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Consider a real diagonal deterministic matrix $X_n$ of size $n$ with spectral measure converging to a compactly supported probability measure. We perturb this matrix by adding a random finite rank matrix, with delocalized eigenvectors. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-21 Florent Benaych-Georges , Alice Guionnet , Mylène Maïda

We analyse the $\ell^2(\pi)$-convergence rate of irreducible and aperiodic Markov chains with $N$-band transition probability matrix $P$ and with invariant distribution $\pi$. This analysis is heavily based on: first the study of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-06 Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux

Let $\{\xi_1,\xi_2,\ldots\}$ be a sequence of independent but not necessarily identically distributed random variables. In this paper, the sufficient conditions are found under which the tail probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Dominyka Kievinaitė , Jonas Šiaulys

For Markov chains and Markov processes exhibiting a form of stochastic monotonicity (larger states shift up transition probabilities in terms of stochastic dominance), stability and ergodicity results can be obtained using order-theoretic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

The paper considers a stochastic differential equation of Duffing type with Markov coefficients. The existence of unpredictable solutions is considered. The unpredictability is a property of bounded functions characterized by unbounded…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-03-31 Marat Akhmet , Madina Tleubergenova , Akylbek Zhamanshin

We obtain universal estimates on the convergence to equilibrium and the times of coupling for continuous time irreducible reversible finite-state Markov chains, both in the total variation and in the L^2 norms. The estimates in total…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-24 Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

In this article we derive the best possible upper bound for $E[\max{X_i}-\min_i{X_i}]$ under given means and variances on $n$ random variables $X_i$. The random vector $(X_1,...,X_n)$ is allowed to have any dependence structure, provided $E…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-18 Nickos Papadatos

Reversibility is a key concept in Markov models and Master-equation models of molecular kinetics. The analysis and interpretation of the transition matrix encoding the kinetic properties of the model relies heavily on the reversibility…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-09-23 Benjamin Trendelkamp-Schroer , Hao Wu , Fabian Paul , Frank Noé

We present a convex-concave reformulation of the reversible Markov chain estimation problem and outline an efficient numerical scheme for the solution of the resulting problem based on a primal-dual interior point method for monotone…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-03-08 Benjamin Trendelkamp-Schroer , Hao Wu , Frank Noe

In this paper we establish a large deviations type estimate for strongly mixing Markov chains with respect to the Lp norm. As applications we derive such estimates for the iterates of a locally constant random cocycle with mixed rank, as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Anselmo Pontes

Lyapunov exponents describe the asymptotic behavior of the singular values of large products of random matrices. A direct computation of these exponents is however often infeasible. By establishing a link between Lyapunov exponents and an…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-12-24 David Sutter , Omar Fawzi , Renato Renner

We introduce a unified framework to estimate the convergence of Markov chains to equilibrium in Wasserstein distance. The framework can provide convergence bounds with rates ranging from polynomial to exponential, all derived from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Yanlin Qu , Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn

In this work, we study a natural nonparametric estimator of the transition probability matrices of a finite controlled Markov chain. We consider an offline setting with a fixed dataset, collected using a so-called logging policy. We develop…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-17 Imon Banerjee , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak Rao

We consider a Wigner-type ensemble, i.e. large hermitian $N\times N$ random matrices $H=H^*$ with centered independent entries and with a general matrix of variances $S_{xy}=\mathbb E|H_{xy}|^2$. The norm of $H$ is asymptotically given by…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-15 László Erdős , Peter Mühlbacher

We prove new upper and lower bounds for sample complexity of finding an $\epsilon$-optimal policy of an infinite-horizon average-reward Markov decision process (MDP) given access to a generative model. When the mixing time of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Yujia Jin , Aaron Sidford

The goal of this paper is to identify exponential convergence rates and to find computable bounds for them for Markov processes representing unreliable Jackson networks. First we use the bounds of Lawler and Sokal in order to show that, for…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Pawel Lorek , Ryszard Szekli

We show bounds on total variation and $L^{\infty}$ mixing times, spectral gap and magnitudes of the complex valued eigenvalues of a general (non-reversible non-lazy) Markov chain with a minor expansion property. This leads to the first…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2009-04-03 Ravi Montenegro

Affinity has proven to be a useful tool for quantifying the non-equilibrium character of time continuous Markov processes since it serves as a measure for the breaking of time reversal symmetry. It has recently been conjectured that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-27 Matthias Uhl , Udo Seifert

We study the problem of exponential mixing and large deviations for discrete-time Markov processes associated with a class of random dynamical systems. Under some dissipativity and regularisation hypotheses for the underlying deterministic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-10-24 Vojkan Jaksic , Vahagn Nersesyan , Claude-Alain Pillet , Armen Shirikyan

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton
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