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We study uniform consistency in nonparametric mixture models as well as closely related mixture of regression (also known as mixed regression) models, where the regression functions are allowed to be nonparametric and the error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Bryon Aragam , Ruiyi Yang

Motivated by better modeling of intra-individual variability in longitudinal data, we propose a class of location-scale mixed effects models, in which the data of each individual is modeled by a parameter-varying generalized hyperbolic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-13 Yuki Fujinaga , Hiroki Masuda

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be an i.i.d. sample from symmetric stable distribution with stability parameter $\alpha$ and scale parameter $\gamma$. Let $\varphi_n$ be the empirical characteristic function. We prove an uniform large deviation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-12 Annika Krutto , Jüri Lember

This paper deals with robust marginal estimation under a general regression model when missing data occur in the response and also in some of covariates. The target is a marginal location parameter which is given through an $M-$functional.…

Multivariate probabilistic time series forecasts are commonly evaluated via proper scoring rules, i.e., functions that are minimal in expectation for the ground-truth distribution. However, this property is not sufficient to guarantee good…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Étienne Marcotte , Valentina Zantedeschi , Alexandre Drouin , Nicolas Chapados

We explore the probability that a permutation sampled from the symmetric group of order n uniformly at random has cycles of lengths not exceeding r. Asymptotic formulas valid in specified regions for the ratio n/r are obtained using the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-01-05 Eugenijus Manstavičius , Robertas Petuchovas

M-type smoothing splines are a broad class of spline estimators that include the popular least-squares smoothing spline but also spline estimators that are less susceptible to outlying observations and model-misspecification. However,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Ioannis Kalogridis

In this paper, the problem of robust estimation and validation of location-scale families is revisited. The proposed methods exploit the joint asymptotic normality of sample quantiles (of i.i.d random variables) to construct the ordinary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-04 Mohammed Adjieteh , Vytaras Brazauskas

Optimal values and solutions of empirical approximations of stochastic optimization problems can be viewed as statistical estimators of their true values. From this perspective, it is important to understand the asymptotic behavior of these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Johannes Milz , Thomas M. Surowiec

We are interested in the problem of robust parametric estimation of a density from $n$ i.i.d. observations. By using a practice-oriented procedure based on robust tests, we build an estimator for which we establish non-asymptotic risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Mathieu Sart

This paper deals with the problem of estimating the level sets $L(c)= \{F(x) \geq c \}$, with $c \in (0,1)$, of an unknown distribution function $F$ on \mathbb{R}^d_+$. A plug-in approach is followed. That is, given a consistent estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-13 Elena Di Bernadino , Thomas Laloë

Uncertainty relations give upper bounds on the accuracy by which the outcomes of two incompatible measurements can be predicted. While established uncertainty relations apply to cases where the predictions are based on purely classical data…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-10-18 Marco Tomamichel , Renato Renner

In natural phenomena, data distributions often deviate from normality. One can think of cataclysms as a self-explanatory example: events that occur almost never, and at the same time are many standard deviations away from the common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-16 Nuno Costa , Nuno Moniz

Scientists are often interested in estimating an association between a covariate and a binary- or count-valued response. For instance, public health officials are interested in how much disease presence (a binary response per individual)…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 David R. Burt , Renato Berlinghieri , Tamara Broderick

Detecting spatial patterns is fundamental to scientific discovery, yet current methods lack statistical consensus and face computational barriers when applied to large-scale spatial omics datasets. We unify major approaches through a single…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-04 Jiayu Su , Jun Hou Fung , Haoyu Wang , Dian Yang , David A. Knowles , Raul Rabadan

In statistical analysis, quantifying uncertainties through measures such as entropy, extropy, varentropy, and varextropy is of fundamental importance for understanding distribution functions. This paper investigates several properties of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Santosh Kumar Chaudhary , Nitin Gupta

Identifying spatially contiguous clusters and repeated spatial patterns (RSP) characterized by similar underlying distributions that are spatially apart is a key challenge in modern spatial statistics. Existing constrained clustering…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Rajitha Senanayake , Pratheepa Jeganathan

We consider the model selection consistency or sparsistency of a broad set of $\ell_1$-regularized $M$-estimators for linear and non-linear statistical models in a unified fashion. For this purpose, we propose the local structured…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-29 Yen-Huan Li , Jonathan Scarlett , Pradeep Ravikumar , Volkan Cevher

Fine-tuning LLMs on tabular classification tasks can lead to the phenomenon of fine-tuning multiplicity where equally well-performing models make conflicting predictions on the same input. Fine-tuning multiplicity can arise due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Faisal Hamman , Pasan Dissanayake , Saumitra Mishra , Freddy Lecue , Sanghamitra Dutta

Asymptotic bootstrap validity is usually understood as consistency of the distribution of a bootstrap statistic, conditional on the data, for the unconditional limit distribution of a statistic of interest. From this perspective, randomness…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-09 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Iliyan Georgiev
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