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The nonlinear filtering equation is said to be stable if it ``forgets'' the initial condition. It is known that the filter might be unstable even if the signal is an ergodic Markov chain. In general, the filtering stability requires…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pavel Chigansky , Robert Liptser

We consider a discrete time hidden Markov model where the signal is a stationary Markov chain. When conditioned on the observations, the signal is a Markov chain in a random environment under the conditional measure. It is shown that this…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-24 Ramon van Handel

Exponential stability of the nonlinear filtering equation is revisited, when the signal is a finite state Markov chain. An asymptotic upper bound for the filtering error due to incorrect initial condition is derived in the case of slowly…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. Chigansky

Stability problem of the Wonham filter with respect to initial conditions is addressed. The case of ergodic signals is revisited in view of a gap in the classic work of H. Kunita (1971). We give new bounds for the exponential stability…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. Baxendale , P. Chigansky , R. Liptser

We study ergodic properties of nonlinear Markov chains and stochastic McKean-Vlasov equations. For nonlinear Markov chains we obtain sufficient conditions for existence and uniqueness of an invariant measure and uniform ergodicity. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Oleg Butkovsky

When is a nonlinear filter stable with respect to its initial condition? In spite of the recent progress, this question still lacks a complete answer in general. Currently available results indicate that stability of the filter depends on…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. Chigansky , R. Liptser

In the framework of statistical mechanics the properties of macroscopic systems are deduced starting from the laws of their microscopic dynamics. One of the key assumptions in this procedure is the ergodic property, namely the equivalence…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-09 Marco Baldovin , Raffaele Marino , Angelo Vulpiani

Under multiplicative drift and other regularity conditions, it is established that the asymptotic variance associated with a particle filter approximation of the prediction filter is bounded uniformly in time, and the nonasymptotic,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-06 Nick Whiteley

We consider a hidden Markov model with multiplicative noise emerging from studies of software reliability. We show the stability of the optimal filter with respect to general initial conditions in the total variation- and $L^p$-norm and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-21 Birgit Debrabant , Wilhelm Stannat

This article considers the application of particle filtering to continuous-discrete optimal filtering problems, where the system model is a stochastic differential equation, and noisy measurements of the system are obtained at discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-04-29 Simo Särkkä , Tommi Sottinen

The Gaussian-filtered Navier-Stokes equations are examined theoretically and a generalized theory of their numerical stability is proposed. Using the exact expansion series of subfilter-scale stresses or integration by parts, the terms…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Masato Ida , Nobuyuki Oshima

The nonlinear filter for an ergodic signal observed in white noise is said to achieve maximal accuracy if the stationary filtering error vanishes as the signal to noise ratio diverges. We give a general characterization of the maximal…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-28 Ramon van Handel

A stochastic variational inequality is proposed to model an elasto-plastic oscillator excited by a filtered white noise. We prove the ergodic properties of the process and characterize the corresponding invariant measure. This extends…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2011-12-21 Alain Bensoussan , Laurent Mertz

This paper is concerned with the problem of nonlinear filter stability of ergodic Markov processes. The main contribution is the conditional Poincar\'e inequality (PI), which is shown to yield filter stability. The proof is based upon a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Jin Won Kim , Prashant G. Mehta , Sean Meyn

It has been established under very general conditions that the ergodic properties of Markov processes are inherited by their conditional distributions given partial information. While the existing theory provides a rather complete picture…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-04 Patrick Rebeschini , Ramon van Handel

This article develops a comprehensive framework for stability analysis of a broad class of commonly used continuous and discrete time-filters for stochastic dynamic systems with non-linear state dynamics and linear measurements under…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-11 Toni Karvonen , Silvère Bonnabel , Eric Moulines , Simo Särkkä

This paper develops a connection between the asymptotic stability of nonlinear filters and a notion of observability. We consider a general class of hidden Markov models in continuous time with compact signal state space, and call such a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-15 Ramon van Handel

We investigate the robustness of nonlinear filtering for continuous time finite state Markov chains, observed in white noise, with respect to misspecification of the model parameters. It is shown that the distance between the optimal filter…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pavel Chigansky , Ramon van Handel

A hidden Markov model is called observable if distinct initial laws give rise to distinct laws of the observation process. Observability implies stability of the nonlinear filter when the signal process is tight, but this need not be the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-10 Ramon van Handel

A noisy damping parameter in the equation of motion of a nonlinear oscillator renders the fixed point of the system unstable when the amplitude of the noise is sufficiently large. However, the stability diagram of the system can not be…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-08-16 Nicolas Leprovost , Sébatien Aumaitre , Kirone Mallick
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