Related papers: Ruin probabilities and decompositions for general …
In this paper we investigate continuity properties for ruin probability in the classical risk model. Properties of contractive integral operators are used to derive continuity estimates for the deficit at ruin. These results are also…
This paper considers an insurance surplus process modeled by a spectrally negative L\'{e}vy process. Instead of the time of ruin in the traditional setting, we apply the time of drawdown as the risk indicator in this paper. We study the…
We propose a data-driven approach for propagating uncertainty in stochastic power grid simulations and apply it to the estimation of transmission line failure probabilities. A reduced-order equation governing the evolution of the observed…
We consider a model for systems perturbed by dichotomous noise, in which the hazard rate function of a random lifetime is subject to additive time-alternating perturbations described by the telegraph process. This leads us to define a…
For a bivariate \Levy process $(\xi_t,\eta_t)_{t\geq 0}$ the generalised Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (GOU) process is defined as \[V_t:=e^{\xi_t}(z+\int_0^t e^{-\xi_{s-}}\ud \eta_s), t\ge0,\]where $z\in\mathbb{R}.$ We present conditions on the…
In this contribution we study asymptotics of the simultaneous Parisian ruin probability of a two-dimensional fractional Brownian motion risk process. This risk process models the surplus processes of an insurance and a reinsurance…
Birth and death Markov processes can model stochastic physical systems from percolation to disease spread and, in particular, wildfires. We introduce and analyze a birth-death-suppression Markov process as a model of controlled culling of…
For two nonstandard renewal risk models, we investigate the precise large deviations of the finite-time ruin probability and a random sum of the net-loss process, and the asymptotics of the random-time ruin probability. Notably, in one of…
In this paper we consider some generalizations of the classical d-dimensional Brownian risk model. This contribution derives some non-asymptotic bounds for simultaneous ruin probabilities of interest. In addition, we obtain non-asymptotic…
There are some real life issues that are exists in nature which has early failure. This type of problems can be modelled either by a complex distribution having more than one parameter or by finite mixture of some distribution. In this…
The present work concerns the finite-time ruin probabilities for several bidimensional risk models with constant interest force and correlated Brownian motions.} Under the condition that the two Brownian motions $\{B_1(t), t\ge 0\}$ and…
This paper obtains an asymptotic formula for the finite-time ruin probability of the compound nonhomogeneous Poisson risk model with a constant interest force, in which the claims are conditionally independent random variables with a common…
We study the asymptotics of the ruin probability in the Cram\'er-Lundberg model with a modified notion of ruin. The modification is as follows. If the portfolio becomes negative, the asset is not immediately declared ruined but may survive…
The current research on credit risk is primarily focused on modeling default probabilities. Recovery rates are often treated as an afterthought; they are modeled independently, in many cases they are even assumed constant. This is despite…
We discuss two distinct approaches, for distorting risk measures of sums of dependent random variables, which preserve the property of coherence. The first, based on distorted expectations, operates on the survival function of the sum. The…
We consider a $d-$dimensional insurance network, with initial capital $a\in\R^d_+,$ operating under a risk diversifying treaty; this is described in terms of a regulated random walk $\{Z^{(a)}_n\}$ via Skorokhod problem in $\R^d_+$ with…
Consider an insurance company exposed to a stochastic economic environment that contains two kinds of risk. The first kind is the insurance risk caused by traditional insurance claims, and the second kind is the financial risk resulting…
In this paper, we establish a probabilistic representation for two integration by parts formulas, one being of Bismut-Elworthy-Li's type, for the marginal law of a one-dimensional diffusion process killed at a given level. These formulas…
In this paper, we consider the optimal dividends problem for a company whose cash reserves follow a general Levy process with certain positive jumps and arbitrary negative jumps. The objective is to find a policy which maximizes the…
We develop a systematic approach to the linear-noise approximation for stochastic reaction systems with distributed delays. Unlike most existing work our formalism does not rely on a master equation, instead it is based upon a dynamical…