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We propose a simple statistical-physics-inspired model for the effect of intrinsic fluctuations on supply and demand in markets. The model consists of agents that trade in two types of goods of which the total number is separately…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-13 J. R. Mulder , René van Roij , R. A. Duine

We discuss a simple model based on the Minority Game which reproduces the main stylized facts of anomalous fluctuations in finance. We present the analytic solution of the model in the thermodynamic limit and show that stylized facts arise…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Damien Challet , Matteo Marsili

We analyze the efficiency of markets with friction, particularly power markets. We model the market as a dynamic system with $(d_t;\,t\geq 0)$ the demand process and $(s_t;\,t\geq 0)$ the supply process. Using stochastic differential…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2011-09-19 Arman C. Kizilkale , Shie Mannor

We review the nature of some well-known phenomena such as volatility smiles, convexity adjustments and parallel derivative markets. We propose that the market is incomplete and postulate the existence of intrinsic risks in every contingent…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-19 Truc Le

We study price formation in intraday electricity markets in the presence of intermittent renewable generation. We consider the setting where a major producer may interact strategically with a large number of small producers. Using…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-17 Olivier Féron , Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi

Using recent advances in the econometrics literature, we disentangle from high frequency observations on the transaction prices of a large sample of NYSE stocks a fundamental component and a microstructure noise component. We then relate…

Applications · Statistics 2009-06-11 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jialin Yu

The purpose of this work is to explore the role that arbitrage opportunities play in pricing financial derivatives. We use a non-equilibrium model to set up a stochastic portfolio, and for the random arbitrage return, we choose a stationary…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Sergei Fedotov , Stephanos Panayides

We investigate possible origins of trends using a deterministic threshold model, where we refer to long-term variabilities of price changes (price movements) in financial markets as trends. From the investigation we find two phenomena. One…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-22 Ryo Murakami , Tomomichi Nakamura , Shin Kimura , Masashi Manabe , Toshihiro Tanizawa

We provide closed-form market equilibrium formula consolidating informational imperfections and investors beliefs. Based on Merton's model, we characterize the equilibrium expected excess returns vector with incomplete information. We then…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Hafid Lalioui , Amine Ben Amar , Makram Bellalah

This paper introduces an equilibrium framework based on sequential sampling in which players face strategic uncertainty over their opponents' behavior and acquire informative signals to resolve it. Sequential sampling equilibrium delivers a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-11-03 Duarte Gonçalves

We consider a continuous-time game-theoretic model of an investment market with short-lived assets and endogenous asset prices. The first goal of the paper is to formulate a stochastic equation which determines wealth processes of investors…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-01 Mikhail Zhitlukhin

We have studied here the self-organising features of the dynamics of a model market, where the agents `trade' for a single commodity with their money. The model market consists of fixed numbers of economic agents, money supply and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Anirban Chakraborti , Srutarshi Pradhan , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

In this paper we study the evolution of asset price bubbles driven by contagion effects spreading among investors via a random matching mechanism in a discrete-time version of the liquidity based model of [25]. To this scope, we extend the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-03 Francesca Biagini , Andrea Mazzon , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Katharina Oberpriller

The sustainability conditions for the market participants with a different ownership model were also determined. It was revealed, that the nonlinear form of the equations describing the market behavior with the prevailing private capital,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-23 Viktor I. Shapovalov

The integration and innovation of finance and technology have gradually transformed the financial system into a complex one. Analyses of the causesd of abnormal fluctuations in the financial market to extract early warning indicators…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-20 Shige Peng , Shuzhen Yang , Wenqing Zhang

We study a an optimal high frequency trading problem within a market microstructure model designed to be a good compromise between accuracy and tractability. The stock price is driven by a Markov Renewal Process (MRP), while market orders…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-06 Pietro Fodra , Huyên Pham

The objective of this work is the investigation of complexity, asymmetry, stochasticity and non-linearity of the financial and economic systems by using the tools of statistical mechanics and information theory. More precisely, this thesis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-30 Rubina Zadourian

As a typical representation of complex networks studied relatively thoroughly, financial market presents some special details, such as its nonconservation and opinions spreading. In this model, agents congregate to form some clusters, which…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jie Wang , Chun-Xia Yang , Pei-Ling Zhou , Ying-Di Jin , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

This manuscript reports a stochastic dynamical scenario whose associated stationary probability density function is exactly a previously proposed one to adjust high-frequency traded volume distributions. This dynamical conjecture,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

Single index financial market models cannot account for the empirically observed complex interactions between shares in a market. We describe a multi-share financial market model and compare characteristics of the volatility, that is the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Adam Ponzi