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The extended de Finetti theorem characterizes exchangeable infinite random sequences as conditionally i.i.d. and shows that the apparently weaker distributional symmetry of spreadability is equivalent to exchangeability. Our main result is…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2008-06-24 Claus Köstler

Cumulants linearize convolution of measures. We use a formula of Good to define noncommutative cumulants in a very general setting.It turns out that the essential property needed is exchangeability of random variables. Roughly speaking the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-12-06 Franz Lehner

Inspired by Lehner's results on exchangeability systems we define `weak conditional freeness' and `conditional freeness' for stationary processes in an operator algebraic framework of noncommutative probability. We show that these two…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2008-06-24 Claus Köstler

We show that the classical de Finetti theorem has a canonical noncommutative counterpart if we strengthen `exchangeability' (i.e., invariance of the joint distribution of the random variables under the action of the permutation group) to…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Claus Köstler , Roland Speicher

Exchangeability is a fundamental concept in probability theory and statistics. It allows to model situations where the order of observations does not matter. The classical de Finetti's theorem provides a representation of infinitely…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-30 Alessio Benavoli , Alessandro Facchini , Marco Zaffalon

De Finetti's theorem, also called the de Finetti-Hewitt-Savage theorem, is a foundational result in probability and statistics. Roughly, it says that an infinite sequence of exchangeable random variables can always be written as a mixture…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

We introduce a general framework for de Finetti reduction results, applicable to various notions of partially exchangeable probability distributions. Explicit statements are derived for the cases of exchangeability, Markov exchangeability,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Ivan Bardet , Cécilia Lancien , Ion Nechita

We investigate how to model exchangeability with choice functions. Exchangeability is a structural assessment on a sequence of uncertain variables. We show how such assessments are a special indifference assessment, and how that leads to a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-03-07 Arthur Van Camp , Gert de Cooman

A sequence of random variables is called exchangeable if the joint distribution of the sequence is unchanged by any permutation of the indices. De Finetti's theorem characterizes all $\{0,1\}$-valued exchangeable sequences as a "mixture" of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Werner Kirsch

We extend de Finetti's (1937) notion of exchangeability to finite and countable sequences of variables, when a subject's beliefs about them are modelled using coherent lower previsions rather than (linear) previsions. We prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-09 Gert de Cooman , Erik Quaeghebeur , Enrique Miranda

We define spreadability systems as a generalization of exchangeability systems in order to unify various notions of independence and cumulants known in noncommutative probability. In particular, our theory covers monotone independence and…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2024-05-31 Takahiro Hasebe , Franz Lehner

We extend de Finetti's [Ann. Inst. H. Poincar\'{e} 7 (1937) 1--68] notion of exchangeability to finite and countable sequences of variables, when a subject's beliefs about them are modelled using coherent lower previsions rather than…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-08 Gert de Cooman , Erik Quaeghebeur , Enrique Miranda

Multi-class systems having possibly both finite and infinite classes are investigated under a natural partial exchangeability assumption. It is proved that the conditional law of such a system, given the vector of the empirical measures of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-04 Carl Graham

Free probabilistic considerations of type B first appeared in a paper by Biane, Goodman and Nica in 2003. Recently, connections between type B and infinitesimal free probability were put into evidence by Belinschi and Shlyakhtenko…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2009-06-12 Maxime Fevrier , Alexandru Nica

We prove a de Finetti theorem for exchangeable sequences of states on test spaces, where a test space is a generalization of the sample space of classical probability theory and the Hilbert space of quantum theory. The standard classical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-03-27 Jonathan Barrett , Matthew Leifer

The present material addresses several problems left open in the Trans. AMS paper " Non-crossing cumulants of type B" of P. Biane, F. Goodman and A. Nica. The main result is that a type B non-commutative probability space can be studied in…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2007-10-15 Mihai Popa

We study the linear span of commutators of free random variables and show that these are the only quadratic forms which satisfy the following equivalent properties: * preservation free infinite divisibility * free and strong cancellation of…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2024-05-31 Wiktor Ejsmont , Franz Lehner

We prove a free analogue of Brillinger's formula (sometimes called "law of total cumulance") which expresses classical cumulants in terms of conditioned cumulants. As expected, the formula is obtained by replacing the lattice of set…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2013-12-20 Franz Lehner

We introduce a family of quantum semigroups and their natural coactions on noncommutative polynomials. We present three invariance conditions, associated with these coactions, for the joint distribution of sequences of selfadjoint…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Weihua Liu

Motivated by recent interests in predictive inference under distribution shift, we study the problem of approximating finite weighted exchangeable sequences by a mixture of finite sequences with independent terms. Various bounds are derived…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Wenpin Tang
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