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This article introduces methods for constructing prediction bounds or intervals for the number of future failures from heterogeneous reliability field data. We focus on within-sample prediction where early data from a failure-time process…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Colin Lewis-Beck , Qinglong Tian , William Q. Meeker

Association between categorical variables in contingency tables is analyzed using the information identities based on multivariate multinomial distributions. A scheme of geometric decompositions of the information identities is developed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 Philip E. Cheng , Jiun-Wei Liou , Hung-Wen Kao , Michelle Liou

Probabilistic Circuits (PCs) are deep generative models that support exact and efficient probabilistic inference. Yet in autoregressive language modeling, PCs still lag behind Transformer-based large language models (LLMs), suggesting an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Zhiyu Zhao , Xuejie Liu , Muhan Zhang , Anji Liu

In this article we present an algorithm to compute bounds on the marginals of a graphical model. For several small clusters of nodes upper and lower bounds on the marginal values are computed independently of the rest of the network. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-27 B. Kappen , M. Leisink

We study fundamental block-structured integer programs called tree-fold and multi-stage IPs. Tree-fold IPs admit a constraint matrix with independent blocks linked together by few constraints in a recursive pattern; and transposing their…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Christoph Hunkenschröder , Kim-Manuel Klein , Martin Koutecký , Alexandra Lassota , Asaf Levin

We will use the factors obtained by correspondence analysis to find biclustering of a contingency table such that the row-column cluster pairs are regular, i.e., they have small discrepancy. In our main theorem, the constant of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-23 Marianna Bolla

We bound features of counterfactual choices in the nonparametric random utility model of demand, i.e. if observable choices are repeated cross-sections and one allows for unrestricted, unobserved heterogeneity. In this setting, tight bounds…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-21 Yuichi Kitamura , Jörg Stoye

We study the problem of list-decodable linear regression, where an adversary can corrupt a majority of the examples. Specifically, we are given a set $T$ of labeled examples $(x, y) \in \mathbb{R}^d \times \mathbb{R}$ and a parameter $0<…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-06-18 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Ankit Pensia , Thanasis Pittas , Alistair Stewart

Random planar graphs appear in a variety of context and it is important for many different applications to be able to characterize their structure. Local quantities fail to give interesting information and it seems that path-related…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-28 Benjamin Lion , Marc Barthelemy

We show how the numerical range of a matrix can be used to bound the optimal value of certain optimization problems over real tensor product vectors. Our bound is stronger than the trivial bounds based on eigenvalues, and can be computed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-24 Nathaniel Johnston , Logan Pipes

This short course offers a new perspective on randomized algorithms for matrix computations. It explores the distinct ways in which probability can be used to design algorithms for numerical linear algebra. Each design template is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Anastasia Kireeva , Joel A. Tropp

We discuss a class of proofs of Bell-type inequalities that are based on tables of potential outcomes. These proofs state in essence: if one can only imagine (or write down in a table) the potential outcome of a hidden parameter model for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Karl Hess , Walter Philipp

Separable Bayesian Networks, or the Influence Model, are dynamic Bayesian Networks in which the conditional probability distribution can be separated into a function of only the marginal distribution of a node's neighbors, instead of the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Chalee Asavathiratham

A sequential importance sampling algorithm is developed for the distribution that results when a matrix of independent, but not identically distributed, Bernoulli random variables is conditioned on a given sequence of row and column sums.…

Computation · Statistics 2013-01-18 Matthew T. Harrison , Jeffrey W. Miller

Gaps (or spacings) between consecutive eigenvalues are a central topic in random matrix theory. The goal of this paper is to study the tail distribution of these gaps in various random matrix models. We give the first repulsion bound for…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-05 Hoi Nguyen , Terence Tao , Van Vu

The paper concerns the probabilistic evaluation of plans in the presence of unmeasured variables, each plan consisting of several concurrent or sequential actions. We establish a graphical criterion for recognizing when the effects of a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Judea Pearl , James M. Robins

We consider upper exponential bounds for the probability of the event that an absolute deviation of sample mean from mathematical expectation p is bigger comparing with some ordered level epsilon. These bounds include 2 coefficients {alpha,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-13 Vladimir Nikulin

In this work we consider a problem of multi-label classification, where each instance is associated with some binary vector. Our focus is to find a classifier which minimizes false negative discoveries under constraints. Depending on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-29 Evgenii Chzhen

Let $M$ be a non-zero binary matrix with distinct rows where the rows are closed under certain logical operators. In this article, we investigate the existence of columns containing an equal or greater number of ones than zeros.…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Mohammad Javad Moghaddas Mehr

Linear combinations of multinomial probabilities, such as those resulting from contingency tables, are of use when evaluating classification system performance. While large sample inference methods for these combinations exist, small sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Katherine A. Batterton , Christine M. Schubert , Richard L. Warr
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