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The paper examines the problem of representing the dynamics of low order autoregressive (AR) models with time varying (TV) coefficients. The existing literature computes the forecasts of the series from a recursion relation. Instead, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-14 Menelaos Karanasos , Alexandros Paraskevopoulos , Stavros Dafnos

We establish an $L_1$-bound between the coefficients of the optimal causal filter applied to the data-generating process and its finite sample approximation. Here, we assume that the data-generating process is a second-order stationary time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Junho Yang

We survey aspects of prediction theory in infinitely many dimensions, with a view to the theory and applications of functional time series.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-24 Nicholas Hugh Bingham

This paper addresses the estimation of locally stationary long-range dependent processes, a methodology that allows the statistical analysis of time series data exhibiting both nonstationarity and strong dependency. A time-varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Wilfredo Palma , Ricardo Olea

A commonly-used representation for motion prediction of actors is a sequence of waypoints (comprising positions and orientations) for each actor at discrete future time-points. While this approach is simple and flexible, it can exhibit…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Zhaoen Su , Chao Wang , Henggang Cui , Nemanja Djuric , Carlos Vallespi-Gonzalez , David Bradley

Associated to quantum affine general linear Lie superalgebras are two families of short exact sequences of representations whose first and third terms are irreducible: the Baxter TQ relations involving infinite-dimensional representations;…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-11-06 Huafeng Zhang

A finite-dimensional Hilbert space is usually described in terms of an orthonormal basis, but in certain approaches or applications a description in terms of a finite overcomplete system of vectors, called a finite tight frame, may offer…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2010-04-22 Nicolae Cotfas , Jean Pierre Gazeau

For a class of stationary regularly varying and weakly dependent time series, we prove the so-called complete convergence result for the corresponding space-time point processes. As an application of our main theorem, we give a simple proof…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-17 Bojan Basrak , Azra Tafro

We consider a complex-valued linear mixture model, under discrete weakly stationary processes. We recover latent components of interest, which have undergone a linear mixing. We study asymptotic properties of a classical unmixing estimator,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Niko Lietzén , Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen

We are studying long term sequence prediction (forecasting). We approach this by investigating criteria for choosing a compact useful state representation. The state is supposed to summarize useful information from the history. We want a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-10 Peter Sunehag , Marcus Hutter

We present a conformal prediction method for time series using the Transformer architecture to capture long-memory and long-range dependencies. Specifically, we use the Transformer decoder as a conditional quantile estimator to predict the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Junghwan Lee , Chen Xu , Yao Xie

This paper deals with the time-varying high dimensional covariance matrix estimation. We propose two covariance matrix estimators corresponding with a time-varying approximate factor model and a time-varying approximate characteristic-based…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-29 Jaeheon Jung

This is an introductory note concerning the distribution vectors in a unitary representation of a Lie group. We discuss the definition of matrix coefficients associated with a pair of distributions and how one can compute them. Most of the…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Hongyu He

In this paper, we consider high-dimensional stationary processes where a new observation is generated from a compressed version of past observations. The specific evolution is modeled by an encoder-decoder structure. We estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-21 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

We generalize type $A$ quivers to continuous type $A$ quivers and prove initial results about pointwise finite-dimensional (pwf) representations. We classify the indecomosable pwf representations and provide a decomposition theorem,…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Kiyoshi Igusa , Job D. Rock , Gordana Todorov

This paper reviews recent developments of robust estimation in linear time series models, with short and long memory correlation structures, in the presence of additive outliers. Based on the manuscripts Fajardo et al. (2009) and…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-12-30 Valderio A. Reisen , Fabio A. Fajardo

This article develops a periodic version of a time varying parameter fractional process in the stationary region. It is a partial extension of Hosking (1981)'s article which dealt with the case where the coefficients are invariant in time.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-06 Amine Amimour , Karima Belaide

In the classic problem of sequence prediction, a predictor receives a sequence of values from an emitter and tries to guess the next value before it appears. The predictor masters the emitter if there is a point after which all of the…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2016-03-09 Tim Smith

We describe an inequality of finite or infinite sequences of real numbers and their quotients. More precisely, we compare the quotient of H\"older functionals of two sequences of numbers with the sum of their quotients. In the last section…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2012-09-04 Volker W. Thürey

We study distributional properties of a quadratic form of a stationary functional time series under mild moment conditions. As an important application, we obtain consistency rates of estimators of spectral density operators and prove joint…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-12 Anne van Delft