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Using a variational technique, we generalize the statistical physics approach of learning from random examples to make it applicable to real data. We demonstrate the validity and relevance of our method by computing approximate estimators…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 D. Malzahn , M. Opper

In the setting where we have $n$ independent observations of a random variable $X$, we derive explicit error bounds in total variation distance when approximating the number of observations equal to the maximum of the sample (in the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Fraser Daly

Stochastic approximation algorithm is a useful technique which has been exploited successfully in probability theory and statistics for a long time. The step sizes used in stochastic approximation are generally taken to be deterministic and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Ujan Gangopadhyay , Krishanu Maulik

The study of associations and their causal explanations is a central research activity whose methodology varies tremendously across fields. Even within specialized subfields, comparisons across textbooks and journals reveals that the basics…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-13 Sander Greenland

If several independent algorithms for a computer-calculated quantity exist, then one can expect their results (which differ because of numerical errors) to follow approximately Gaussian distribution. The mean of this distribution,…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2017-07-03 Andrej Liptaj

The article addresses a long-standing open problem on the justification of using variational Bayes methods for parameter estimation. We provide general conditions for obtaining optimal risk bounds for point estimates acquired from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Yun Yang

Contemporary statistical publications rely on simulation to evaluate performance of new methods and compare them with established methods. In the context of meta-analysis of log-odds-ratios, we investigate how the ways in which simulations…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-06 Elena Kulinskaya , David C. Hoaglin , Ilyas Bakbergenuly

Statistical matching methods are widely used in the social and health sciences to estimate causal effects using observational data. Often the objective is to find comparable groups with similar covariate distributions in a dataset, with the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-19 Felix Bestehorn , Maike Bestehorn , Christian Kirches

Accurate approximation of probability measures is essential in numerical applications. This paper explores the quantization of probability measures using the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) distance as a guiding metric. We first investigate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Zahra Mehraban , Alois Pichler

We consider method-of-quantiles estimators of unknown parameters, namely the analogue of method-of-moments estimators obtained by matching empirical and theoretical quantiles at some probability level lambda in (0,1). The aim is to present…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Valeria Bignozzi , Claudio Macci , Lea Petrella

An approach for the description of stochastic systems is derived. Some of the variables in the system are studied forward in time, others backward in time. The approach is based on a perturbation expansion in the strength of the coupling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 Piero Olla

Bounds of the accuracy of the normal approximation to the distribution of a sum of independent random variables are improved under relaxed moment conditions, in particular, under the absence of moments of orders higher than the second.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-06 V. Yu. Korolev , A. V. Dorofeeva

This paper is about how we study statistical methods. As an example, it uses the random regressions model, in which the intercept and slope of cluster-specific regression lines are modeled as a bivariate random effect. Maximizing this…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-05-22 James S. Hodges

Statistical samples, in order to be representative, have to be drawn from a population in a random and unbiased way. Nevertheless, it is common practice in the field of model-based diagnosis to make estimations from (biased) best-first…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Patrick Rodler , Fatima Elichanova

Stochastic variational inference makes it possible to approximate posterior distributions induced by large datasets quickly using stochastic optimization. The algorithm relies on the use of fully factorized variational distributions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-27 Matthew D. Hoffman , David M. Blei

Two approximations are frequently used in statistical physics: the first one, which we shall name the mean values approximation, is generally (and improperly) named as "maximum term approximation". The second is the "Stirling…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Conrado Hoffmann

The (conditional or unconditional) distribution of the continuous scan statistic in a one-dimensional Poisson process may be approximated by that of a discrete analogue via time discretization (to be referred to as the discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Yi-Ching Yao , Daniel Wei-Chung Miao , Xenos Chang-Shuo Lin

Quantization for probability distributions refers broadly to estimating a given probability measure by a discrete probability measure supported by a finite number of points. We consider general geometric approaches to quantization using…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Joseph Rosenblatt , Mrinal Kanti Roychowdhury

The fractional calculus of variations and fractional optimal control are generalizations of the corresponding classical theories, that allow problem modeling and formulations with arbitrary order derivatives and integrals. Because of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-17 Shakoor Pooseh

Randomized algorithms depend on accurate sampling from probability distributions, as their correctness and performance hinge on the quality of the generated samples. However, even for common distributions like Binomial, exact sampling is…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-17 Uddalok Sarkar , Sourav Chakraborty , Kuldeep S. Meel
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