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In this paper we study randomized optimal stopping problems and consider corresponding forward and backward Monte Carlo based optimisation algorithms. In particular we prove the convergence of the proposed algorithms and derive the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-05 Christian Bayer , Denis Belomestny , Paul Hager , Paolo Pigato , John Schoenmakers

We develop methods to solve general optimal stopping problems with opportunities to stop that arrive randomly. Such problems occur naturally in applications with market frictions. Pivotal to our approach is that our methods operate on…

We propose a new approach to solve optimal stopping problems via simulation. Working within the backward dynamic programming/Snell envelope framework, we augment the methodology of Longstaff-Schwartz that focuses on approximating the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-04 Robert B. Gramacy , Mike Ludkovski

This paper deals with the optimal stopping problem under partial observation for piecewise-deterministic Markov processes. We first obtain a recursive formulation of the optimal filter process and derive the dynamic programming equation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Adrien Brandejsky , Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour

In this note we propose a new approach towards solving numerically optimal stopping problems via reinforced regression based Monte Carlo algorithms. The main idea of the method is to reinforce standard linear regression algorithms in each…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Denis Belomestny , John Schoenmakers , Vladimir Spokoiny , Bakhyt Zharkynbay

This paper is dedicated to the investigation of a new numerical method to approximate the optimal stopping problem for a discrete-time continuous state space Markov chain under partial observations. It is based on a two-step discretization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour , Christophe Nivot

We study a Q learning algorithm for continuous time stochastic control problems. The proposed algorithm uses the sampled state process by discretizing the state and control action spaces under piece-wise constant control processes. We show…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-10 Erhan Bayraktar , Ali Devran Kara

We develop two Regression Monte Carlo algorithms (value and performance iteration) to solve general problems of optimal stochastic control of discrete-time Markov processes. We formulate our method within an innovative framework that allow…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-29 Alessandro Balata , Jan Palczewski

Discrete time stochastic optimal control problems and Markov decision processes (MDPs), respectively, serve as fundamental models for problems that involve sequential decision making under uncertainty and as such constitute the theoretical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Christian Beck , Arnulf Jentzen , Konrad Kleinberg , Thomas Kruse

We introduce new variants of classical regression-based algorithms for optimal stopping problems based on computation of regression coefficients by Monte Carlo approximation of the corresponding $L^2$ inner products instead of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-29 Christian Bayer , Martin Redmann , John Schoenmakers

In this paper we study optimal stopping problems for nonlinear Markov processes driven by a McKean-Vlasov SDE and aim at solving them numerically by Monte Carlo. To this end we propose a novel regression algorithm based on the corresponding…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Denis Belomestny , John Schoenmakers

We study the numerical solution of nonlinear partially observed optimal stopping problems. The system state is taken to be a multi-dimensional diffusion and drives the drift of the observation process, which is another multi-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Mike Ludkovski

Langevin algorithms are popular Markov chain Monte Carlo methods that are often used to solve high-dimensional large-scale sampling problems in machine learning. The most classical Langevin Monte Carlo algorithm is based on the overdamped…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Nian Yao , Pervez Ali , Xihua Tao , Lingjiong Zhu

We propose a numerical method to approximate the value function for the optimal stopping problem of a piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP). Our approach is based on quantization of the post jump location---inter-arrival time Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour , Karen Gonzalez

The training of modern machine learning models often consists in solving high-dimensional non-convex optimisation problems that are subject to large-scale data. In this context, momentum-based stochastic optimisation algorithms have become…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-06 Kexin Jin , Jonas Latz , Chenguang Liu , Alessandro Scagliotti

We propose a unified framework that extends the inference methods for classical hidden Markov models to continuous settings, where both the hidden states and observations occur in continuous time. Two different settings are analyzed: hidden…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-18 Qingcan Wang , Weinan E

In this paper we study simulation based optimization algorithms for solving discrete time optimal stopping problems. This type of algorithms became popular among practioneers working in the area of quantitative finance. Using large…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-09-22 Denis Belomestny

In this work we consider optimal stopping problems with conditional convex risk measures called optimised certainty equivalents. Without assuming any kind of time-consistency for the underlying family of risk measures, we derive a novel…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-16 Denis Belomestny , Volker Kraetschmer

We develop a Monte-Carlo based numerical method for solving discrete-time stochastic optimal control problems with inventory. These are optimal control problems in which the control affects only a deterministically evolving inventory…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-05 Alessandro Balata , Jan Palczewski

In this paper we develop a deep learning method for optimal stopping problems which directly learns the optimal stopping rule from Monte Carlo samples. As such, it is broadly applicable in situations where the underlying randomness can…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Sebastian Becker , Patrick Cheridito , Arnulf Jentzen
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