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Estimation of the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) is often carried out in 2 steps, wherein the first step, the treatment and outcome are modeled, and in the second step the predictions are inserted into the ATE estimator. In the first steps,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-21 Mehdi Rostami , Olli Saarela

This work studies the properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a non-linear model with Gaussian errors and multidimensional parameter. The observations are collected in a two-stage experimental design and are dependent since…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-01 Nancy Flournoy , Caterina May , Chiara Tommasi

We consider machine learning techniques to develop low-latency approximate solutions to a class of inverse problems. More precisely, we use a probabilistic approach for the problem of recovering sparse stochastic signals that are members of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-09-06 Steffen Limmer , Sławomir Stańczak

In the small area estimation, the empirical best linear unbiased predictor (EBLUP) in the linear mixed model is useful because it gives a stable estimate for a mean of a smallarea. For measuring uncertainty of EBLUP, much of research is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Tsubasa Ito , Tatsuya Kubokawa

The linear minimum mean squared error (LMMSE) estimator is the best linear estimator for a Bayesian linear inverse problem with respect to the mean squared error. It arises as the solution operator to a Tikhonov-type regularized inverse…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Gernot Holler

An alternative to extrinsic information transfer (EXIT) charts called mean squared error (MSE) charts that use a measure related to the MSE instead of mutual information is proposed. Using the relationship between mutual information and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Kapil Bhattad , Krishna Narayanan

A new empirical Bayes approach to variable selection in the context of generalized linear models is developed. The proposed algorithm scales to situations in which the number of putative explanatory variables is very large, possibly much…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-29 Haim Bar , James Booth , Martin T. Wells

In this article asymptotic expressions for the final prediction error (FPE) and the accumulated prediction error (APE) of the least squares predictor are obtained in regression models with nonstationary regressors. It is shown that the term…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ching-Kang Ing , Chor-Yiu Sin

Generalised regression estimation allows one to make use of available auxiliary information in survey sampling. We develop three types of generalised regression estimator when the auxiliary data cannot be matched perfectly to the sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Li-Chun Zhang

We propose a finite sample based predictor for estimated linear one dimensional time series models and compute the associated total forecasting error. The expression for the error that we present takes into account the estimation error.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-20 Lyudmila Grigoryeva , Juan-Pablo Ortega

State estimation is a classical problem in quantum information. In optimization of estimation scheme, to find a lower bound to the error of the estimator is a very important step. So far, all the proposed tractable lower bounds use…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Yoshiyuki Tsuda , Keiji Matsumoto

Highly robust and efficient estimators for the generalized linear model with a dispersion parameter are proposed. The estimators are based on three steps. In the first step the maximum rank correlation estimator is used to consistently…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-29 Michael Amiguet , Alfio Marazzi , Marina Valdora , Victor Yohai

This paper deals with the problem of estimating a slope parameter in a simple linear regression model, where independent variables have functional measurement errors. Measurement errors in independent variables, as is well known, cause…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Hisayuki Tsukuma

We revisit the classical causal inference problem of estimating the average treatment effect in the presence of fully observed confounding variables using two-stage semiparametric methods. In existing theoretical studies of methods such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-23 Steve Yadlowsky

In applications of linear mixed-effects models, experimenters often desire uncertainty quantification for random quantities, like predicted treatment effects for unobserved individuals or groups. For example, consider an agricultural…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-19 Nicholas Syring , Fernando Miguez , Jarad Niemi

Subsampling is a computationally efficient and scalable method to draw inference in large data settings based on a subset of the data rather than needing to consider the whole dataset. When employing subsampling techniques, a crucial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Amalan Mahendran , Helen Thompson , James M. McGree

Several problems in statistics involve the combination of high-variance unbiased estimators with low-variance estimators that are only unbiased under strong assumptions. A notable example is the estimation of causal effects while combining…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-25 Michael Oberst , Alexander D'Amour , Minmin Chen , Yuyan Wang , David Sontag , Steve Yadlowsky

In machine learning forecasting, standard error metrics such as mean absolute error (MAE) and mean squared error (MSE) quantify discrepancies between predictions and target values. However, these metrics do not directly evaluate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Zhou Fang , Gianmarco Mengaldo

We consider the problem of signal estimation (denoising) from a statistical-mechanical perspective, in continuation to a recent work on the analysis of mean-square error (MSE) estimation using a direct relationship between optimum…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-06-04 Wasim Huleihel , Neri Merhav

We propose an adversarial evaluation framework for sensitive feature inference based on minimum mean-squared error (MMSE) estimation with a finite sample size and linear predictive models. Our approach establishes theoretical lower bounds…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-15 Monica Welfert , Nathan Stromberg , Mario Diaz , Lalitha Sankar
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