Related papers: Large deviations for processes with discontinuous …
We give necessary and sufficient conditions for laws of large numbers to hold in $L^2$ for the empirical measure of a large class of branching Markov processes, including $\lambda$-positive systems but also some $\lambda$-transient ones,…
We investigate the Large Deviation behavior in small time of continuous Gaussian processes. We introduce a general procedure allowing to derive Large Deviation Principles in small time starting from the well understood context of Large…
The large deviations at 'Level 2.5 in time' for time-dependent ensemble-empirical-observables, introduced by C. Maes, K. Netocny and B. Wynants [Markov Proc. Rel. Fields. 14, 445 (2008)] for the case of $N$ independent Markov jump…
We establish sample-path large deviation principles for the centered cumulative functional of marked Poisson cluster processes in the Skorokhod space equipped with the M1 topology, under joint regular variation assumptions on the marks and…
The large deviations theory for heavy-tailed processes has seen significant advances in the recent past. In particular, Rhee et al. (2019) and Bazhba et al. (2020) established large deviation asymptotics at the sample-path level for L\'evy…
The inference of Markov models from data on stochastic dynamical trajectories over the large time-window $T$ is revisited via the Large Deviations at Level 2.5 for the time-empirical density and the time-empirical flows. The goal is to…
In this paper, we develop sample path large deviations for multivariate Hawkes processes with heavy-tailed mutual excitation rates. Our results address a broad class of rare events in Hawkes processes at the sample path level and, via the…
Let $(g_{n})_{n\geq 1}$ be a sequence of independent identically distributed $d\times d$ real random matrices with Lyapunov exponent $\gamma$. For any starting point $x$ on the unit sphere in $\mathbb R^d$, we deal with the norm $ | G_n x |…
We consider the boundary driven harmonic model, i.e. the Markov process associated to the open integrable XXX chain with non-compact spins. Using the factorial moments we characterize the stationary measure as a mixture of product measures.…
In Monte-Carlo methods the Markov processes used to sample a given target distribution usually satisfy detailed balance, i.e. they are time-reversible. However, relatively recent results have demonstrated that appropriate reversible and…
The purpose of the present paper is to establish moderate deviation principles for a rather general class of random variables fulfilling certain bounds of the cumulants. We apply a celebrated lemma of the theory of large deviations…
Consider an intersection measure $\ell_t ^{\mathrm{IS}}$ of $p$ independent (possibly different) $m$-symmetric Hunt processes up to time $t$ in a metric measure space $E$ with a Radon measure $m$. We derive a Donsker-Varadhan type large…
The large deviation principle is proved for a class of $L^2$-valued processes that arise from the coarse-graining of a random field. Coarse-grained processes of this kind form the basis of the analysis of local mean-field models in…
Let $Q_{\lambda}(t,y) $ be the number of people present at time $t$ with $y$ units of remaining service time in an infinite server system with arrival rate equal to $\lambda>0$. In the presence of a non-lattice renewal arrival process and…
We present a systematic analysis of stochastic processes conditioned on an empirical measure $Q_T$ defined in a time interval $[0,T]$ for large $T$. We build our analysis starting from a discrete time Markov chain. Results for a continuous…
The configuration model is a sequence of random graphs constructed such that in the large network limit the degree distribution converges to a pre-specified probability distribution. The component structure of such random graphs can be…
In the common time series model $X_{i,n} = \mu (i/n) + \varepsilon_{i,n}$ with non-stationary errors we consider the problem of detecting a significant deviation of the mean function $\mu$ from a benchmark $g (\mu )$ (such as the initial…
We are interested in analyzing the effect of bandwidth sharing for telecommunication networks. More precisely, we want to calculate which routes are bottlenecks by means of large deviations techniques. The method is illustrated in this…
For sequences of non-lattice weakly dependent random variables, we obtain asymptotic expansions for Large Deviation Principles. These expansions, commonly referred to as strong large deviation results, are in the spirit of Edgeworth…
In this paper we prove a Large Deviation Principle for the sequence of symmetrised empirical measures $\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} \delta_{(X^n_i,X^n_{\sigma_n(i)})}$ where $\sigma_n$ is a random permutation and $((X_i^n)_{1 \leq i \leq…