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Expected Shortfall (ES) is the average return on a risky asset conditional on the return being below some quantile of its distribution, namely its Value-at-Risk (VaR). The Basel III Accord, which will be implemented in the years leading up…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-18 Andrew J. Patton , Johanna F. Ziegel , Rui Chen

A new realized conditional autoregressive Value-at-Risk (VaR) framework is proposed, through incorporating a measurement equation into the original quantile regression model. The framework is further extended by employing various Expected…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Qian Chen

We introduce a semiparametric approach for forecasting Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) by modeling the conditional scale of financial returns, defined as the difference between two specified quantiles, via restricted…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-18 Xiaochun Liu , Richard Luger

In this paper, we introduce two alternative extensions of the classical univariate Value-at-Risk (VaR) in a multivariate setting. The two proposed multivariate VaR are vector-valued measures with the same dimension as the underlying risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-05 Areski Cousin , Elena Di Bernadino

This paper is devoted to study the effects arising from imposing a value-at-risk (VaR) constraint in mean-variance portfolio selection problem for an investor who receives a stochastic cash flow which he/she must then invest in a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-24 Jun Ye , Tiantian Li

Using Monte Carlo simulation to calculate the Value at Risk (VaR) as a possible risk measure requires adequate techniques. One of these techniques is the application of a compound distribution for the aggregates in a portfolio. In this…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-16 M. Assadsolimani , D. Chetalova

Determining contributions by sub-portfolios or single exposures to portfolio-wide economic capital for credit risk is an important risk measurement task. Often economic capital is measured as Value-at-Risk (VaR) of the portfolio loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-18 Dirk Tasche

Several well-established benchmark predictors exist for Value-at-Risk (VaR), a major instrument for financial risk management. Hybrid methods combining AR-GARCH filtering with skewed-$t$ residuals and the extreme value theory-based approach…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-25 Shige Peng , Shuzhen Yang , Jianfeng Yao

This paper considers the mean variance portfolio management problem. We examine portfolios which contain both primary and derivative securities. The challenge in this context is due to portfolio's nonlinearities. The delta-gamma…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-08 Yang Li , Traian A Pirvu

Designing dynamic portfolio insurance strategies under market conditions switching between two or more regimes is a challenging task in financial economics. Recently, a promising approach employing the value-at-risk (VaR) measure to assign…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-23 Peyman Alipour , Ali Foroush Bastani

We study the optimal portfolio allocation problem from a Bayesian perspective using value at risk (VaR) and conditional value at risk (CVaR) as risk measures. By applying the posterior predictive distribution for the future portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-04 Taras Bodnar , Mathias Lindholm , Vilhelm Niklasson , Erik Thorsén

This paper is concerned with the process of risk allocation for a generic multivariate model when the risk measure is chosen as the Value-at-Risk (VaR). We recast the traditional Euler contributions from an expectation conditional on an…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Takaaki Koike , Yuri F. Saporito , Rodrigo S. Targino

In this paper, we explore the portfolio allocation problem involving an uncertain covariance matrix. We calculate the expected value of the Constant Absolute Risk Aversion (CARA) utility function, marginalized over a distribution of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Maxime Markov , Vladimir Markov

Using a family of modified Weibull distributions, encompassing both sub-exponentials and super-exponentials, to parameterize the marginal distributions of asset returns and their multivariate generalizations with Gaussian copulas, we offer…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-10 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

The Lambda Value-at-Risk (Lambda-VaR) is a generalization of the Value-at-Risk (VaR), which has been actively studied in quantitative finance. Over the past two decades, the Expected Shortfall (ES) has become one of the most important risk…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-08 Fabio Bellini , Muqiao Huang , Qiuqi Wang , Ruodu Wang

The paper Zhao et al. (2015) shows that mean-CVaR-skewness portfolio optimization problems based on asymetric Laplace (AL) distributions can be transformed into quadratic optimization problems under which closed form solutions can be found.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-20 Nuerxiati Abudurexiti , Kai He , Dongdong Hu , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Hasanjan Sayit , Ruoyu Sun

Based on law of large numbers and central limit theorem under nonlinear expectation, we introduce a new method of using G-normal distribution to measure financial risks. Applying max-mean estimators and small windows method, we establish…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-28 Shige Peng , Shuzhen Yang

Entropic Value-at-Risk (EVaR) measure is a convenient coherent risk measure. Due to certain difficulties in finding its analytical representation, it was previously calculated explicitly only for the normal distribution. We succeeded to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Petro Zelenko , Volodymyr Zubchenko

We consider an investor, whose portfolio consists of a single risky asset and a risk free asset, who wants to maximize his expected utility of the portfolio subject to managing the Value at Risk (VaR) assuming a heavy tailed distribution of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-02 Subhojit Biswas , Mrinal K. Ghosh , Diganta Mukherjee

This paper addresses allocation methodologies for a risk measure inherited from ruin theory. Specifically, we consider a dynamic value-at-risk (VaR) measure defined as the smallest initial capital needed to ensure that the ultimate ruin…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-31 Guusje Delsing , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij , Erik Winands