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We investigate the Poisson regression method for Markov and semi-Markov jump processes from a nonparametric angle, allowing the lengths of the time and duration intervals in the partition to vary with the number of observations. Imposing no…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Martin Bladt , Rasmus Frigaard Lemvig

For $d\ge1$ and $r>0$, let $X^{(d;r)}(\cdot)$ be a $d$-dimensional Brownian motion with diffusion coefficient $D$, equipped with an exponential clock with rate $r$. When the clock rings, the process jumps to the origin and begins anew. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-20 Ross G. Pinsky

Many inverse problems require reconstructing physical fields from limited and noisy data while incorporating known governing equations. A growing body of work within probabilistic numerics formalizes such tasks via Bayesian inference in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-19 Alex Alberts , Ilias Bilionis

The $N$ vertices of a quantum random graph are each a circle independently punctured at Poisson points of arrivals, with parallel connections derived through for each pair of these punctured circles by yet another independent Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-04 Amir Dembo , Anna Levit , Sreekar Vadlamani

We consider fragmentations of an R-tree $T$ driven by cuts arriving according to a Poisson process on $T \times [0, \infty)$, where the first co-ordinate specifies the location of the cut and the second the time at which it occurs. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-17 Louigi Addario-Berry , Daphné Dieuleveut , Christina Goldschmidt

We revise the Levy's construction of Brownian motion as a simple though still rigorous approach to operate with various Gaussian processes. A Brownian path is explicitly constructed as a linear combination of wavelet-based "geometrical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-03 Denis S. Grebenkov , Dmitry Beliaev , Peter W. Jones

In 2010 Banderier and Nicodeme consider the height of bounded discrete bridges and conclude to a limiting Rayleigh distribution. This result is correct although their proof is partly erroneous. They make asymptotic simplifications based…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Pierre Nicodeme

Simple time-reversible systems can generate {\it irreversible} flows satisfying the Second Law of Thermodynamics. Maps, and equivalent random walks, can also do this. We study a pair of time-reversible Baker Maps, $N2$ and $N3$, which…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-03-30 William Graham Hoover , Carol Griswold Hoover

Interacting particle systems can often be constructed from a graphical representation, by applying local maps at the times of associated Poisson processes. This leads to a natural coupling of systems started in different initial states. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-19 Tibor Mach , Anja Sturm , Jan M. Swart

We derive P(M,t_m), the joint probability density of the maximum M and the time t_m at which this maximum is achieved for a class of constrained Brownian motions. In particular, we provide explicit results for excursions, meanders and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-10-31 Satya. N. Majumdar , Julien Randon-Furling , Michael J. Kearney , Marc Yor

The main purpose of this thesis is to study the interplay between geometric properties of infinite graphs and analytic and probabilistic objects such as transition operators, harmonic functions and random walks on these graphs. For a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-14 Ecaterina Sava

We consider a one-dimensional Brownian motion of fixed duration $T$. Using a path-integral technique, we compute exactly the probability distribution of the difference $\tau=t_{\min}-t_{\max}$ between the time $t_{\min}$ of the global…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-13 Francesco Mori , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

It is known that after scaling a random Motzkin path converges to a Brownian excursion. We prove that the fluctuations of the counting processes of the ascent steps, the descent steps and the level steps converge jointly to linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-30 Włodzimierz Bryc , Yizao Wang

In this paper a class of Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes driven by compound Poisson processes is considered. The jumps arrive with exponential waiting times and are allowed to be two-sided. The jumps are assumed to form an iid sequence with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-01 Anders Rønn-Nielsen

In this paper we introduce a new model of random spanning trees that we call choice spanning trees, constructed from so-called choice random walks. These are random walks for which each step is chosen from a subset of random options,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-09 Eleanor Archer , Matan Shalev

Aldous, Evans and Pitman (1998) studied the behavior of the fragmentation process derived from deleting the edges of a uniform random tree on $n$ labelled vertices. In particular, they showed that, after proper rescaling, the above…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Gabriel Berzunza Ojeda , Cecilia Holmgren

We study the asymptotic tail probability of the first-passage time over a moving boundary for a random walk conditioned to return to zero, where the increments of the random walk have finite variance. Typically, the asymptotic tail behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-09 Fiona Sloothaak , Vitali Wachtel , Bert Zwart

Several classical results on boundary crossing probabilities of Brownian motion and random walks are extended to asymptotically Gaussian random fields, which include sums of i.i.d. random variables with multidimensional indices,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Hock Peng Chan , Tze Leung Lai

The main aim of the present set of notes is to give new, short and essentially self-contained proofs of some classical, as well as more recent, results about random walks on groups. For instance, we shall see that the drift characterization…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Michael Björklund

Consider the following random spatial network: in a large disk, construct a network using a stationary and isotropic Poisson line process of unit intensity. Connect pairs of points using the network, with initial / final segments of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-03 Wilfrid S. Kendall
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