribution is the distribution of a sum of independent exponential random variables. We consider the particular case when the involved exponential variables have distinct rate parameters. We prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-16 George P. Yanev

The extended de Finetti theorem characterizes exchangeable infinite random sequences as conditionally i.i.d. and shows that the apparently weaker distributional symmetry of spreadability is equivalent to exchangeability. Our main result is…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2008-06-24 Claus Köstler

We study random relational structures that are \emph{relatively exchangeable}---that is, whose distributions are invariant under the automorphisms of a reference structure $\mathfrak{M}$. When $\mathfrak{M}$ has {\em trivial definable…

Logic · Mathematics 2015-10-05 Harry Crane , Henry Towsner

We establish a one-to-one correspondence between (i) exchangeable sequences of random variables whose finite-dimensional distributions are minimum (or maximum) infinitely divisible and (ii) non-negative, non-decreasing, infinitely divisible…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-21 Florian Brück , Jan-Frederik Mai , Matthias Scherer

A sequence of random variables is exchangeable if its joint distribution is invariant under variable permutations. We introduce exchangeable variable models (EVMs) as a novel class of probabilistic models whose basic building blocks are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-06 Mathias Niepert , Pedro Domingos

A new type of stochastic dependence for a sequence of random variables is introduced and studied. Precisely, (X_n)_{n\geq 1} is said to be conditionally identically distributed (c.i.d.), with respect to a filtration (G_n)_{n\geq 0}, if it…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Patrizia Berti , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

We construct several new spaces of quantum sequences and their quantum families of maps in sense of So{\l}tan. Then, we introduce noncommutative distributional symmetries associated with these quantum maps and study simple relations between…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2015-05-12 Weihua Liu

Let $K_n$ denote the number of distinct values among the first $n$ terms of an infinite exchangeable sequence of random variables $(X_1,X_2,\ldots)$. We prove for $n=3$ that the extreme points of the convex set of all possible laws of $K_3$…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Theodore Zhu

A hypergraph $(V,E)$ is called an interval hypergraph if there exists a linear order $l$ on $V$ such that every edge $e\in E$ is an interval w.r.t. $l$; we also assume that $\{j\}\in E$ for every $j\in V$. Our main result is a de…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-27 Julian Gerstenberg

Some practical results are derived for population inference based on a sample, under the two qualitative conditions of 'ignorability' and exchangeability. These are the 'Histogram Theorem', for predicting the outcome of a non-sampled member…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-12 Jonathan Rougier

Monadic decomposability is a notion of variable independence, which asks whether a given formula in a first-order theory is expressible as a Boolean combination of monadic predicates in the theory. Recently, Veanes et al. showed the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Matthew Hague , Anthony Widjaja Lin , Philipp Rümmer , Zhilin Wu

For nonstationary, strongly mixing sequences of random variables taking their values in a finite-dimensional Euclidean space, with the partial sums being normalized via matrix multiplication, with certain standard conditions being met, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Richard C. Bradley , Zbigniew J. Jurek

A classical problem of statistical inference is the valid specification of a model that can account for the statistical dependencies between observations when the true structure is dense, intractable, or unknown. To address this problem, a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-19 Shane Sparkes , Lu Zhang

The functional ANOVA, or Hoeffding decomposition, provides a principled framework for interpretability by decomposing a model prediction into main effects and higher-order interactions. For independent inputs, this classical decomposition…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Baptiste Ferrere , Nicolas Bousquet , Fabrice Gamboa , Jean-Michel Loubes

Let $\Om$ be a Borel subset of $S^\Bbb N$ where $S$ is countable. A measure is called exchangeable on $\Om$, if it is supported on $\Om$ and is invariant under every Borel automorphism of $\Om$ which permutes at most finitely many…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-26 J. Aaronson , H. Nakada , O. Sarig