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We show from a categorical point of view that probability measures on certain measurable or topological spaces arise canonically as the extension of probability distributions on countable sets. We do this by constructing probability monads…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-23 Ruben Van Belle

Discrete random probability measures and the exchangeable random partitions they induce are key tools for addressing a variety of estimation and prediction problems in Bayesian inference. Indeed, many popular nonparametric priors, such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-03 P. De Blasi , S. Favaro , A. Lijoi , R. H. Mena , I. Pruenster , M. Ruggiero

Many popular Bayesian nonparametric priors can be characterized in terms of exchangeable species sampling sequences. However, in some applications, exchangeability may not be appropriate. We introduce a {novel and probabilistically coherent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Edoardo M. Airoldi , Thiago Costa , Federico Bassetti , Fabrizio Leisen , Michele Guindani

We consider a Polya urn, started with b black and w white balls, where b>w. We compute the probability that there are ever the same number of black and white balls in the urn, and show that it is twice the probability of getting no more…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-17 Timothy C. Wallstrom

We study a class of dynamically constructed point processes in which at every step a new point (particle) is added to the current configuration with a distribution depending on the local structure around a uniformly chosen particle. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-22 Anton Muratov , Sergei Zuyev

Given a finite connected graph G, place a bin at each vertex. Two bins are called a pair if they share an edge of G. At discrete times, a ball is added to each pair of bins. In a pair of bins, one of the bins gets the ball with probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Michel Benaim , Itai Benjamini , Jun Chen , Yuri Lima

Condition numbers of random polynomial systems have been widely studied in the literature under certain coefficient ensembles of invariant type. In this note we introduce a method that allows us to study these numbers for a broad family of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-08 Hoi Nguyen

We introduce a class of probability measure-valued diffusions, coined polynomial, of which the well-known Fleming--Viot process is a particular example. The defining property of finite dimensional polynomial processes considered by Cuchiero…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-10 Christa Cuchiero , Martin Larsson , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

We study different fractional extensions of the Poisson process and generalized counting processes by introducing time-change represented by the inverse to the sums of stable and tempered stable subordinators. We state the governing…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Lyudmyla Sakhno , Artem Storozhuk

We study a system of interacting reinforced random walks defined on polygons. At each stage, each particle chooses an edge to traverse which is incident to its position. We allow the probability of choosing a given edge to depend on the sum…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-07 Jiro Akahori , Andrea Collevecchio , Timothy Garoni , Kais Hamza

Based on previous work of Paul Ressel and myself, I show that the space of all "continuous" exchangeable probability measures on a certain set of order processes is a Bauer simplex.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ulrich Hirth

Knowing how and when trends are formed is a frequently visited research goal. In our work, we focus on the progression of trends through (social) networks. We use a random graph (RG) model to mimic the progression of a trend through the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-11-06 Marijn ten Thij , Sandjai Bhulai

Macdonald processes are probability measures on sequences of partitions defined in terms of nonnegative specializations of the Macdonald symmetric functions and two Macdonald parameters q,t in [0,1). We prove several results about these…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Alexei Borodin , Ivan Corwin

P\'olya urns are urns where at each unit of time a ball is drawn and replaced with some other balls according to its colour. We introduce a more general model: the replacement rule depends on the colour of the drawn ball and the value of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-04 Cyril Banderier , Philippe Marchal , Michael Wallner

P\'{o}lya urn is a stochastic process in which balls are randomly drawn from an urn of red and blue balls, and balls of the same color as the drawn balls are added. The probability of a ball of a certain color being drawn is equal to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-11-10 Shintaro Mori , Masato Hisakado , Kazuaki Nakayama

Urn models play an important role to express various basic ideas in probability theory. Here we extend this urn model with tubes. An urn contains coloured balls, which can be drawn with probabilities proportional to the numbers of balls of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Bart Jacobs

We study an urn process containing red and blue balls and two different strategies to reinforce the urn. Namely, a generalized P\'olya-type strategy versus an i.i.d. one. At each step, one of the two reinforcement strategies is chosen by…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Manuel González-Navarrete , Rodrigo Lambert

We investigate the class of $\sigma$-stable Poisson-Kingman random probability measures (RPMs) in the context of Bayesian nonparametric mixture modeling. This is a large class of discrete RPMs which encompasses most of the the popular…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-22 María Lomelí , Stefano Favaro , Yee Whye Teh

We consider the numerical approximation for a class of radial Dunkl processes corresponding to arbitrary (reduced) root systems in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$. This class contains some well-known processes such as Bessel processes, Dyson's Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-11 Hoang-Long Ngo , Dai Taguchi

Mixture models are well-known for their versatility, and the Bayesian paradigm is a suitable platform for mixture analysis, particularly when the number of components is unknown. Bhattacharya (2008) introduced a mixture model based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-19 Sabyasachi Mukhopadhyay , Sourabh Bhattacharya
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