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This paper introduces a new method for testing the statistical significance of estimated parameters in predictive regressions. The approach features a new family of test statistics that are robust to the degree of persistence of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-04 Jean-Yves Pitarakis

Prediction, where observed data is used to quantify uncertainty about a future observation, is a fundamental problem in statistics. Prediction sets with coverage probability guarantees are a common solution, but these do not provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Leonardo Cella , Ryan Martin

The linear regression models are widely used statistical techniques in numerous practical applications. The standard regression model requires several assumptions about the regres- sors and the error term. The regression parameters are…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-23 P. Vellaisamy

In the era of "big data", it is becoming more of a challenge to not only build state-of-the-art predictive models, but also gain an understanding of what's really going on in the data. For example, it is often of interest to know which, if…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-15 Brandon M. Greenwell , Bradley C. Boehmke , Andrew J. McCarthy

Predict a new response from a covariate is a challenging task in regression, which raises new question since the era of high-dimensional data. In this paper, we are interested in the inverse regression method from a theoretical viewpoint.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-10 Emilie Devijver , Emeline Perthame

A rank-based test of the null hypothesis that a regressor has no effect on a response variable is proposed and analyzed. This test is identical in structure to the order selection test but with the raw data replaced by ranks. The test is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Jeffrey D. Hart

Generalized linear models are a popular tool in applied statistics, with their maximum likelihood estimators enjoying asymptotic Gaussianity and efficiency. As all models are wrong, it is desirable to understand these estimators' behaviours…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Elliot H. Young , Rajen D. Shah

Under two-phase designs, the outcome and several covariates and confounders are measured in the first phase, and a new predictor of interest, which may be costly to collect, can be measured on a subsample in the second phase, without…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-12 Jingjing Zou , Lori B. Daniels , Karen Messer , Daniel Rabinowitz

We consider partially observed multiscale diffusion models that are specified up to an unknown vector parameter. We establish for a very general class of test functions that the filter of the original model converges to a filter of reduced…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

This paper aims to develop an effective model-free inference procedure for high-dimensional data. We first reformulate the hypothesis testing problem via sufficient dimension reduction framework. With the aid of new reformulation, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-17 Xu Guo , Runze Li , Zhe Zhang , Changliang Zou

In this paper we propose a general methodology, based on multiple testing, for testing that the mean of a Gaussian vector in R^n belongs to a convex set. We show that the test achieves its nominal level, and characterize a class of vectors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yannick Baraud , Sylvie Huet , Beatrice Laurent

Lack-of-fit testing of a regression model with Berkson measurement error has not been discussed in the literature to date. To fill this void, we propose a class of tests based on minimized integrated square distances between a nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-02 Hira L. Koul , Weixing Song

We study the problem of estimating the distribution of effect sizes (the mean of the test statistic under the alternate hypothesis) in a multiple testing setting. Knowing this distribution allows us to calculate the power (type II error) of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-28 Jennifer Brennan , Ramya Korlakai Vinayak , Kevin Jamieson

In practice functional data are sampled on a discrete set of observation points and often susceptible to noise. We consider in this paper the setting where such data are used as explanatory variables in a regression problem. If the primary…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-14 Siegfried Hörmann , Fatima Jammoul

Nonparametric regression imputation is commonly used in missing data analysis. However, it suffers from the ``curse of dimension". The problem can be alleviated by the explosive sample size in the era of big data, while the large-scale data…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Ruoyu Wang , Miaomiao Su , Qihua Wang

Moment-based sufficient dimension reduction methods such as sliced inverse regression may not work well in the presence of heteroscedasticity. We propose to first estimate the expectiles through kernel expectile regression, and then carry…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-06 Abdul-Nasah Soale , Yuexiao Dong

We consider regression in which one predicts a response $Y$ with a set of predictors $X$ across different experiments or environments. This is a common setup in many data-driven scientific fields and we argue that statistical inference can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Niklas Pfister , Evan G. Williams , Jonas Peters , Ruedi Aebersold , Peter Bühlmann

We consider nonparametric estimation of a regression curve when the data are observed with multiplicative distortion which depends on an observed confounding variable. We suggest several estimators, ranging from a relatively simple one that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Wen-Xin Zhou

We study regression discontinuity designs with the use of additional covariates for estimation of the average treatment effect. We provide a detailed proof of asymptotic normality of the covariate-adjusted estimator under minimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-16 Patrick Kramer , Alexander Kreiß

We study a high-dimensional regression setting under the assumption of known covariate distribution. We aim at estimating the amount of explained variation in the response by the best linear function of the covariates (the signal level). In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-12 Ilan Livne , David Azriel , Yair Goldberg