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Related papers: Criticality in unbounded-types branching processes

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We study age-structured branching models with reproduction law depending on the remaining lifetime of the parent. The lifespan of an individual is decided at its birth and its remaining lifetime decreases at the unit speed. The models…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-08 Ziling Cheng , Zenghu Li

We investigate a neutral model for speciation and extinction, the constant rate birth-death process. The process is conditioned to have $n$ extant species today, we look at the tree distribution of the reconstructed trees-- i.e. the trees…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-03-04 Tanja Gernhard

Certain Markov processes, or deterministic evolution equations, have the property that they are dual to a stochastic process that exhibits extinction versus unbounded growth, i.e., the total mass in such a process either becomes zero, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jan M. Swart

A directed percolation process with two symmetric particle species exhibiting exclusion in one dimension is investigated numerically. It is shown that if the species are coupled by branching ($A\to AB$, $B\to BA$) a continuous phase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Geza Odor

Under natural assumptions a Feller type diffusion approximation is derived for critical multi-type branching processes with immigration when the offspring mean matrix is primitive (in other words, positively regular). Namely, it is proved…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-03 Márton Ispány , Gyula Pap

This note gives an exponential tail approximation for the extinction time of a subcritical multitype branching process arising from the SIR epidemic model on a random graph with given degrees, where the type corresponds to the vertex…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-03 Peter Windridge

We study the contact process on the long-range percolation cluster on $\mathbb{Z}$ where each edge $\langle i,j \rangle$ is open with probability $|i-j|^{-s}$ for $s> 2$. Using a renormalization procedure we apply Peierls-type argument to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Pablo A. Gomes , Marcelo R. Hilário , Bernardo N. B. de Lima , Thomas Mountford

We consider a spectrally negative branching L{\'e}vy process in which particles are killed upon crossing below zero. It is known that such a process becomes extinct almost surely if the drift toward -$\infty$ is sufficiently strong to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Christophe Profeta

We study a model of growing population that competes for resources. At each time step, all existing particles reproduce and the offspring randomly move to neighboring sites. Then at any site with more than one offspring, the particles are…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-26 Idan Perl , Arnab Sen , Ariel Yadin

Evolutionary branching is analysed in a stochastic, individual-based population model under mutation and selection. In such models, the common assumption is that individual reproduction and life career are characterised by values of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-01 S. Sagitov , B. Mehlig , P. Jagers , V. Vatutin

We consider the extinction time of the contact process on increasing sequences of finite graphs obtained from a variety of random graph models. Under the assumption that the infection rate is above the critical value for the process on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-13 Bruno Schapira , Daniel Valesin

We propose a variation of the GMS model of evolution of species. In this version, as in the GMS model, at each birth, the new species in the system is labeled with a random fitness mark, but in our variation, to each extinction event is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-25 Carolina Grejo , Luiz Renato Fontes , Fábio Sternieri Marque

Given a discrete spatial structure $X$, we define continuous-time branching processes that model a population breeding and dying on $X$. These processes are usually called branching random walks. They are characterized by breeding rates…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Daniela Bertacchi , Fabio Zucca

In Li (2011), Example 2.2, the notion of a multi-type continuous-state branching process (MCSBP) was introduced with a finite number of types, with the countably infinite case being proposed in Kyprianou and Palau (2017). One may consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-22 Andreas E. Kyprianou , Sandra Palau , Yan-Xia Ren

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a supercritical controlled branching process consistently from a single observed trajectory of population size counts. Our goal is to establish which parameters can and cannot be…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , James Kerlidis

If predictions for species extinctions hold, then the `tree of life' today may be quite different to that in (say) 100 years. We describe a technique to quantify how much each species is likely to contribute to future biodiversity, as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Mike Steel , Aki Mimoto , Arne O. Mooers

In this paper, we study the speed of extinction of continuous state branching processes in subcritical L\'evy environments. More precisely, when the associated L\'evy process to the environment drifts to $-\infty$ and, under a suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-20 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Juan Carlos Pardo

Consider a branching process $\{Z_n\}$ in a varying environment. Let $\{W_n\}$ be the natural martingale $Z_n/{\bf E}Z_n$. It converges to some random variable $W$ as $n\to\infty$. An important problem is to show that ${\bf P}(W>0)$ equals…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Y. Kirpicheva , A. Shklyaev

A wide range of stochastic processes that model the growth and decline of populations exhibit a curious dichotomy: with certainty either the population goes extinct or its size tends to infinity. There is a elegant and classical theorem…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-17 Mike Steel

Coalescence processes have received a lot of attention in the context of conditional branching processes with fixed population size and non-overlapping generations. Here we focus on similar problems in the context of the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-25 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet