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We study time-uniform statistical inference for parameters in stochastic approximation (SA), which encompasses a bunch of applications in optimization and machine learning. To that end, we analyze the almost-sure convergence rates of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Chuhan Xie , Kaicheng Jin , Jiadong Liang , Zhihua Zhang

Likelihood-free inference for simulator-based statistical models has recently attracted a surge of interest, both in the machine learning and statistics communities. The primary focus of these research fields has been to approximate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-27 Jukka Corander , Ulpu Remes , Ida Holopainen , Timo Koski

The martingale posterior framework is a generalization of Bayesian inference where one elicits a sequence of one-step ahead predictive densities instead of the likelihood and prior. Posterior sampling then involves the imputation of unseen…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Edwin Fong , Andrew Yiu

We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara

The aim of this paper is to provide a resampling technique that allows us to make inference on superpopulation parameters in finite population setting. Under complex sampling designs, it is often difficult to obtain explicit results about…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-24 Pier Luigi Conti , Alberto Di Iorio

We consider a complex-valued linear mixture model, under discrete weakly stationary processes. We recover latent components of interest, which have undergone a linear mixing. We study asymptotic properties of a classical unmixing estimator,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Niko Lietzén , Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen

Learning of continuous exponential family distributions with unbounded support remains an important area of research for both theory and applications in high-dimensional statistics. In recent years, score matching has become a widely used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Devin Smedira , Abhijith Jayakumar , Sidhant Misra , Marc Vuffray , Andrey Y. Lokhov

We outline how modern likelihood theory, which provides essentially exact inferences in a variety of parametric statistical problems, may routinely be applied in practice. Although the likelihood procedures are based on analytical…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-23 Alessandra R. Brazzale , Anthony C. Davison

We apply an asymptotic bootstrap estimate method to the non-perturbative study of unitary matrix integrals. The method combines exact recursion relations with asymptotic control of large modes to achieve very high numerical precision…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2026-02-24 David Berenstein , João Rodrigues , Victor A. Rodriguez

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of sums of functions of the increments of a given semimartingale, taken along a regular grid whose mesh goes to 0. The function of the $i$th increment may depend on the current time, and also…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Assane Diop

In this work, we attempt to refine the classic asymptotic formulae to describe the probability distribution of likelihood-ratio statistical tests. The idea is to split the probability distribution function into two parts. One part is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-07-29 Li-Gang Xia , Yan Zhang

Let $G$ be a sofic group, and let $\Sigma = (\sigma_n)_{n\geq 1}$ be a sofic approximation to it. For a probability-preserving $G$-system, a variant of the sofic entropy relative to $\Sigma$ has recently been defined in terms of sequences…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-09-20 Tim Austin

We study moments of the logarithmic derivative of characteristic polynomials of orthogonal and symplectic random matrices. In particular, we compute the asymptotics for large matrix size, $N$, of these moments evaluated at points which are…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-10-28 Emilia Alvarez , Nina C. Snaith

Analyzing high-dimensional data with manifold learning algorithms often requires searching for the nearest neighbors of all observations. This presents a computational bottleneck in statistical manifold learning when observations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Fan Cheng , Anastasios Panagiotelis , Rob J Hyndman

We study the questions of determining the asymptotics of the probabilistic characteristics of additive arithmetic functions in the paper, regardless of whether they have a limit distribution or not. Several assertions are proved about the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Victor Volfson

In a recent study we have obtained correction terms to the large N asymptotic expansions of the eigenvalue density for the Gaussian unitary and Laguerre unitary ensembles of random N by N matrices, both in the bulk and at the soft edge of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 P. J. Forrester , N. E. Frankel , T. M. Garoni

In many areas of applied statistics and machine learning, generating an arbitrary number of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) samples from a given distribution is a key task. When the distribution is known only through…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Ulysse Marteau-Ferey , Francis Bach , Alessandro Rudi

We develop a pseudo-metric analogue of bisimulation for generalized semi-Markov processes. The kernel of this pseudo-metric corresponds to bisimulation; thus we have extended bisimulation for continuous-time probabilistic processes to a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Vineet Gupta , Radha Jagadeesan , Prakash Panangaden

This paper is concerned with asymptotic behavior of a variety of functionals of increments of continuous semimartingales. Sampling times are assumed to follow a rather general discretization scheme. If an underlying semimartingale is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-04 Michael Levine , Xiaoguang Wang , Jian Frank Zou

The distribution of sum of independent non-identical binomial random variables is frequently encountered in areas such as genomics, healthcare, and operations research. Analytical solutions to the density and distribution are usually…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-06 Boxiang Liu , Thomas Quertermous
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