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Markov chains can be used to generate samples whose distribution approximates a given target distribution. The quality of the samples of such Markov chains can be measured by the discrepancy between the empirical distribution of the samples…

Computation · Statistics 2016-01-18 Josef Dick , Daniel Rudolf , Houying Zhu

We derive a consistency result, in the $L_1$-sense, for incomplete U-statistics in the non-standard case where the kernel at hand has infinite second-order moments. Assuming that the kernel has finite moments of order $p(\geq 1)$, we obtain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-30 Alexander Dürre , Davy Paindaveine

We prove that the distributional limit of the normalised number of returns to small neighbourhoods of periodic points of non-uniformly hyperbolic dynamical systems is compound Poisson. The returns to small balls around a fixed point in the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-11-13 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

This paper considers time-inconsistent problems when control and stopping strategies are required to be made simultaneously (called stopping control problems by us). We first formulate the timeinconsistent stopping control problems under…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Zongxia Liang , Fengyi Yuan

Non-uniform sampling arises when an experimenter does not have full control over the sampling characteristics of the process under investigation. Moreover, it is introduced intentionally in algorithms such as Bayesian optimization and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-03 Stijn de Waele

Perfect adaptation in a dynamical system is the phenomenon that one or more variables have an initial transient response to a persistent change in an external stimulus but revert to their original value as the system converges to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-02-27 Tineke Blom , Joris M. Mooij

We investigate the dynamics of two coherently coupled dissipative time crystals. In the classical mean-field limit of infinite spin length, we identify a regime of chaotic synchronization, marked by a positive largest Lyapunov exponent and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Eliška Postavová , Gianluca Passarelli , Procolo Lucignano , Angelo Russomanno

Classifier predictions often rely on the assumption that new observations come from the same distribution as training data. When the underlying distribution changes, so does the optimal classification rule, and performance may degrade. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-01 Ciaran Evans , Max G'Sell

Performance measurement is an essential task once a statistical model is created. The Area Under the receiving operating characteristics Curve (AUC) is the most popular measure for evaluating the quality of a binary classifier. In this…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-24 Robin Van Oirbeek , Jolien Ponnet , Tim Verdonck

In Model Predictive Control (MPC), discrepancies between the actual system and the predictive model can lead to substantial tracking errors and significantly degrade performance and reliability. While such discrepancies can be alleviated…

We consider the quickest change detection problem where both the parameters of pre- and post- change distributions are unknown, which prevents the use of classical simple hypothesis testing. Without additional assumptions, optimal solutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Firas Jarboui , Viannet Perchet

In a Bayesian setting, inverse problems and uncertainty quantification (UQ) - the propagation of uncertainty through a computational (forward) model - are strongly connected. In the form of conditional expectation the Bayesian update…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-04-09 Alexander Litvinenko , Hermann G. Matthies

Vehicle platooning has been shown to be quite fruitful in the transportation industry to enhance fuel economy, road throughput, and driving comfort. Model Predictive Control (MPC) is widely used in literature for platoon control to achieve…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Mohammad Hossein Basiri , Benyamin Ghojogh , Nasser L. Azad , Sebastian Fischmeister , Fakhri Karray , Mark Crowley

We establish general conditions under which there exists uniform in time convergence between a stochastic process and its approximated system. These standardised conditions consist of a local in time estimate between the original and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-09 Katharina Schuh , Iain Souttar

We present a new algorithm for the statistical model checking of Markov chains with respect to unbounded temporal properties, such as reachability and full linear temporal logic. The main idea is that we monitor each simulation run on the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-03-04 Przemysław Daca , Thomas A. Henzinger , Jan Křetínský , Tatjana Petrov

Quantum critical (QC) phase transitions generally lead to the absence of quasiparticles. The resulting correlated quantum fluid, when thermally excited, displays rich universal dynamics. We establish non-perturbative constraints on the…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2015-04-30 William Witczak-Krempa

Multi-class systems having possibly both finite and infinite classes are investigated under a natural partial exchangeability assumption. It is proved that the conditional law of such a system, given the vector of the empirical measures of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-04 Carl Graham

Background: With the ever-increasing amount of medical imaging data, the demand for algorithms to assist clinicians has amplified. Unsupervised anomaly detection (UAD) models promise to aid in the crucial first step of disease detection.…

We introduce Time-Conditioned Contraction Matching (TCCM), a novel method for semi-supervised anomaly detection in tabular data. TCCM is inspired by flow matching, a recent generative modeling framework that learns velocity fields between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Zhong Li , Qi Huang , Yuxuan Zhu , Lincen Yang , Mohammad Mohammadi Amiri , Niki van Stein , Matthijs van Leeuwen

We consider fixed effects binary choice models with a fixed number of periods $T$ and regressors without a large support. If the time-varying unobserved terms are i.i.d. with known distribution $F$, \cite{chamberlain2010} shows that the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-30 Laurent Davezies , Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Martin Mugnier
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