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Effect size measures and visualization techniques aimed at maximizing the interpretability and comparability of results from statistical models have long been of great importance and are recently again receiving increased attention in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-08 Hannah Kümpel , Sabine Hoffmann

Designing scalable estimation algorithms is a core challenge in modern statistics. Here we introduce a framework to address this challenge based on parallel approximants, which yields estimators with provable properties that operate on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-04 Aritra Chakravorty , William S. Cleveland , Patrick J. Wolfe

In this paper we consider high-dimensional multiclass classification by sparse multinomial logistic regression. We propose first a feature selection procedure based on penalized maximum likelihood with a complexity penalty on the model size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-20 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein , Tomer Levy

Optimization is widely used in statistics, and often efficiently delivers point estimates on useful spaces involving structural constraints or combinatorial structure. To quantify uncertainty, Gibbs posterior exponentiates the negative loss…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Cheng Zeng , Eleni Dilma , Jason Xu , Leo L Duan

Multifractal analysis of multiplicative random cascades is revisited within the framework of {\em mixed asymptotics}. In this new framework, statistics are estimated over a sample which size increases as the resolution scale (or the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-05 Emmanuel Bacry , Arnaud Gloter , Marc Hoffmann , Jean-Francois Muzy

In the random-effects model of meta-analysis a canonical representation of the restricted likelihood function is obtained. This representation relates the mean effect and the heterogeneity variance estimation problems. An explicit form of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Andrew L. Rukhin

This paper extends some prominent statistical results including \emph{Fisher Theorem and Wilks phenomenon} to the penalized maximum likelihood estimation with a quadratic penalization. It appears that sharp expansions for the penalized MLE…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-11 Vladimir Spokoiny

While calibration of probabilistic predictions has been widely studied, this paper rather addresses calibration of likelihood functions. This has been discussed, especially in biometrics, in cases with only two exhaustive and mutually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Paul-Gauthier Noé , Andreas Nautsch , Driss Matrouf , Pierre-Michel Bousquet , Jean-François Bonastre

Often the rows (cases, objects) of a dataset have weights. For instance, the weight of a case may reflect the number of times it has been observed, or its reliability. For analyzing such data many rowwise weighted techniques are available,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Peter J. Rousseeuw

Probabilistic classifiers output a probability distribution on target classes rather than just a class prediction. Besides providing a clear separation of prediction and decision making, the main advantage of probabilistic models is their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Juozas Vaicenavicius , David Widmann , Carl Andersson , Fredrik Lindsten , Jacob Roll , Thomas B. Schön

We introduce an optimization model for maximum likelihood-type estimation (M-estimation) that generalizes a large class of existing statistical models, including Huber's concomitant M-estimator, Owen's Huber/Berhu concomitant estimator, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Patrick L. Combettes , Christian L. Müller

Smoothness of the subdiagonals of the Cholesky factor of large covariance matrices is closely related to the degrees of nonstationarity of autoregressive models for time series and longitudinal data. Heuristically, one expects for a nearly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-23 Aramayis Dallakyan , Mohsen Pourahmadi

In this paper, we explore a static setting for the assessment of risk in the context of mathematical finance and actuarial science that takes into account model uncertainty in the distribution of a possibly infinite-dimensional risk factor.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-13 Max Nendel , Alessandro Sgarabottolo

The hierarchical matrix framework partitions matrices into subblocks that are either small or of low numerical rank, enabling linear storage complexity and efficient matrix-vector multiplication. This work focuses on the $H^2$-matrix format…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Anna Yesypenko , Per-Gunnar Martinsson

Filtering and parameter estimation under partial information for multiscale problems is studied in this paper. After proving mean square convergence of the nonlinear filter to a filter of reduced dimension, we establish that the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

This paper considers an extension of the multivariate symmetric Laplace distribution to matrix variate case. The symmetric Laplace distribution is a scale mixture of normal distribution. The maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Pooja Yadav , Tanuja Srivastava

Soft-thresholding is a sparse modeling method that is typically applied to wavelet denoising in statistical signal processing and analysis. It has a single parameter that controls a threshold level on wavelet coefficients and,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-01 Katsuyuki Hagiwara

The aim of this note is to state a couple of general results about the properties of the penalized maximum likelihood estimators (pMLE) and of the posterior distribution for parametric models in a non-asymptotic setup and for possibly large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Vladimir Spokoiny

Reward factorization personalizes large language models (LLMs) by decomposing rewards into shared basis functions and user-specific weights. Yet, existing methods estimate user weights from scarce data in isolation and as deterministic…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Gyuseok Lee , Wonbin Kweon , Zhenrui Yue , SeongKu Kang , Jiawei Han , Dong Wang

We consider a flexible semiparametric quantile regression model for analyzing high dimensional heterogeneous data. This model has several appealing features: (1) By considering different conditional quantiles, we may obtain a more complete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-25 Ben Sherwood , Lan Wang
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