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When random walks on a square lattice are biased horizontally to move solely to the right, the probability distribution of their algebraic area can be exactly obtained. We explicitly map this biased classical random system on a non…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-17 Sergey Matveenko , Stephane Ouvry

Foss and Zachary (2003) and Foss, Palmowski and Zachary (2005) studied the probability of achieving a receding boundary on a time interval of random length by a random walk with a heavy-tailed jump distribution. They have proposed and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Pavel Tesemnikov , Sergey Foss

Random walks on the circle group $\mathbb{R}/\mathbb{Z}$ whose elementary steps are lattice variables with span $\alpha \not\in \mathbb{Q}$ or $p/q \in \mathbb{Q}$ taken mod $\mathbb{Z}$ exhibit delicate behavior. In the rational case we…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-20 Istvan Berkes , Bence Borda

We propose a non-Gaussian operator-valued extension of the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard stochastic volatility dynamics, defined as the square-root of an operator-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with Levy noise and bounded drift. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-25 Fred Espen Benth , Barbara Ruediger , Andre Suess

Consider a closed surface $S$ with negative Euler characteristic, and an admissible probability measure on the fundamental group of $S$ with finite first moment with respect to some hyperbolic metric on $S$. Corresponding to each point in…

Geometric Topology · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Aitor Azemar

The $q$-Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, $q\in(-1,1)$, are a family of stationary Markov processes that converge weakly to the standard Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process as $q$ tends to 1. It has been noticed recently that in terms of path…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-27 Yizao Wang

An Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process can be considered as a continuous time interpolation of the discrete time AR$(1)$ process. Departing from this fact, we analyse in this work the effect of iterating OU treated as a linear operator that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Argimiro Arratia , Alejandra Cabaña , Enrique M. Cabaña

These notes are devoted to fluctuations of one-dimensional random walks. We discuss various approaches to first-passage times and to the corresponding conditional distributions. After discussion of some classical methods, such as reflection…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-23 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel

We consider a discrete time biased random walk conditioned to avoid Bernoulli obstacles on ${\mathbb Z}^d$ ($d\geq 2$) up to time $N$. This model is known to undergo a phase transition: for a large bias, the walk is ballistic whereas for a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-17 Jian Ding , Ryoki Fukushima , Rongfeng Sun , Changji Xu

We prove large-time $L^2$ and distributional limit theorems for perimeter and diameter of the convex hull of $N$ trajectories of planar random walks whose increments have finite second moments. Earlier work considered $N \in \{1,2\}$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Wojciech Cygan , Tomislav Kralj , Nikola Sandrić , Stjepan Šebek , Andrew Wade , Mo Dick Wong

In past decades, Gaussian processes has been widely applied in studying trait evolution using phylogenetic comparative analysis. In particular, two members of Gaussian processes: Brownian motion and Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-20 Dwueng-Chwuan Jhwueng

We consider branching random walks on the Euclidean lattice in dimensions five and higher. In this non-Markovian setting, we first obtain a relationship between the equilibrium measure and Green's function, in the form of an approximate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-31 Amine Asselah , Bruno Schapira , Perla Sousi

This paper considers a classical question of approximation of Brownian motion by a random walk in the setting of a sub-Riemannian manifold $M$. To construct such a random walk we first address several issues related to the degeneracy of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-07 Maria Gordina , Thomas Laetsch

Given any $\gamma>0$ and for $\eta=\{\eta_v\}_{v\in \mathbb Z^2}$ denoting a sample of the two-dimensional discrete Gaussian free field on $\mathbb Z^2$ pinned at the origin, we consider the random walk on~$\mathbb Z^2$ among random…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-28 Marek Biskup , Jian Ding , Subhajit Goswami

Let $\xi$ be the stationary occupation field generated by a Poisson system of independent simple symmetric random walks on $\mathbb Z$ in space--time dimension $1+1$. For a finite set $A\subset\mathbb Z$, we consider the classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Ao Huang , Guanglin Rang , Zhonggen Su

This paper addresses the advancement of probability tail bound analysis, a crucial statistical tool for assessing the probability of large deviations of random variables from their expected values. Traditional tail bounds, such as Markov's,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-22 Shih-Yu Chang

We prove a moderate deviation principle for the capacity of the range of random walk in $\mathbb{Z}^5$. Depending on the scale of deviation, we get two different regimes. We observe Gaussian tails when the deviation scale is smaller than…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Arka Adhikari , Jiyun Park

We study the tail behavior of Markov-modulated generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes -- that is, solutions to Langevin-type stochastic differential equations driven by a background continuous-time Markov chain. To this end, we consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Gerold Alsmeyer , Anita Behme

As an extension of Polya's classical result on random walks on the square grids ($\Z^d$), we consider a random walk where the steps, while still have unit length, point to different directions. We show that in dimensions at least 4, the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-08-10 Simão Herdade , Van Vu

We consider random walks in dynamic random environments, with an environment generated by the time-reversal of a Markov process from the oriented percolation universality class. If the influence of the random medium on the walk is small in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-02 Matthias Birkner , Jiří Černý , Andrej Depperschmidt
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